Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (5/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/8)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
GP-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6)-(1/2/3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/8)-(9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (9/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/1)-(9/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/1)-(9/7/1/3)-(9/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/7/1)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(2/8/4/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-7   WIN (2/8/4/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5/6)-(2/8/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5/6)-(2/8/4/5/6)-(2/8/4/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5/6)-(6/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (5/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/9)-(5/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/9)-(5/8/6/9)-(5/8/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   04/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN AZTECA         (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of NORTHERN NETTI by CITY ZIP)
BRISEIDA         (gutier)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SHE HAS CLASS         (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SHEZAPRADO by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  AVELLINO         (antonucci jena)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OFFLEE SHEIKH by OFFLEE WILD)
MIST         (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by BRETHREN out of SWEET KHALEESI by MAIMONIDES)
CHEROKEE         (alvarado juan)MORALES ANGEL 111 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of FLORENCE by KIRIDASHI)
SCR  BUCCHERA         (cazares laur)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of NACHO POLO by A.P. INDY)
FLORINDIA         (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of FLARING by TWO STEP SALSA)
 
GP-2   04/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD BELLE Dec16 Nov27 Oct30 Sep23 Aug27 (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.50    
LEASE Feb25 Nov09 Oct10 Sep05 Aug12 (preciado guad)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00    
RHYMES LIKE DIMES Mar24 Feb16 Feb03 Jan08 Nov11 (young jennif)MORELOS E 120 4.00    
CREATE AGAIN Feb24 Jan05 Oct13 Sep03 Aug21 (walder peter)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
MR TITO'S Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Nov18 Oct30 (garoff)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
PERFECT CUT Mar05 Feb11 Dec30 Oct07 Sep09 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
GP-3   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FATIH Mar01 Feb10 Dec30     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 14% 6.40    
STARSHIP TANGO         (dwoskin steven)SUTHERLAND C 121 8.00    
EVENTFUL Mar17 Mar02 Jan19 Jan07 Dec16 (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 3.00    
SEIZE THE BREEZE         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 121 5.00    
SCR  SOUND DOCTRINE Mar17         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
SOLOMONS GOLD Mar17 Mar02 Feb08 Jan12 Dec08 (bates larry)PEREZ EDGAR 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
SUPER UNISON Mar17 Feb11       (fawkes david)PANICI LUCA 121 20.00    
 
GP-4   04/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLF RAYET Mar22 Mar08 Feb03 Jan07 Dec08 (d'angelo j)PIMENTEL JR 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
RIA FORMOSA Apr09 Mar03 Feb05 Jan21 Dec23 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
BLACK ICE Mar19 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 Jan05 (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
SHOW ME LOVE Apr09 Mar05 Jan26 Dec15 Nov25 (negrete javie)ESPITIA JORGE 125 20.00    
QUICKSTYLE Mar19 Mar05 Feb08     (yanez reynaldo)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
LADY BOURBON Mar05 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Dec07 (simms herold)NELSON C 118 30.00    
MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Mar16 Feb25 Jan07 Dec22 Sep30 (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 125 6.00    
TROTTING GEAR Apr02 Mar01       (pompay terri)MORALES ANGEL 111 4.00 7% 13.70    
 
GP-5   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR GAL Mar29 Mar08 Feb25 Dec31 Nov05 (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 122 4.00 6% 16.10    
DANGER Apr06 Mar26 Feb23 Jan27 Dec08 (sano antonio)PANICI LUCA 122 20.00    
BOSTON PRINCESS Mar08 Feb09 Jan20 Dec30 Dec04 (spatz ronald)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
BRAVO ZULU Feb25 Jan29 Jan06 Dec09 Sep30 (lee f)JARAMILLO E 120 6.00    
THATAINT TOOSHABBY Mar24 Jun30 Apr10 Mar16 Feb11 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
STARRY HOPE Mar24 Jan21 Nov26 Oct15 Sep21 (mcgoey mo)CAMACHO JR 122 20.00    
MORNING COLORS Nov25 Apr21 Mar25 Feb24 Jan22 (crichton rohan)RIOS M 122 4.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  CHARGE ACCOUNT Mar10 Feb17 Dec17 Sep04 Aug03 (gutierrez fau)MORALES ANGEL 115 2.00    
FRENCH FRANC (FR) Mar08 Feb16 Jan20 Dec09 Oct15 (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
SCR  DEMOGORGON Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 Dec26 (abreu fernan)MORELOS E 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MONEY FACTOR Mar09 Dec04 Nov25 Oct15 Sep17 (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 122 12.00    
 
GP-6   04/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMOR VICTORIOUS Jan06 Sep02       (catanese c)KRIGGER K 118 20.00    
WILDCAT STAR Feb12 Jan20 Dec22 Mar06 Feb18 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
GONE OASIS         (cascallares ne)RIOS M 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S RED HOT Feb15 Dec22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug05 (catanese jos)MORELOS E 118 30.00    
BREAKING BULLET Mar08 Feb10 Jan27 Jan05 Dec17 (mckanas j)PEREZ EDGAR 118 1.40    
SALLIE SEVILLE Mar22         (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 6.00    
AVE FENIX Feb18 Dec22 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 118 3.50 12% 7.00    
 
GP-7   04/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUCCI Jan20 Jan12 Nov20 Sep09   (gambolati cam)PANICI LUCA 120 15.00    
MOOR STRENGTH Mar24 Feb11 Jan15 Dec09 Nov23 (santillana fra)REYES LEONEL 126 2.50 31% 2.30    
GET A GRIP MARILYN Sep09 Aug13       (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00    
FLAG WOMAN Mar09 Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 Nov25 (braddy david)JARAMILLO E 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
MY LADY JAMES Feb18 Jan26 Dec18 Nov27 Oct12 (gonzalez clau)MORALES ANGEL 113 4.50 9% 10.10    
STRIKE JAK Feb02 Dec08 Nov11     (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 12.00 6% 16.40    
GIRL BYE Mar01 Jan11 Nov20 Sep03 Aug06 (garoffalo jose)SUTHERLAND C 120 15.00    
PARCHITA Mar15 Nov19 Jul09 Jun10 May12 (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
STURDY GIRL Mar29 Mar09 Jan06 Dec04 Oct29 (moubar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
 
GP-8   04/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($51K) 3 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPETUOUS MOLLY Oct08 Sep03       (casse mark)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
ALTERNATE ROCK Mar01 Jan26 Dec02 Oct29 Aug20 (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCOTTISH SYMPHONY Feb12 Jan12 Nov19 Oct24   (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
LADY AZTECA Mar12 Jan07 Dec10 Oct01 Aug17 (sanchez amad)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00    
FAST KIMMIE Aug20 Jul24 Jun24 May26   (serpe m)PANICI LUCA 118 20.00    
DONTLOOKBACKATALL Nov05 Oct08 Aug25     (clement chri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.40 35% 1.90    
JELLICLE KATZ Mar23 Feb17 Jan29 Dec18   (santiago joel)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  BLIND SPOT Mar04 Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 Jul29 (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 120 4.50    
SCR  X Y LADY Apr12 Mar25 Mar04 Jan29 Dec30 (lopez berna)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 30.00    
 
GP-9   04/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA DEL CIELO Mar12 Jan14       (ochoa ernesto)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
SCR  MOUSEFAST Apr06 Feb09 Dec30 Dec22 Dec09 (d'angelo jose)MORALES ANGEL 111 6.00 14% 6.20    
COPPERMASTER Jan06 Dec10 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
BIG BALLOONS Apr07         (romans dale)PEREZ EDGAR 118 2.00    
ADIOS YOUR HONOR Mar05 Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 (simms herold)SUTHERLAND C 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
CAUTELOSO         (garcia r)BORACO DAVID 118 30.00 8% 12.30    
CATCHHIMANDFREEHIM Mar24 Mar02 Jul20 Jun16   (spatz ronald)MORELOS E 118 15.00    
LUSCIOUS DANCER Apr06 Mar23 Feb26 Feb19 Jan27 (negrete javier)RAMIREZ R 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
MR JOKE         (jimenez l)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00 8% 12.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.