Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (5/7/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/9)-(5/7/3/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/9)-(5/7/3/9/2)-(5/7/3/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/7/3/9)-(2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/9)-(2/3/6)-(1/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/2/6)-(2/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/7/5)-(7/8/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(7/8/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(7/8/4/1)-(7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/1)-(7/8/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/1)-(7/8/4/6/1)-(7/8/4/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (7/8/4/1)-(7/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/1)-(7/6/3)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(1/2/5)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/6)-(10/8/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/6)-(10/8/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (10/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/9)-(10/8/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/9)-(10/8/5/9/3)-(10/8/5/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/12/2024 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Dec17 Nov10 Oct20 Oct14 Sep03 (ortiz manuel )AYUSO ARMANDO 124 20.00    
ANKYRAH Nov26 Oct09 Aug26 Jul29 Jun10 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 124 6.00    
AVENTAPP Nov23 Oct20 Aug25 Jun09 May14 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
DOLLY MAY (IRE) Nov12 Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul30 (cerin vladimir)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
RED DIAMOND Dec01 Oct20 Apr29 May30 Apr02 (mcanally ron)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
MISS COMMANDER Dec31 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Sep24 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
LEOPARDESS (GB) Nov10 Sep10 Aug19 Jun21 May18 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
NORTH EAST STAR (IRE) Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 Jul21 May21 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00    
DE JORIA Dec01 Oct14 Sep04 Aug05 Apr27 (per)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  GRAZEN TOUCH Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 Aug24 Aug28 (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
 
SA-2   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 45 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUMBER ONE SON Dec16 Dec08 Sep15     (rivera sally)HARVEY B 124 15.00    
FIFTY CINCO Dec03 Oct14 Jul21 Apr22   (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
I GOT A GUY Dec16 Dec09 Sep23 Sep04   (morfin serg)HERRERA A 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
SURE PROSPECT Dec16 Nov26 Oct01 Aug05 Sep04 (capestro s)BAZE C 124 5.00    
TORLEIF Oct09 Aug27       (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 10.00    
AVIATOR NATION Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 Aug05 (drysdale neil)TORREALBA JG 119 1.80 14% 6.10    
RUNNING FOR COSI Dec17         (naranjo sal)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00    
 
SA-3   01/12/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHYTHEM ON STAGE Nov17 Apr22 Mar17 Feb04 Jan06 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by UPTOWN RYTHEM out of IT'SALLYOURSBABY by ESKENDEREYA)
SNEAK A SMILE Dec09         (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 1.60 12% 7.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LOGICAL SINGLE by SINGLETARY)
THANK YOU HONEY Nov10         (gaines carla)TORREALBA JG 119 15.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of HONEY BUNCH by CHEROKEE RUN)
REMI OR NOT         (cecil d)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 15.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of STRETCHINTHELIMITS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
ANTONSEN Nov17 Aug26       (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GLORIOUS LUCK by LUCKY J. H.)
BRONKO NAGURSKI Jun02 May19 Mar03 Feb03 Jan07 (miyadi steve)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00 6% 14.40    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUNDAY RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
MORE TRY Nov17 Oct21 Nov06     (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 6.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of MORE COMPLEXITY by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
SA-4   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A NEW PEACE Nov26 Oct14 Sep15 Aug03 Jul04 (barocio libra)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
CRIMSON ROSE Oct29 Sep23 Aug27 Jul30 Jun17 (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
KEEN LADY Nov23 Oct09 Aug06 Jun16 Apr23 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 15.00    
NOKIE Nov23 Nov10 Oct09 Apr23   (cerin vladimir)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
IRISH WAHINE Dec29 Dec10 Jan28 Jan13 Dec09 (stute gary)BAZE C 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
BELLA RENELLA Nov10 Oct29 Jun18 Jun02 Apr02 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
SHERLYN GO GO Nov02 Aug12 May06 Mar26 Mar12 (mullins jef)HERRERA A 122 4.00 9% 9.70    
 
SA-5   01/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG GAIN         (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CITADINO Oct21 Oct08       (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 122 20.00    
DEAL EM Nov11         (mendez luis)FREY KYLE 120 20.00    
GAVEA (GER) Oct28 Oct27 Sep29     (blacker danie)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
MISCHIEF MOMENTS Dec02 Oct21       (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 50.00    
SHARPAZANO Dec03 Oct28 Sep10 Aug03   (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
TAPALO Dec02 Oct28 Sep24     (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
EXPLOSIVELY Dec09         (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
BOWTIE BOYS Dec03 Aug11       (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 117 3.50    
 
SA-6   01/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODY BOY Dec01 Oct22       (kruljac ian)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
RUNNING TIGER Dec08         (periban j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
BURAQ'S REFLECTION Sep04 Aug10 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 7% 14.00    
THIRSTY GAMBLER Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr30   (craigmyle keit)GARCIA ERICK 122 15.00    
UNCLE JUJU Dec16 Nov10 Oct28 Sep08   (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50    
TIGER BY THE TAIL         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 6.00 9% 10.30    
LAST CALL PAUL Dec16 Dec03 Oct20 Sep29 Sep04 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
 
SA-7   01/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIE'S JOY Nov25 Oct09 Aug27 Jun11 May20 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
CONTROL FUNCTION Mar25 Feb11 Jan28 Nov04 Sep02 (baltas richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
RUFF RIDE Nov25 Oct29 Oct09 Sep03 Jul27 (lewis a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
STRANGE ADDICTION Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Oct02 Sep03 (mclean bi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00    
KATERINI Nov17 Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 Aug25 (knapp steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
SHEZMISBEHAVING Nov10 Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jun16 (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 124 10.00    
IN YOUR FACE Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 Aug05 Aug26 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  ICE QUEEN Dec31 Jun16 Jun02 May07 Mar11 (nun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 20.00    
 
SA-8   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRAZENLY Nov19 Oct29 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 124 8.00    
RODRIGOKNOWS Dec09 Nov19 Oct28 Oct01 Aug12 (marquez alfre)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50    
SCR  MYSTIC FLYER Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 Sep08 Aug11 (mccarthy w)BAZE C 122 6.00    
SPEED GRAZY Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct13 Sep23 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50    
KERRY GOLD Dec02 Nov04 Sep30 Sep18 Jul23 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Dec15 Oct27 Sep30 Jan28 Jan07 (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
SA-9   01/12/2024 4290ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBE TOWN Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Jul28 Nov05 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 124 8.00    
BIG JUANITO         (garcia victor)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
DEFENSOR FORTIS Nov11 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Aug05 (thomas ruby)HERRERA A 124 20.00    
SIX MAGPIES (IRE) Oct27 Sep29 Nov19     (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 124 8.00    
ADVENTURESOME Dec17 Nov10 Jul30 Jul08 May29 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
NOBEL GARY Oct20 Aug26 Jul29 May26 May13 (gomez rub)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00    
SCR  NIGHT MUSIC         (glatt mark)TORREALBA JG 119 10.00    
PICOTA (GB) Sep05 Jan23       (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
JOHNNY DRAMA Nov18 Oct01 Aug26 Jun18   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PALAGIO Oct22 Sep04 Apr30 Apr01 Jan27 (shirreffs john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.