Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - January 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4)-(2/7/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/8/4)-(5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/4)-(5/4/1)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/3)-(6/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/5/4)-(2/8/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/8/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/8/6/3)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/6/3)-(5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/3)-(5/3/6)-(1/3/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/3/9/5)-(6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5)-(1/3/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/9/5)-(6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/5)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/4/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TESSUTO (NZ) Dec26         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAYMAN CROC by BOB AND JOHN)
2  MAYMUN         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
  (by FROSTED out of HANDWOVEN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MC VAY Sep02         (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
4  MARDY'S FISH         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SILVERPOCKETSFULL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  MONGOLIAN MAX         (ganbat eneb)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TENSION by TAPIT)
6  SINFUL KING         (brya)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PULCHRA by TIZNOW)
7  NORMANDY LANDING         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PERFECT FLUTE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
8  ALL THAT GLORY Nov25         (yakteen t)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GLORIOUS HOUR by BODEMEISTER)
 
SA-2   01/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Dec30 Dec08 Jan20 Dec16 Oct16 (naranjo salva)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
2  EAGLES LANDING Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 Sep04 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
3  PAT'S PADDOCK PICK Nov26 Sep05 Jul30     (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
4  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Sep09 Aug04 Jun23 Jun03 May20 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
5  HOUNDSTOOTH Oct08 Sep09 Aug26 Oct22 Jul22 (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  BLUE CHEESE OLIVE Dec15 May06 Apr09 Mar25   (miller pete)HERRERA A 124 2.50    
 
SA-3   01/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE IS ROMANTIC Dec02 Oct06 Sep03 Aug04   (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
2  MO FOX GIVIN Dec29 Dec02 Nov03 Sep29 Aug12 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
3  SPICE Jan01 Nov12 Sep03     (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
4  HATTIE T Dec29 Dec02       (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
5  MS BRIGHTSIDE (IRE) Dec02         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.80 ★    
 
SA-4   01/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTANA Jan07 Nov24 Oct06 Aug11 Jul27 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50    
2  HOTROD RIDE Dec29 Aug28 Jul30 Jun19 May27 (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
3  SYNTACTIC Jan07 Nov18 Oct09 Sep11 Aug26 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00    
4  MYSTIC FLYER Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 Sep08 Aug11 (mccarthy w)BAZE C 124 5.00 10% 9.10    
5  BENDETTIJOE Dec30 Nov10 Oct06 Sep04 Aug17 (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 124 2.00 12% 7.50    
6  DERECHO DANDY Jan07 Dec15 Nov19 Sep10 Aug24 (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
SA-5   01/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEN HEROES FLY Dec03         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 121 15.00    
2  MAXIMUM CAPACITY Jan01 Dec03 Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
3  RINGTONE Oct28 Oct07 Aug11     (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DADDY JUSTIFY Nov23         (eurton peter)DESORMEAUX J 121 5.00    
5  BIGREDSANDRIBEYES Aug26 Aug05       (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
6  AUDIBLE SILENCE Dec30         (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
7  GOLD FOOT Nov12 Oct08 Aug24     (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 121 4.00    
8  POTENTIAL SPAM Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Sep24 Jul30 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
SA-6   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH WAHINE Jan12 Dec29 Dec10 Jan28 Jan13 (stute gary)BAZE C 124 4.00    
SCR  LADY MARYANN Nov10 Oct08 Sep08 Jan28 Dec26 (gutierrez j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
3  DIAMONDS DANZING Jan06 Dec15 Nov02 Oct08 Sep24 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  SOUL SWEET Jun02 May06 Mar19 Feb20 Jan22 (agarie ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 30.00    
5  SCARY FAST RIDE Dec09 Nov10 Oct15 Aug13 Aug28 (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Dec29 Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 Sep08 (morfin ser)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.00    
 
SA-7   01/20/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA DANCER Dec26 Dec02 Sep10 Aug13 Jul07 (yakteen t)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
2  POPPY'S JOY Dec02 Aug06       (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SACRED FEATHER by CARSON CITY)
3  CIRCLE OF TRUST Dec02 Oct28 Oct06     (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  GERWIG Dec26 Dec01 Sep01     (yakteen tim)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CELESTIAL WOODS by FORESTRY)
5  BLUE FASHION Dec26         (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of BUFF BEAUTY by STREET SENSE)
6  AURATIUM Dec26 Oct06 Sep09 Jul29   (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of LIGHT CAT by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) Dec26 Nov11       (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00    
  (by CRACKSMAN out of ENERGIE GREEN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
8  IMA JOKER Dec26 Dec02 Oct09     (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUE DE CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  AMERICANDREAMMAKER Dec26         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE by TAPIT)
 
SA-8   01/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST La Canada Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL MISCHIEF Dec26 Nov23 Oct24 Sep22 Aug01 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  COFFEE IN BED Nov05 Oct09 Sep02 Jul28 Mar27 (mandella richard )SMITH E 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SUMPTUOUS by HENNESSY)
3  SIGNORINA MERISI (GB) Dec10 Nov18 Oct28 Apr29 Apr08 (badilla manue)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of NOVALINA by GALILEO (ARG))
4  DESERT DAWN Dec15 Nov04 Oct01 Aug05 Jun10 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CUPID out of ASHLEY'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  CLIQUISH Dec31 Nov23 Oct09 Aug31 Jul28 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  MIDNIGHT MEMORIES Dec15 Mar11 Dec26 Oct02 Sep04 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
  (by MASTERY out of TIZ MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
SA-9   01/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHANTARO D'ORO Jan07 Nov26 Nov05     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.00    
2  BALDORO Oct28 Jun18 May29 May01 Mar05 (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
3  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Dec29 Apr14 Mar04 Jan21 Nov24 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CARIBBEAN KING Dec29 Nov26 Nov05 Aug19 Jul29 (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  PIONEER PRINCE Nov17 Oct27 Jan21     (mandella richard )SMITH E 124 4.00    
6  QUINTECENTS Dec29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Sep10 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  GAELIC NATION (IRE) Aug26 Dec04 Sep30     (baltas ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00    
8  SMOOTH SALUTE Dec29 Nov10 Oct14 Aug19 Jul29 (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
9  PLAYER B Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Sep10 (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.