Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - March 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(2/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(2/3/1)-(4/1/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(4/1/3/6)-(6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/6)-(6/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/6)-(6/1)-(7/1/2/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/1)-(7/1/2/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(7/1/2/8)-(5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/2/8)-(5/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/8)-(5/6/3)-(5/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/3/2/6)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/6)-(3/6/2)-(2/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS MIDNIGHT Feb18 Dec31 Nov18 Oct20 Aug27 (herrick joe)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of PRINCESS ROI by ROI CHARMANT)
2  LOVIN' ON THE RUN Dec31 Nov04 Oct02 Aug28   (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of RUE DE CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  STRIKINGLY Feb18 Jan14 Sep01 Aug12 Jul21 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 124 3.50    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
SCR  DANCING MO Jan28 Jan14 Dec01 Nov02 Jun16 (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of I LOST MY CHOO by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
5  PONTRESINA Sep13         (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  IRISH ROSE Sep02 Aug12 Jun10 May21 Apr07 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of LILIES AND ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
7  COLLECTIVELY Feb18 Jan14 Nov05 Oct15 Aug26 (hanson ryan)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of SASSY ALI JOY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  SPECIAL FLOWER         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BLOSSOM SPECIAL by INTELLO)
 
SA-2   03/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN CAT Feb24 Jul09 Jun25 May13 Apr29 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
2  THALES Jan15 Dec18 Nov18     (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
3  PAT'S PADDOCK PICK Feb17 Jan20 Nov26 Sep05 Jul30 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  MAN OVERBOARD Jan28 May13 Apr02     (glatt mark)BAZE C 124 2.00    
5  CRYPTO RIDE Feb10 Apr09 Apr02 Mar11 Feb11 (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 8.00    
 
SA-3   03/17/2024 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATMANSUE Feb17 Jan07 Sep04     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  IMMELMANN Feb17 Jan15 Dec02 Nov17 Oct21 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
3  TOM SEAVER Oct22         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  TWO BY FOUR Mar01 Feb15 Jan07     (lewis a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  BEER MONEY Mar08 Feb17 Feb02 Jan15 Dec17 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
6  WHERE IT'S AT Feb17 Jan28       (moger jr)SMITH E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  OOBUBBAKAKAYO Feb11 Jan13       (hanson ryan)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
 
SA-4   03/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RINGTONE Feb17 Jan20 Oct28 Oct07 Aug11 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 2.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUNSET STORM Feb02 Dec30 Dec01     (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 119 15.00    
3  AUDIBLE SILENCE Feb17 Jan20 Dec30     (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 119 6.00 ★    
4  POLIS Jan14 Dec30       (agarie ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00    
5  CLASSIC ALPHIE Feb03 Dec29 Nov11     (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 4.00    
6  GAVEA (GER) Jan12 Oct28 Oct27 Sep29   (landeros juan)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.50 72% 0.40    
7  THIRSTY LOV Feb17 Jan14 Dec01 Nov05 Oct20 (hess b)MALDONADO E 121 4.00 ★    
 
SA-5   03/17/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Feb24 Jan01 Nov23 Oct29 Aug31 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  MACKINNON Mar03 Jul30 Jul04 Oct22 Sep03 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  SHARP AZA TACK Feb15 Dec26 Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
4  MYNUMEROUNO (AUS) Jan13         (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 10.00    
5  NABOKOV Feb15 Aug26 Jul29 Apr23 Feb18 (moger j)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  MAS RAPIDO (GB) Feb15 Jan01 Nov23 Sep30 Jul21 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 8.00    
7  ESCAPE ROUTE Feb18 Jan06 Dec10 Oct09 Aug26 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
8  LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Feb24 Mar04 Feb05 Jan08 Dec04 (barocio l)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
9  TIME TO PARTY Feb03 Jul23 Jun02 May04 Apr08 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 12.00    
 
SA-6   03/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY SAILING Jul21         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ARTFULLY by RIGHT CON)
SCR  RAISING SILVER Jul22         (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of SILVER SLIVERS by ARCH)
3  WISHES TO RICHES Jan14         (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00 7% 13.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  EPIONE         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of FIRST SCREENING by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  BIT'S TIGER MAGIC         (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MAGIC SCHOOL by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  ROBERTA'S LOVE Feb15         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of WEST COAST GAL by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  CHASING KAT Feb15 Jan06       ( )TBA null      
  (by GATO DEL ORO out of VEGAS STRONG BABY by UNION RAGS)
 
SA-7   03/17/2024 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Irish O'Brien Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADIHA Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Nov04 Oct14 (dollase craig)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of VERY FEW DETAILS by GREAT NOTION)
2  CHISMOSA Feb03 Jan13 Jan01 Nov12 Oct14 (deleon rafael)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
3  STAY AND SCAM Feb10 Jan13 Dec01 Nov04 Oct08 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of PUFF PASTRY by MOMENTUM)
4  CHANCERY WAY Jan13 Dec09 Nov12 Aug25 Jul22 (thomas jamey)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
5  ROSE MADDOX Feb18 Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 Aug25 (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  SCARY FAST RIDE Feb18 Jan20 Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SCARY FAST by CONGAREE)
7  ALL DIALED IN Feb18 Dec09 Jan28 Dec10 Nov13 (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of NUFFSAID NUFFSAID by MUTAKDDIM)
 
SA-8   03/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIMBA WARRIOR Feb18 Jan26 Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
2  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Mar10 Feb23 Jan28 Jan20 Sep09 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
3  DEPARTURE Mar04 Jan26 Dec15 Nov19 Oct14 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  CANDY FOR CARMEL Jul21 Jun28 Jun10 May31 May18 (baltas ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.00    
5  GRANADA FLAVOR Feb18 Aug19 Jul01 Apr23 Mar18 (mccarthy sea)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 15.00    
6  MIDNIGHT FURY Feb16 Jan15 Dec17 Nov10 Oct08 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SA-9   03/17/2024 6600ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALM SEA Feb16 Feb03 Dec26 Nov10 Oct14 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
2  MALTESE FALCON (IRE) Feb16 Jan06 Dec03 Nov04 Oct08 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  ORDER AND LAW Feb16 Dec29 Nov24 Oct01 Sep02 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00    
4  RECKLESS SPIRIT Jan06 Nov05 Oct08 Jun03 May07 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  NASHOBA'S JOY Feb24 May12 Mar25 Feb20 Dec03 (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT JOSTAR Feb11 Apr08 Mar09 Nov04 Oct08 (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 124 4.00    
7  MO REWARDS Feb17 Jan15 Dec17 Nov12 Oct14 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEYWOODS BEACH Feb16 Jan12 Nov24 Mar04 Dec26 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
9  LIVING LIFE Mar03 Feb03 Dec26 Nov05 Oct01 (ellis w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.