Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lethbridge
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LBG-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-3   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LBG-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LBG-1   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Three Year Old Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PADDYS ROCKET Aug19 Aug05 Jun30 Jun10   (brown r)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 40% 1.50    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of CEDAR FEVER by MINARDI)
FULLOUT FIRE Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 Oct29 (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 5.00    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of OTHLADY by OTHELLO)
STAY OUTA MY WAY Aug20 Aug06 Jul22     (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
  (by ILIAD out of IT'S JO JO by JOHANNESBURG)
YES NO MAYBE SO Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by ILIAD out of LOST MEMORY by THUNDER GULCH)
CLEVER CONNECTION Aug13 Jul23 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of BLINKANSHESGONE by LOST CANYON (GB))
 
LBG-2   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Fillies Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SECRET AGENT GAL Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jul29 Jul17 (mccracken memo)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by DECLASSIFY out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
RUNNIN BABY J Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jun23 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of NAPANEE by BERNSTEIN)
SUGAR MOON Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 (marks garry)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of SAINT'S ECHO by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
CMON SHARON Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (willard k)BUGEAUD L 124 4.00    
  (by BENCH THE JUDGE out of TRUSTY LASS by TEMPERED APPEAL)
THE RIVER GREY Aug05 Jul08 Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 0.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CHARMING ASSASSIN out of PRECIOUS LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LBG-3   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDRY KYLE Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jun18 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SHELLPHONE Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 Oct08 Oct02 (weaselhead godf)APANGO JUAN 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
GET BAKK Aug13 Jul22 May27 May13 Sep30 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 6.00    
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (mcconaghi)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 12.00    
SAYITALL Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Oct08 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 Apr08 Mar29 (rumsey cory)ALLEN LARRIS 124 4.00    
SIZZLE N SUSIE Aug05 Jul15 Jul08 Jun23 Sep23 (blattler c)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
WAR MAIDEN Aug20 Jul30 Jul23 Jun23 Jun11 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
 
LBG-4   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZA UNBRIDLED Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 Jul01 Jun24 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by DANZA out of BRAZILIAN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
DOC ROSS Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GAYEGO out of DANCE COUNTRY by DEPUTY COUNTRY)
KVOTHE Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun18 (smith rusty)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00    
  (by CAUSE TO BELIEVE out of KIMBO by SKIP TO THE STONE)
IMPERIAL GO BOY Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Sep17 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 4.50    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of TENDRA'S WAY by JADE HUNTER)
YNOTGIVEITAGO Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 (mcnally k)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
 
LBG-5   09/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Fillies Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED WOMAN Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MACHO WOMAN by MACHO UNO)
TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Aug13 Jul30 Jun23 Jun11 May28 (marks garry)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50    
  (by WILKO out of KULKA by VICTORY GALLOP)
FRAN FROM PERU Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun25 Sep04 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of IT'S JO JO by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  CATWALK QUEEN Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (oberholtzer danie)ROCHA O 124 4.00    
  (by BEST OF THE BESTS (IRE) out of MARKED TREASURE by BENCHMARK)
PRINCESS PAISLEY Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun23 Sep25 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of GUILTYBYSUPISCION by CANDID CAMERON)
DANCE SHOES Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May06 Jan23 (brown r)NELSON DANE 124 0.40 73% 0.40    
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.