Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-4   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-6   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-8   WIN (9/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/8)-(9/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/8)-(9/5/8)-(9/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-11   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-4   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Jul29 Jan15 Jan01 Dec13 Oct31 (midd)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 12.00    
MAMA WAS A ROCKET Jul22 Jan15 Dec13 Oct30 Aug14 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
DESERT SPIRIT (IRE) Jul23 Jan29 Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 10.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  MARKED BY A STORM Jul14 Jun23 Apr09 Mar26 Feb14 (chavez art)MEDINA ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
TURN ON ARCH Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 May20 Apr22 (quiroz fil)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00    
SCR  PUNCTUAL ALARM Jun24 Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Feb08 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
HOLOTTALUTE Jul22 Jul08 Mar26 Feb26 Jan15 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
MOONLIGHT WARRIOR Jul08 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 Dec12 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00    
THATGIRL'SONFIRE Jun23 Sep17 Aug19 May27 May07 (chavez arturo)JAIME R 123 20.00    
 
RUI-6   09/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Overnight Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE STREET Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 Feb04 Jan15 (marlin i)HEBERT J 123 5.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of SCOOTLES by MACHO UNO)
ESPIONAGE Jul30 Jun25 Apr29 Apr15 Mar26 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
CREATIVE BID Oct05 Aug28 Jul30     (hone b)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PELT by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
NUMEROLOGIST Jul30 Jun16 May21 May01 Mar12 (buechle)FUENTES T 123 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of WHIMSY by MARIA'S MON)
GO RED RASCAL Jun11 Mar07 Feb21 Jan17 Nov22 (munoz guadalupe )VALDEZ S 123 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by SHOOTER out of GO ARI GO by WORKER MAN)
CREME DE LA CHROME Jul30 Jun25 May06 Apr01 Mar06 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TIGHT WEAVE by HIGH COTTON)
RUNNINGINTHERAIN May13 Mar14 Dec01 Oct10 Aug31 (cross gary)ROSENDO J 123 4.50    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of BRING ON THE RAIN by STORM OF GOSHEN)
 
RUI-8   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Overnight Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIGHT FITTIN JEANS Jul23 Apr02 Mar07 Feb05 Jan01 (green greg)ROCHA O 123 5.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CURVY KITTEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
DANNYBOB Jul16 May06 Apr25 Mar18 Apr16 (hone bart)RODRIGUEZ H 123 20.00    
  (by SALUTE THE SARGE out of TERINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
CHARLEE MAE Aug05 Jun24 Jun01 May11 Apr22 (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CORINTHIAN LUCK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  BELLA DONA Mar12 Oct30 Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CHARLOTTE'S DRONE by B. G.'S DRONE)
BETTER BELIEVE Jul22 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MARKING out of LOOKIN BETTER by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  BRITISH EDGE Aug05 Jun28       (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of MAJESTIC GABRIELA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
CHARLIES HURRICANE Sep17 Aug19 Jul17 May27 May01 (buechle)FUENTES T 123 15.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
CHESTERETTE Apr02 Feb07 Mar11 Feb23 Jan23 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JENNY'S SO GREAT by GREATNESS)
FLYIN FALYNN Jul16 Mar26 Jan08 Dec20 Nov22 (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of AIR GUITAR by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
RUI-11   09/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Overnight Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCIENT LAND Jul22 Jun11 Jan03 Oct01 Aug27 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of RODINIA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
COMET CAUSEY Feb28 Jan31 Dec12 Oct30 Sep30 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 8.00    
  (by THE WAY HOME out of SHINE MISS COMET by COMET SHINE)
SPINNING BLACK Jul22 Jun18 May21 Apr29 Apr15 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
  (by SPINNING TOUCH out of CLEAR CREEK CANYON by MAKALEHA)
I THINK I'M HERE Mar26 Feb28 Jan31 Dec19 Nov22 (silva n)VALDEZ S 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by MARKING out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
COLOR ME GONE Jul23 Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00    
  (by SPINNING TOUCH out of GO FOR HEAVEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  JET N G Jul22 May20 Apr22 Mar26 Feb28 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 4.50    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of BOOK THE CAT by TABASCO CAT)
WARRIORS MARK Jul16 Jun23 Mar14 Jan11   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by MARKING out of FLYING HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.