Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/7)-(1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(1/6)-(1/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(1/5/4)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/5)-(3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/7)-(4/3/5/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/9/8)-(3/7/9/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(4/3/5/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(8/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(8/1/5)-(6/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(6/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5)-(6/3/1)-(7/8/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(7/8/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-10   WIN (7/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5/10)-(7/8/2/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUSHINESS         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of IMPERIAL PIPPIN by EMPIRE MAKER)
DANCE ELLA DANCE Apr29         (saldana ree)HERRERA A 118 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ZENZARA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RECALCITRANT Apr29         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by PAVEL out of HACKTIVISM by SQUARE EDDIE)
GRACEFUL SCARLETT Apr29         (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
BORNTOSTAYTHIRSTY Apr29         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SPRING MOON by ZENSATIONAL)
ANNIE FOX         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 118 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WICKED WAHINE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SELDOVIA Apr29         (mendez lui)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of ROCKIN DORITA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
SA-2   05/20/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALEO'S PRINCESS Apr22 Mar18 Feb19 May28 May08 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00 47% 1.10    
WESTWARD BREEZE Jun12 May14 Apr08 Feb11 Jan07 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 126 8.00    
SCR  KATERINI Apr28 Apr01 Feb19 Dec31 Nov06 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 2.00    
TRAVEL SMART Apr28 Jul02 Jun18 May27 Apr15 (miller peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 8.00    
CORNELIA FORT Apr22 Mar26 Jan28 Dec10   (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Apr21 Mar17 Feb18 Dec31   (wong j)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 6.00 24% 3.10    
INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Apr28 Jan23       (mullins jef)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 2.50    
 
SA-3   05/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIAMINA Apr29         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY FIONA by GHOSTZAPPER)
STAY QUIET         (schnell don)BRAVO J 118 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PANDURA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
HIGH FLYING GRACIE         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY LOVE MAGNET by BODEMEISTER)
THIRSTY FOR LOVE         (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 12.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EMPRESS OF LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
CONQUEST CELSIUS Apr29         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 1.60 22% 3.60    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISS THIRTYFOUR D by BERTRANDO)
LOVME LIKEAFOOL         (alvarez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 20.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of LOV FOOL by BUSHWACKER)
CRAZY HOT         (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 2.50 12% 7.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HARBOR MIST by MEADOWLAKE)
 
SA-4   05/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOHA KITTEN Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 Feb18 Feb10 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
ANGEL NADESHIKO Feb04 Jan15 Dec03 Oct30 Oct01 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
FOUNDER'S DAY Apr22 Mar05 Feb20 Jan13 Dec18 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 5.00    
SYMPHONY PERFECT (IRE) Apr22 Feb20       (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 15% 5.90    
EVER SMART Apr29 Dec03 Oct15 Sep05 Aug20 (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
SA-5   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($40K) 35 ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY UNIONS         (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00    
BRAZEN BULL Apr23         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50    
ZIHUATANEJO Mar12 Feb17 Dec26 Nov19   (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 5.00    
BUFFETT Nov24 Oct10 Sep30 Aug18   (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 120 12.00    
BIG HAT WILLIE May05 Apr09 Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
MOR TEQUILA Apr23 Aug18       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
 
SA-6   05/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE AND HUMBLE Apr30 Sep09 Jul30 Jul04   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 13% 6.90    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
GALIMINE (FR)         (powell leon)HERRERA A 118 8.00    
  (by GALIWAY out of ANOTHER LOVE by SOUL CITY)
RUBY NELL Apr23 Mar18 Jan22     (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LULU LEMON DROP Apr28 Apr07 Mar18     (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of WILD LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
SAKURA FLAVOR (IRE) Apr07 Oct02       (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 118 20.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of MADLY TRULY by MALIBU MOON)
ROCKIN TO THE BOSS Apr30         (gal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
LUMINIFEROUS Apr30 Apr02 Feb18 Dec30 Nov13 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WAVE THEORY by SMART STRIKE)
STRIKINGLY Apr30 Mar18 Feb20 Dec22 Oct06 (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 6.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
ANNIE'S JOY Apr07         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOTLEG ANNIE by GO FOR GIN)
 
SA-7   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWICE FOOLED Apr04 Mar04 Feb06 Jan17 Dec26 (belvoir vann)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50    
MY AMIGO Mar31 Mar04 Sep07     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 118 6.00    
LIDDELL         (blacker daniel)MALDONADO E 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
APPLE WARRIOR Apr22         (sadler john)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 3.00 32% 2.10    
TENTH STREET DON Apr29 Mar26 Feb18 Jan13 Dec26 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 126 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  CUPID'S CRUSADER Apr29 Mar17 Jan27 Dec18   (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 6.00    
KING HEAT         (lewis cr)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 12.00 13% 6.70    
PRAYFOROURCOUNTRY Apr29 Sep05 Aug11     (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 118 15.00    
ARTABKEEN May06 Jan01       (aquino ang)GONZALEZ P 126 20.00    
 
SA-8   05/20/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mizdirection Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY PANTS Nov27 Sep24 Aug07 Jun25 May20 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of QUEENS CAROUSEL by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
CANOODLING Apr30 Apr08 May30 May01 Mar05 (puype mike)SMITH E 124 4.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FREEDOM FLYER Apr08 Feb18 Jan02 Oct29 Sep30 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of REBUKE by CARSON CITY)
VERY SCARY Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Dec19 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 120 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SUMMER READING by HARD SPUN)
ELM DRIVE Apr08 Sep24 Aug06 Jul04 May08 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  LADY JAE Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan02 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
  (by BIG DRAMA out of LADY LOUSHE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
UNA CHIQUITITA (CHI) Mar31 Feb18       (polanc)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 20.00    
  (by KATMAI out of UNBENDING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BIG SUMMER Apr08 Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 (gaines carla)BRAVO J 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by MR. BIG out of ULTIMATE SUMMER by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  ONE SILK STOCKING Apr22 Mar12 Feb04 Dec30 Nov18 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of KEEP RIGHT by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
SA-9   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO'S CANDY Mar18 Feb17 Jan21 Dec02 Oct08 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 4.00 12% 7.50    
ECONOMICAL May14 Apr23 Feb20 Dec30 Dec17 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
JOKER BOY Apr08 Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 Nov19 (o'neill doug)BRAVO J 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
TIME TO ZOOM Apr01 Mar18 Feb26 Feb19 Jun11 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ D 122 12.00    
SELF TAUGHT Apr08 Mar04 Jan27 Dec11 Nov06 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.00    
STRIKE THAT May06 Mar26 Apr30 Apr09   (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
SA-10   05/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREW DRAGON Apr23 Mar04 Jan21 Dec04 Oct23 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 20.00    
SEVEN CHARMS Jul24 Jun18 May22 Apr03   (mccarthy michae)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50 12% 7.50    
FLINT STROLL Apr29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan27 Jan08 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 126 8.00    
HALFBARBERBINGIE Apr29 Jan21 Nov27 Oct28 Sep11 (farias)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 20.00    
DURANTE Dec17 Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
LOTTERY PICK Apr09 Feb26 Jan21 Nov18 Jan23 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00    
NINEELEVENTURBO May07 Jun03 May13 Apr02 Mar06 (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
ONCOMING Apr29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan21 Jan08 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
ROSENQUIST Apr29 Mar27 Feb20 Jun10 May08 (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 15.00    
10  STOTLAND Mar27 Mar04 Jan22 Nov27 Nov06 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.