Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(2/5/3)-(9/6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(9/6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(9/6/3/2)-(8/9/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-4   WIN (9/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/2)-(9/6/3/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/2)-(9/6/3/8/2)-(9/6/3/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/3/2)-(8/9/3/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3/2)-(8/9/3/6)-(7/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-5   WIN (8/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/6)-(8/9/3/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/6)-(8/9/3/10/6)-(8/9/3/10/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/3/6)-(7/9/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/6)-(7/9/5)-(3/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-6   WIN (7/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/5)-(7/9/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/5)-(7/9/2/5)-(7/9/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/5)-(3/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5)-(3/6/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
DMR-8   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATERINI Oct14 Sep04 Aug25 Jun16 Apr28 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 1.80 47% 1.10    
LEOPARDESS (GB) Sep10 Aug19 Jun21 May18 Sep28 (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 17% 4.80    
SHEZMISBEHAVING Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jun16 May26 (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 125 15.00    
MAGAZINE Oct14 Aug17 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 (eurton pete)HERRERA A 122 4.00    
VIOLET STORM Oct20 Sep04 Feb12 Jan22 Dec18 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Oct20 Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jun17 (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 125 8.00    
 
DMR-2   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACT OR FICTION Oct20 Oct07 Aug10 Jul29   (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
HALO UNCLE Oct20 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Aug10 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 1.60 27% 2.70    
EDDIE'S WAVE         (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Apr30   (france rei)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00    
BEAR COAST         (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
UNCLE JUJU Oct28 Sep08       (aguirre paul)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 6.00    
 
DMR-3   11/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA VIENNA Oct22 Sep10 Jul22     (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 12.00    
THERMAL Oct09 Aug27 Jul30     (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.80 23% 3.30    
BECKY'S DREAM (FR) Oct21 Jun17 May27     (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
CHEEKY GAL Oct21 Sep09 Aug06     (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
JULIAS DREAM Sep09 Aug06       (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
APRIL VINTAGE Oct07 Sep01 Jul22     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
 
DMR-4   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLT AT MIDNIGHT Sep30         (ruis mick )GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 30.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MY MIDNIGHT AFFAIR by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
POINT DUME Aug26 Aug12       (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAYA MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
COLORADO CRUISER Oct21 Sep30       (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
SAND BAGGER Oct07         (mandella richa)TORREALBA JG 113 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STRADELLA ROAD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
DUCCIO Sep10         (powell leonard)SMITH E 120 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of D'ARGENT DE MIEL by UNION RAGS)
BARTHOLDY Sep30         (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
AMERICAN FLYER Oct15 Sep10       (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAPANY by TAPIT)
INDISPENSABLE (ARG) Oct07 Aug25       (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
COACH PRIME Oct07         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ACT NOW by STREET SENSE)
10  ARIO Oct15 Sep09 Aug12     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of INFLICTION by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
DMR-5   11/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYQUILER Sep23 Sep04 May20     (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 121 30.00    
THRUST Oct08 Aug26 Jul21     (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
ST IGNACIO Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 Jun18 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00 5% 17.30    
THANK YOU HONEY         (gaines carla)TORREALBA JG 115 20.00    
ADVENTURESOME Jul30 Jul08 May29 May12 Apr22 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
HARD TIMES Oct20 Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Nov13 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
AUTOLINE (IRE) Sep29 Sep09       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
PINEHURST (IRE) Oct14 Jul31 Jan29     (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 54% 0.80    
QUINTECENTS Oct20 Sep29 Sep10 Aug26 Nov19 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 17% 5.00    
10  SMOOTH SALUTE Oct14 Aug19 Jul29 May29 Apr22 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
SCR  AVIATOR NATION Oct22 Aug31 Aug05 Jul01   (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 12.00    
SCR  CHROME TO RICHES Oct22 Sep10 Aug05 Mar25 Jan07 (gaines carla)ESPINOZA V 122 8.00    
 
DMR-6   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MARYANN Oct08 Sep08 Jan28 Dec26 Oct16 (gutierrez j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Oct08 Sep08 Aug24 Jul28 Jun18 (ellis rona)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 2.50    
BELLA RENELLA Oct29 Jun18 Jun02 Apr02 Mar17 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00    
SCARY FAST RIDE Oct15 Aug13 Aug28     (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 6.00    
SHANGHAI SUNRISE Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 Aug03 Jul08 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MANGO MOON Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jun25 (raudales jo)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 20.00    
CLASS CLOWN Oct08 Sep17 Aug24     (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 3.50 62% 0.60    
CHOLLY Sep08 Sep01 Jul27 Apr08 Mar11 (hanson)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00    
DON'T JU FORGET Nov02 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Jul08 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 12% 7.00    
 
DMR-7   11/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Let It Ride Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP AZA TACK Oct20 Mar05 Nov04 Sep08 Jul30 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of QUE CHULO by RACING RHINOCEROUS)
CALM SEA Oct14 Sep09 Mar12 Feb11 Nov26 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CAMILO Oct07 Apr20 Mar18     (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MANGO DIVA by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR)
AH JEEZ Sep30 Sep03 Jul21 May13 Dec30 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POETIC by VIOLENCE)
SMART MO Oct14 Sep03 Aug06 Jul08 May26 (shirreffs )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of VENDITA by SMART STRIKE)
DANDY MAN SHINES (IRE) Sep09 Jan21 Dec26 Dec04 Oct09 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 1.60 15% 5.90    
  (by DANDY MAN out of ZEHRAH by RAVEN'S PASS)
 
DMR-8   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUTY FIRST Oct07 Sep22 Aug27 Aug06 Aug20 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT FURY Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 Jun18 (knapp steve)ESPINOZA V 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
CREATIVE WAY Oct14 Sep20 Aug05 Jun22 May25 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
TORQUEWRENCH Oct27 Oct01 Aug24 Aug06   (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
LONESOME STEW Oct09 Jan07 Sep01     (glatt mark)BAZE C 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
NOKIE Oct09 Apr23       (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
ZE'BUL Oct08 Aug13 Jul21 Jun04 May06 (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
BENDETTIJOE Oct06 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun08 (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 125 12.00    
HONDO CROUCH Oct08 Sep03 Aug06 Jan08 Nov27 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.