Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-2   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-4   WIN (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-6   WIN (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-8   WIN (8/2/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/6/7)-(8/2/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/6/7)-(8/2/4/6/7)-(8/2/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-10   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-2   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKROUNDTHETRUTH Jun04 Mar19 Jul29 Jul03 Jun10 (riddle e)VALDEZ S 121 1.80    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of MOCKINGJAY by BROKEN VOW)
SPEED BUMP BOB Jun16         (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of FOLLOW THE SMOKE by DESERT GOD)
LET HIM BE         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
MUSICS MY VICE Oct30 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MARKING out of MUSIC IN THE STORM by TRIAL BY JURY)
TATAS JOE MARK Apr22 Mar26 Feb28 Jan17 Jan01 (villalobos a)JAIME R 121 4.50    
  (by MARKING out of ONE TASTE by TASTE OF PARADISE)
MICKEYS TRAIL Apr22 Mar28 Mar12     (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00 6% 14.50    
  (by AWESOME INDIAN out of MICKEYS LAST DANCE by PRECOCITY)
NACHO GRANDE Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 May20 (quiroz fili)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 32% 2.20    
  (by DOME out of SHE'S A VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
RUI-4   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 35 M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PANDORA WHO Jun24 May20 Mar26 Feb19 Feb05 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
SKYSPEIGHT Jun24 May29 May13 Apr15 Mar12 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 8.00    
LUCKY AND DARING         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
DYNAMIC WOMAN May14 May07 Apr22 Apr01 Mar21 (lewis jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME THE TEQUILA Jun11 Mar19 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 (riddle e)VALDEZ S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
WESTLAND Jun24 Oct12 Oct05 Sep09 Jul23 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BULLDACIOUS KROME Jun24 May20 May06 Apr22 Feb14 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 5.00    
ROCKETT'S RED CITY Jun04 Mar05 Feb12 Jan17 Dec06 (smith pau)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 4.50    
GONE KAT Jun24         (lambert t)PEREZ A 121 30.00    
10  WHY FOR Jun11 May14       (cross gary)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
 
RUI-6   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VERMEIL (URU) May21 Apr29 Mar07 Feb14   (hudson jeff)HEBERT J 123 10.00    
SWEET TEMPEST May20 Mar28 Mar07     (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
LEMON DROP LADY Apr19 Mar26 Feb14 Dec13 Nov01 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
TURN ON ARCH May20 Apr22 Feb19 Jan31 Dec20 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 2.50    
CUZ I CAN DARLING Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 Sep24 Sep08 (villalobos miguel)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
ZANARAZZI Mar12 Jan29 Dec19 Nov21 Aug31 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
IT'S SAUL RIGHT Jun18 May07 Apr23 Mar26 Mar03 (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 121 8.00    
MOVING VIOLATION Mar07 Feb14 Nov08 Sep30 May08 (villalobos a)JAIME R 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
RUI-8   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 2 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM CENT Jun23         (valerio g)PEREZ A 117 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of WAGE A PENNY by VALID WAGER)
STREET MARK         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
EL HUARACHE PRIETO Jun23         (duree d)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 20.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of ZILLY by WESTERN GAMBLER)
MARK IT DOWN         (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 117 4.50 8% 12.20    
  (by MARKING out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
SHAME ON WHISKEY         (lambert)FUENTES T 120 8.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of DRINK MO HENNESSY by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
RUNNING ROGUE         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARRIS out of ROGUE DIVERGENT by VALET MAN)
VIPER BREATH         (wellbo)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of VIPERVAPOR by DEVON LANE)
ATTILA'S ACE Jun23         (rondan jes)RODRIGUEZ H 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of DESERT GAMBLER by DESERT CLASSIC)
KID CUSTER         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 120 5.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of TWIXY ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
10  MARTINI GIRL         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 10.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of DATTTS DA BOSS by STREET BOSS)
SCR  PAYINGOFFMYMARKER         (fincher w)HEBERT J 117 8.00    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
SCR  AARON WHO Jun09         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
  (by COMFORT out of WEEKENDS FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
RUI-10   07/09/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19.8K) 35 M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAL GAL May05         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LOOKING OUT by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR  MARGOT Apr30 Mar14 Feb14 Jan15 Dec17 (cappell)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50    
  (by KABORI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MS JAZZ Jun11         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of MJDONTLOSEMYNUMBER by ABAJO)
FIRST ZAP Apr02 Mar07 Jan29 Jan15 Dec19 (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 121 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of REDSHIRT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
OCCURRENCE Jun18 May29 May18 Apr14 Mar21 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
WHAT A MEMORY Mar07 Feb14 Jan15 Nov30 Oct18 (marquez r)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 6.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLYING NORTH by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
KATZIE BABY Jun24 Nov26       (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.