Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Meadows
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FMT-1   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/4)-(4/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/4)-(4/2)-(5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FMT-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FMT-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/5/2)-(6/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FMT-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-5   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(1/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/4/5)-(7/1/2/5/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FMT-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/1/2/5/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/1/2/5/3)-(4/7/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FMT-8   WIN (7/1/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5/3)-(7/1/2/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5/3)-(7/1/2/5/3)-(7/1/2/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5/3)-(4/7/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FMT-9   WIN (4/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FMT-1   07/17/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA HOT TOTTIE Jun19 Oct28 Oct22 Sep04 Aug13 (koch n)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHOOTIN RUN Jun06 May06 Apr10 Mar27 Oct05 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
FLASHY GAIL Jun13 Mar26 Nov10 Oct11 Sep22 (davis st)BENN J 125 12.00    
BILLIE BABY Oct05 Aug19 Jul06 Jun08 May01 (komardley evans)DELORME L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRLSLIKEBLING Jul10 Jun16 May12 Apr27 Mar29 (gladd andy)CRUZ ROMAN 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
SISSUE Jun19 Jun05 May14 Apr30 Apr10 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.00    
SHE'S A PLAYER Jun26 Jun13 Apr30 Jul19 Jul06 (chavez sacra)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 2.50    
 
FMT-2   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREYAS CATZ Jun27 Jun12 May15 Apr01 Dec13 (baze t)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00    
BROOKE'S ALL IN Jun13 Jun05 Apr16 Mar19 Mar05 (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THAROLITE Jun27 Jun13 May04 Apr09 Feb02 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 4.00    
PURE CONNECTION Jun12 May15 Mar26 Nov08 Sep11 (gladd andy)CRUZ ROMAN 120 1.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  GOSPEL SPEAR Jul03 Jun13 May14 Mar25 Mar12 (williams f)DELORME L 125 3.00    
YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Jun26 May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 12.00    
 
FMT-3   07/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE BLUE BAYOU Jun12 Jun05 May06 Apr16 Mar19 (oberlande)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
BROWN RESERVE Jun27 Jun12 May15 Apr16 Apr02 (black marissa)DELORME L 120 5.00    
SCR  GOSPEL GORGEOUS Jul11 Jun13 May13 Apr22 Mar05 (williams f)PEREZ A 115 20.00    
SEARCHIN SAFARI Jun26 Jun05 May13 Apr30 Dec13 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 10.00    
DETERMINED LOVER Jun26 Jun05 May06 Apr23 Apr01 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  SWORD OF GOLD Jun26 Jun05 May13 Apr03 Dec13 (moreno carlos)CRUZ ROMAN 125 1.80    
 
FMT-4   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.46K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL FOREST Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May15 May07 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 12.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of FORESTSTONE by BIRDSTONE)
TAKING ENERGY Jul10 Jun27 Jun20 Jun06 May07 (wyrick jeff)QUINONEZ B 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWICE AS BAD out of HELENTHEFELON by LUCKY LIONEL)
RIGHT CIDER Jun27 Jun06 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (rodriguez mar)CABRERA DAVID 125 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of HARD CIDER by DR. BLUM)
NIGHT VISION Jun12 May06 Apr10 Mar27 Dec16 (oberlande)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 1.60    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of VALID NIGHTLINGER by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
WOKE INDIAN         (baze t)DELORME L 125 8.00 11% 7.70    
  (by I SPENT IT out of COUNSELOR CABOT by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SON OF PREACHERMAN Jun27 May12 Apr21 Jul12 Jun28 (lewis je)BENN J 125 3.00    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of ADIRONDACK GAL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
 
FMT-5   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHOLIC GUILT Jul04 Jun16 Jun09 May25 Apr27 (roberts blair)DELORME L 118 4.00 11% 8.20    
PATRIOTIC DUTY Jun13 May04 Mar26 Dec08 Nov04 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLASHY BOY GOES Jun19 Jun05 May10 Sep09 Jul29 (lewis jehu)CRUZ ROMAN 116 20.00    
ROYALLY Jun13 May06 Mar29 Feb03 Jan07 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 118 5.00    
GUINESSEY Jun27 Jun13 May06 Jan20 Jan07 (black )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 116 12.00    
HOLDEN THE LUTE Jul10 Feb29 Feb15 Dec20 Nov03 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 126 0.60 59% 0.70    
UNITED PATRIOT Jul03 Jun20 May15 May06 Apr03 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 116 12.00    
 
FMT-6   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALE WINEMIXER Jul03 Jun12 May15 May04 Apr09 (swango e)MORA GERARDO 125 2.50 18% 4.60    
JUST ROSIE Jun05 May15 Apr23 Dec08 Nov24 (hunt s)PEREZ A 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
MISS LONG LEGS Jun06 Apr30 Mar26 Mar05 Dec13 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00    
SEATTLE WILDCAT Jun06 Apr30 Mar27 Dec16 Nov13 (oberlande)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
MUCHO MIA Jun12 May15 Apr30 Apr03 Dec08 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00    
GOSPEL CHARITY Jul03 May15 May04 Apr23 Mar27 (williams f)QUINONEZ B 125 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
FMT-7   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW EURO CAT Jul03 Jun20 May07 Apr15 Apr03 (villafran)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
SHAWK'S LIL MIA Jul03 Jun06 May07 Apr15 Oct20 (pruitt jody )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 6.00    
GOSPEL SISTER Jun26 May04 Apr23 Apr01 Aug24 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 6.00    
GRACE THE LADY May15 Apr09 Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 125 5.00 28% 2.60    
HANGXIETY Jul03 Jun20 Jun12 May14 May04 (dunlap m)DELORME L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
WITSEC Jun23 May19 Apr16 Apr03 Mar11 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00    
SCR  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Jun19 Jun05 Apr29 Apr10 Mar25 (dixon t)GONCALVES R 125 3.00    
 
FMT-8   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Muscogee (Creek) Nation Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-10:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING IT ON BABY Jun26 May07 Apr23 Apr02 Mar20 (young scott)WETHEY JR 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by EUROEARS out of OKIE WEST by WESTERN FAME)
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Jun26 May19 May07 Apr23 Apr09 (davidson brent)DELORME L 126 10.00 8% 12.30    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of FLEXFUEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
STOLEN KISSES Jun26 May14 May04 Apr01 Mar11 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of NO KISSES FOR POPS by AIR COMMANDER)
STORMY BISONETTE Jul03 Jun06 May14 Apr22 Apr08 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 126 8.00    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of LADY BISON by BURBANK (IRE))
LA MORENA Apr28 Apr07 Feb04 Jan06 Nov30 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 126 6.00 6% 16.20    
  (by KIPLING out of MOUNT STEPNEY by STRONG HOPE)
REALITY CHECK Jun27 Jun06 May07 Apr15 Apr03 (stephens g)QUINONEZ B 126 20.00    
  (by DANZA out of WILD TOY LAKE by WILD TALE)
SINNIN N GRINNIN May07 Apr15 Mar25 Oct20 Sep15 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 126 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SUE'S SWEET SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SEXY BROWN Jun20 May04 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 126 12.00    
  (by DAAREB out of EXY XANADU by EUROEARS)
PAULA M Jun27 Jun06 May13 Apr22 Apr02 (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of RED CONSTITUTION by BERNARDINI)
10  RAINBOW ANGEL Jun22 May04 Mar18 Mar04 Dec14 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of STREET ANGEL by PICCOLINO)
 
FMT-9   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMINA C Jun12 May14 Apr18     (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 120 12.00    
HONEY PAT Jul01 Jun12 Apr02 Mar23 Mar03 (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 6.00    
MS. BUZZINGA Jun26 Jun05       (baze t)CRUZ ROMAN 120 12.00    
O S U BUDKE Jun27 Jun13 Jun06 May06 Apr08 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 1.40 29% 2.40    
SUGAR COATED Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 Jun05 May14 (stephens g)QUINONEZ B 120 1.80    
NEED ALITTLE MAGIC         (huerta jose)DELORME L 120 20.00 18% 4.50    
GOSPEL VALENTINE         (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 8.00 27% 2.60    
LITTLE MO BROWN Jun05 May06 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (eades da)BENN J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.