Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - December 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/1)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/3)-(1/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRC-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/5/6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/5/6/4)-(2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRC-4   WIN (1/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4)-(1/5/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/4)-(2/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/4)-(2/3)-(6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/4/5)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/5)-(6/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(6/2/5)-(4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-8   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
LRC-9   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWARENESS AUTISM         (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ELECTRIC DAZE by GILDED TIME)
LOVME LIKEAFOOL Nov19 Sep17 Aug04 Jun09 May20 (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of LOV FOOL by BUSHWACKER)
CANDY KENDALL Dec01         (miyadi steven)BAZE C 122 4.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of LADY SWEETNESS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
WHERE IS ZIZI         (morfin serg)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of DON'T SELL by SQUARE EDDIE)
CLUBHOUSE BRIDE         (kruljac j )GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LETS GET FRISKY by MARINO MARINI)
MUMBLES BROCKMAN Nov19 Oct22       (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of MERGER ARBITRAGE by MORE THAN READY)
SIGNORA VITTORIA Nov19 Oct08 Sep30 Sep10 Aug12 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
LRC-2   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPE ROUTE Oct09 Aug26 Jul22 Jun16 May07 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
MANITOWISH Jun18 May21 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) Nov18 Oct08 Aug12 Jul23 Jun11 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
SCR  MASTERMIND Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 May29 Apr29 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 12.00    
PRINCIPE CARLO Nov18 Aug26 Jul22 Aug27 Jul30 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 2.50    
IT'S MY HOUSE Nov05 Sep17 Jul30 Jun11 May13 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00    
 
LRC-3   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATOSHI Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 Sep01 Aug06 (hofmans dav)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MONEY PLAYS by MR. EASY MONEY)
SCR  KIMBERLY'S DEVIL Jul09 Jul01 May05 Feb04   (lucas j)HARVEY B 124 12.00    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of DEVIL INDEED by DEVIL HIS DUE)
BLUE CLOUD         (gomez ruben)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of COMMANDER CLOUD by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
PLUM CREEK Nov25         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
  (by SABURO out of SOLID SOLUTION by HAYNESFIELD)
C'MON LETS SWITCH Dec14 Nov15 Sep17     (lucas robe)BARRIENTOS LIDIO 124 10.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of CHOSEN ROYALTY by IN EXCESS (IRE))
BAJAN BASHERT Oct15 Sep08 Aug06 Mar19 Feb03 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.00 71% 0.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MAXIMUM EDGE by DIALED IN)
 
LRC-4   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZY EMPRESS Oct22         (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Nov18 Oct22 Aug17 Jul27 Jun09 (knapp steve)TORREALBA JG 117 6.00    
COCONUT GIRL Nov05 Oct22       (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.50    
VHAGAR Nov18 Oct21 Sep30     (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
DIAL A FRIEND         (miller peter)MALDONADO E 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
POP CHART Sep28 Sep11       (lindsey luke)MATIAS J 122 8.00 13% 6.60    
LOVE HONOR AND PAY Nov05 Sep09       (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 20.00    
ALMOST GOT LUCKY Nov05         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 10.00    
 
LRC-5   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VORPAL Nov26 Jul30 Jul02 Jun11   (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
WILL BE Nov11 Oct01 Aug17 Jun25   (damato philip)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
SAWASDEE Nov26 Sep10 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (mulhall kris)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ELECTOR Nov03 Oct15 Aug21 Jul31 May29 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 10.00    
SCR  THIRSTY JOHN Dec02 Nov03 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 8.00    
TAPATIO LEO Sep30 Sep10 May28 Apr09 Jul24 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20    
CROWNING GOLD Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 (koriner brian)KIRRANE SEAN 118 8.00    
 
LRC-6   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAMMETT Sep24         (lewis craig)HERRERA A 120 15.00    
CY'S SILKSTOCKING Oct22         (glatt mark)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00    
SHE'S MUY MUY Oct22         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 120 3.00    
THE MUSIC WE MAKE Nov25 Oct06 Aug18 Jul04 Jun16 (agarie ricky)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
INTENSE MOMENT         (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRAZEN TOUCH Oct28 Oct06 Aug24 Aug28 Aug06 (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00 54% 0.80    
LUCKY VEGAS Dec02 Mar19 Jan28 Jan02 Aug19 (papaprodromou ge)MACKAY JAY 110 3.50    
 
LRC-7   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROJECT LEADER Sep15 Jul09 Sep16 Jul02   (crotts ja)RAMIREZ S 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
POP POP'S RIDE Oct14 Sep09 Jul28     (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 12.00    
STAFFORD TO KUPP Oct09 Aug13 Jul01 Oct16 Sep01 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.50    
CITY OF CHAMPIONS Jul21 Jul09 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 124 3.00    
DR LOW KEY Oct13 Sep04 Jul29 Jun30 Mar11 (monascal b)HARVEY B 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  FAST PER SE Oct22 Sep24 Sep15 Jul01 Jun02 (lopez george )PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.50    
 
LRC-8   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACRODRA'S DEVIL Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Aug10 Jul29 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 124 15.00    
IRISH WAHINE Jan28 Jan13 Dec09 Sep23 Sep16 (knapp steve)BAZE C 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Nov11 Jun09 May19 Apr22 Mar17 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 3.00    
ROMAN EMPRESS Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 (saavedra anth)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
NEVER SWAY Nov11 Oct29 Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 (campuzano lorenzo)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
TROPICANA GIRL Nov11 Sep22 Sep16 Jul30 Jul01 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
LRC-9   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Soviet Problem Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADISON RAE Nov03 Oct08 Sep09     (miller peter)MALDONADO E 117 6.00    
  (by PAVEL out of TAFFETA by SOUTHERN RHYTHM)
PETIT FILET Nov03 Sep30 Sep08     (vuocolo a)RAMIREZ S 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by PAVEL out of CHARRED RARE by MOMENTUM)
ASADA FRIES Nov23 Oct20 Sep30 Sep10 Aug11 (lewis a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 2.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SALTY FRIES by IN EXCESS (IRE))
LORETTA LYNN Oct29         (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 117 1.60 51% 1.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUNDAY RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  FLY A FANTASY Nov03 Sep04 Aug06 Apr29   (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 117 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ALMOST REALITY by DESERT CODE)
PUTT FOR DOUGH Nov03 Oct08 Sep04 Aug06 Jul22 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 117 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALMOST GUILTY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.