Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Saturday - November 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(4/2)-(6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/7/1)-(2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DMR-3   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(2/3)-(1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/6/5)-(8/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DMR-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/2/7/1)-(8/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-6   WIN (8/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1)-(8/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/1)-(8/5/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/1)-(8/5/2/3)-(7/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DMR-7   WIN (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/3)-(7/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/3)-(7/6)-(4/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DMR-8   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4/11/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
DMR-9   WIN (4/11/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/11/10)-(4/11/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/11/10)-(4/11/2/10)-(4/11/2/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPYASACLAM (IRE) Oct20 Aug27 May13     (callaghan s)HERRERA A 122 5.00    
ADELIE (IRE) Oct06 Sep01 Jul29 Sep10 Aug04 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00    
INVENTING ANNA Sep28 Sep03 Jul21 May18 Oct30 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
MONIQUE Mar03 Nov25 Oct23 Aug21   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
STORMING GRAY Nov02 Sep30 Jun04     (gomez ruben)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 20.00    
VIEWERS DISCRETION Oct20 Sep01 Jul29 Apr28 Mar30 (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 4.00    
PRINCESS MIDNIGHT Oct20 Aug27 Mar25     (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
DMR-2   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Desi Arnaz Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTHING LIKE YOU Oct14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug06   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
TAMBO Oct21 Sep09 Jul28 Jul08   (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ENTICED out of FLATTER ME FIRST by FLATTER)
DON'T BRING CRAZY Nov02 Oct14 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LILY MARIA by PAYNTER)
ROYAL SLIPPER Oct06         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 0.80 52% 0.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAFFINA by ARCH)
HALONE Sep10         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SEA GIFT by A.P. INDY)
 
DMR-3   11/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS BURNER Oct27 Oct01 Apr22 Mar04 Feb11 (papaprodromou)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
CLASSICAL Oct27 Oct01 May04     (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
MOBE TOWN Oct27 Jul28 Nov05 Oct21 Sep10 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 122 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of EMPRESS OF MIDWAY by EMPIRE MAKER)
JOHNNY DRAMA Oct01 Aug26 Jun18     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HIT THE LIMIT by UNCLE MO)
ANNIVERSAIRE D'OR         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HIGH MAINTENANCE by DANEHILL)
NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Oct27 Aug19 Jul28 Jun03 May13 (knapp steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of PONTY ROYALE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
PETCOFF Oct27 Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 Jun03 (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
 
DMR-4   11/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY BRUIN GAL Nov05 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jun23 (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 111 4.00    
SUPER ENTICING Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28   (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 35% 1.90    
ASIAN MATRIARCH Oct22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28   (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Oct22 Aug17 Jul27 Jun09 May20 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00    
SHE'S MY NIECE Nov02 Sep24 Aug27 Aug04 Jun16 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 3.50    
 
DMR-5   11/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Sep04 Aug13 Oct09 Aug21   (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
TOM AND JAZZY Oct27 Sep30 Aug31 Aug06 Jul09 (puype mike)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
MARKS HIP Oct14 Aug27 Aug10 Jun11 May05 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
SYNTACTIC Oct09 Sep11 Aug26 Aug11 Jul02 (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
LOW EXPECTATIONS Oct21 Oct14 Sep03 Aug12 Apr08 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50 11% 8.10    
KID AZTECA Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul21 May29 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
DMR-6   11/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLY JOE SHAVER Sep29         (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
STAY ON THE FENCE Nov03 Oct07 Sep04 Aug13   (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by PAVEL out of FACTOR OF TWO by THE FACTOR)
WHISKEY RYE Sep29 Aug13       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 12.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of ROMANCE IS PASSION by IN EXCESS (IRE))
J DUTTON         (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of CAT FIVE' O by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
THIRSTY THURSDAY Nov10 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Apr30 (france rei)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BRILLIANT MELODY by CORNISH PRINCE)
BEAR COAST Nov10         (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SCREENSHOT by BODEMEISTER)
STOLEN TREASURE Oct07 Sep04 Aug10     (fre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
JARAMA Oct07         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MYFOURCHIX by HENNY HUGHES)
 
DMR-7   11/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY TEARS Oct27 Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Aug05 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
GOLD COUNCIL Nov06         (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
RACHEL'S COACH Sep23 Aug27 Aug10 Apr07 Mar12 (kitchi)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GEEZER Oct27 Sep30 Aug05 Jan07 Dec18 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
BOOK SMART Nov12 Oct07 Aug04 Jun17 May13 (hess b)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
CRIBBAGE BOARD Oct29 Sep22 Sep03 Aug07 Jul24 (saavedra a)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
MEESH Oct27 Sep08 Aug05 Jun17   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
DOUBLE JAB Aug11 Feb04 Nov20     (mathis andy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
BARELY FUNTIONAL Oct27 Sep30 Aug27 Aug04 Jul09 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
 
DMR-8   11/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cary Grant Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCIPE CARLO Aug26 Jul22 Aug27 Jul30 May29 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
  (by COIL out of PRINCESS EZRA by RAHY)
SCR  TRIP TO SPAIN Oct02 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (tho)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SPANISH DOLL by COMIC STRIP)
NONE ABOVE THE LAW Oct15 Sep02 Aug05 Jun24 May28 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LEGALLY BLANCA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  LOVESICK BLUES Oct09 Sep22 Aug19 Jun24 May27 (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of QUEENOFHERCASTLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
BIG CITY LIGHTS Jan07 Nov19 Sep17 Aug05   (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MR. BIG out of CHAMPAGNE EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
THE CHOSEN VRON Nov04 Jul29 May28 Mar19 Feb20 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZ MOLLY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
MOOSE MITCHELL Nov05 Sep22 Aug26 Jul22 Jun04 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SUNRISE AVENUE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  DESMOND DOSS Oct09 Aug26 Jun24 May27 May07 (miyadi steven)BAZE C 120 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MALLEY GIRL by MALEK (CHI))
SCR  FAST DRAW MUNNINGS Sep16 Aug12 May08 Feb19 Jan15 ( )TBA null      
  (by MUNNINGS out of ZUZU'S PETALS by CARR DE NASKRA)
 
DMR-9   11/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM BOMBADIL Oct09 Sep24 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 10.00    
HOT BOX Sep10 Aug06 Jan02 Dec03 Oct16 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
STORMY SAMURAI Nov05 Aug18 Jun25 Apr23 Mar31 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 15.00    
GIVE ME THE LUTE Oct27 Sep29 Sep04 Jul23 Feb10 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
KIMMER Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 Jan02 Dec11 (vallejo genar)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
SCR  SILARDI Sep08 Jul07 Jun09 May14 Apr07 (sweezey k)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
PERFECTIONISTIC Oct27 Sep22 Sep23 Jul22 Apr30 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
LANSDOWNE (GB) Oct15 Sep20 Aug24 Aug02 Jul27 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 120 12.00    
10  MAVEN Sep29 Aug27 Apr09 Mar12 Jan22 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  CODE CHARLIE Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jul14 Jun25 (val)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  WESTWARD LOOK Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.