Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (7/4/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6/8)-(7/4/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/6/8)-(7/4/3/6/8)-(7/4/3/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/3/6/8)-(8/4/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/6/8)-(8/4/1/6)-(2/1/5/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-2   WIN (8/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/6)-(8/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/6)-(8/4/1/6)-(8/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/6)-(2/1/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(6/3/8/1/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-3   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/6)-(6/3/8/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/6)-(6/3/8/1/9)-(4/5/2/8/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-4   WIN (6/3/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/1/9)-(6/3/8/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/1/9)-(6/3/8/1/9)-(6/3/8/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/1/9)-(4/5/2/8/11) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/1/9)-(4/5/2/8/11)-(9/7/5/6/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
DMR-5   WIN (4/5/2/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/8/11)-(4/5/2/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/8/11)-(4/5/2/8/11)-(4/5/2/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/2/8/11)-(9/7/5/6/4) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/8/11)-(9/7/5/6/4)-(1/5/9/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-6   WIN (9/7/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/5/6/4)-(9/7/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/5/6/4)-(9/7/5/6/4)-(9/7/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/5/6/4)-(1/5/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/7/5/6/4)-(1/5/9/10)-(2/10/9/3/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-7   WIN (1/5/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/10)-(1/5/9/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/10)-(1/5/9/4/10)-(1/5/9/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/9/10)-(2/10/9/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
DMR-8   WIN (2/10/9/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/3/4)-(2/10/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/3/4)-(2/10/9/3/4)-(2/10/9/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELMONT BILL Jun09 May14 Apr23 Mar26 Feb19 (saavedra an)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
  (by OXBOW out of ARTA B TAPPIN by TAPIT)
GRANITIANSEVENSIX Apr26         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
MIDNIGHT FURY Jun18 Feb11 Jan22     (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 7% 12.80    
  (by CONNECT out of BETTER NOT BLINK by HARD SPUN)
CAPTAIN SPARROW Nov19         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ARCH SUPPORT by ARCH)
POP POP'S RIDE         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EILEEN'S GIRL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RAHM Jun23         (miller pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Jun03 May13 Apr22     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
  (by PROFITABLE out of PONTY ROYALE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
MOBE TOWN Nov05 Oct21 Sep10     (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of EMPRESS OF MIDWAY by EMPIRE MAKER)
PLAYER B         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  PETCOFF Jun03 Feb19       (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
SCR  GRAND TIGER May28 Apr28       (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 124 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
SCR  SEAL TEAM (GB) Nov19         (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MRS MCDOUGAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
DMR-2   07/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($80K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION HEIRESS         (mclean bill)ROMAN A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAKURA BLOSSOM Jun29         (powell leon)HERRERA A 118 6.00    
ASIAN MATRIARCH         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
CARALOVA         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
SUPER ENTICING         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SELDOVIA May20 Apr29       (mendez lui)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DESERT RHAPSODY Jul07         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
TAMBO Jul08         (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
DMR-3   07/28/2023 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINEELEVENTURBO Jun10 May20 May07 Jun03 May13 (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
RIJEKA (IRE) Jun03 Apr28 Aug05 Jun19 May15 (d'amato phil)DESORMEAUX J 125 3.00 35% 1.80    
KINGMEISTER Jul01 Jun09 May12 Apr08 Nov04 (mclean bill)ROMAN A 123 6.00    
COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Jul01 May05 Apr13     (murphy conor)BRAVO J 125 5.00    
SEVEN WONDERS Jun03 Mar09 Jan02 Nov26 Oct29 (eurton pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Jul09 Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SEVENTEEN BLACK Jun04 May14 Apr30 Apr01 Mar04 (hofmans dav)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 15.00    
 
DMR-4   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOV U MEAN IT Jun17 May19 Apr30 Apr08 Mar11 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
EVERLYS GIRL Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 Mar04 Feb05 (naranj)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
TEN THE SMART WAY Apr21 Mar04 Feb12 Mar25 Feb19 (mathis andy)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 10% 9.40    
WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Jun18 Feb06 Jan16     (puype mike)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
QUEENIES WAY May29 May04 Mar31 Mar16 Feb19 (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 10.00    
SIGNORA MINISTER Jun24 Jun09 May12     (miller pete)HERRERA A 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
THE REIGN SONG Jul04 May29 Apr21 Mar26 Jan29 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
NEVER SWAY Jun25 Jun16 May19 May07 Apr09 (fra)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 8% 12.10    
CARELESS STAR May07 Apr09 Jan06 Aug21 Jul31 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-5   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXVILLE Jun10 May19       (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 20.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of MARGOT MACHANCE by CREACHADOIR)
DARK MARCUS Jul01 Nov04 Oct09 Sep01 Jul28 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.00 8% 12.10    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MARALAGO by THUNDER GULCH)
MOON ICE Jun10 Apr28 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (sadler john )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 6.00    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of WILD PHOEBE by OFFLEE WILD)
LUKA GRAZIE Jun24 Nov18 Oct22 Sep11 Jul16 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of KUKALUKA by COMIC STRIP)
PANTHERA'S FATE Jun10         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SENECA DESTINY by SENECA JONES)
GRAZED Jun10 Aug18 Jun19 May13   (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of ACATEGORYFIVESTORM by SONGANDAPRAYER)
ANDY CAN U HEAR ME Jun17 May07       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SINGN ON THEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
CHIPPEWA BUD         (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZBUD out of FLAMING DIXIE by DIXIELAND BAND)
SILENT HEAT Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar25 Mar17 (saavedra anth)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 12.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of SILENT DEPOSITION by SILIC (FR))
10  EL REY DORADO Jun17 May28       (garcia anto)HERRERA A 120 30.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERRY KNOLL by VINDICATION)
11  GRANNY'S IPA Jun17         (cassidy james)SMITH E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of CAYTON by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  CENTRE CIRCLE Jun10 Apr30 Mar25 Feb21 Jan28 (dunham daniel)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 20.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of PICTURE PERFECT by SWAIN (IRE))
SCR  INFINITEEXPERIENCE Jun10 May19 Nov07 Oct01 Aug28 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 10.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SEA CREATURE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  EDDIE'S LAST Jun10 May19 Aug20 Aug05 Jul01 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
 
DMR-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIQUISH Jun17 Apr08 Mar05 Feb05   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
KO OLINA Jun23 Jun10 Sep01 Jul29 May28 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 124 20.00    
SOUL OF A WARRIOR Jun25 May26 Apr21 Apr02 Jan28 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00    
FULTON MARKET Jun17 Apr22 Dec01 Nov13 Aug26 (proctor th)VAN DRAYDEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HOME COOKING Jun16 Oct08 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
PEQUENA TORMENTA Jun17 Apr21 Jun17 May20 Mar27 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
HALFWAY TO NOWHERE Jun04         (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
VITALERA (CHI) Jun17         (polanco mar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 20.00    
COFFEE IN BED Mar27 Jan06       (mandella richard )SMITH E 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  PRACTICA CAT (CHI) May18         (sanchez ama)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00    
11  POWER SURGE Apr01 Apr09 Mar11 Feb06   (koriner brian)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00    
12  FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Jul04 Jun16 May26 Apr29   (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 30.00    
 
DMR-7   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Daisycutter Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) Apr15 Oct16 Jul29 May14 Apr10 (ward a)SMITH E 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by NATIONAL DEFENSE out of THAMES PAGEANT by DANSILI (GB))
SASSY NATURE Jun11 May03 Apr14 Mar25 Mar01 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 116 10.00    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
UNBRIDLED MARY Jun24 Apr22 Mar26 Feb20 Jun11 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BAUBLE by TALE OF THE CAT)
AMY C (GB) Jun09 Jan02 Oct29 Jul23 Jun18 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CHARMING THOUGHT out of ALZAHRA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
XMAS SURPRISE Apr29 Mar26 Feb20 Jan13 Nov19 (powell leonard)BRAVO J 119 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ALLWEWANTFORXMAS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
WIDE WEST (IRE) May20 Apr22 Mar25 Oct08 Jul13 (proctor th)HERNANDEZ J 116 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DEER VALLEY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TONY ANN Nov26 Mar05 Jan21     (d'amato phil)DESORMEAUX J 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of NEVER EVER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
PRINCESS ADALEIGH May27 Apr22 Feb20 Jan22 Nov19 (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARING DARLING by TIZ WONDERFUL)
10  SECRETS TOLD May27 Apr29 Mar26 Feb20 Jan13 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  KITTY KITANA (GB) Jun18 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00    
  (by BOBBY'S KITTEN out of MISTAKEN LOVE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  TOM'S REGRET Jul02 May28 May06 Apr08 Mar12 ( )TBA null      
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of PURE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
DMR-8   07/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MI CABO EXPRESS         (miller pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00    
BALLYMUN         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
ARTIST POINT         (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 120 5.00 5% 18.70    
IT AINT OVER         (howey quinn)HERRERA A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND CONCERTO         (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Apr30         (howey quinn)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 30.00    
SUNRISE MISCHIEF         (mathis andy)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00    
GENTLEMEN'S CLUB         (lewis )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 6.00    
MR. DREAMCYCLE Jul02 Jun11 May21     (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 6% 15.60    
10  SHINING TIGER         (koriner brian)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.