Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - March 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(1/3/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-2   WIN (1/3/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/9/5)-(1/3/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/9/5)-(1/3/6/9/5)-(1/3/6/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/3/6/9/5)-(1/9/3/8/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/9/5)-(1/9/3/8/2)-(2/9/7/1/6) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
SUN-3   WIN (1/9/3/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/8/2)-(1/9/3/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/8/2)-(1/9/3/8/2)-(1/9/3/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-4   WIN (2/9/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/1/6)-(2/9/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/1/6)-(2/9/7/1/6)-(2/9/7/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/1/6)-(7/5/3)-(8/1/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SUN-5   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-6   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2/5/6)-(8/1/2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/6/1)-(3/5/7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(3)-(8/7/11) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
SUN-8   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(4/3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3)-(8/7/11) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
SUN-9   WIN (8/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/11)-(8/7/11/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/11)-(8/7/11/2/10)-(8/7/11/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   03/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAME ON ROOSTER Feb26 Jan17 Apr02     (woolley l)TOHILL S 123 4.00    
2  GEEBEESBIGBOY Feb07 Jan17 Dec19 Dec01 Nov14 (soto salvad)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
3  RIG IT RIGHT Feb26 Oct30       (honesto j)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  ORGULLO MIO Feb14 Jan24 Dec01 Nov07 Oct11 (vill)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  RARE COIN Feb14 Jan15 Dec19 Dec13 Nov21 (barrios bernadet)CHAVEZ R 123 12.00 17% 4.80    
6  FORWARD OBSERVER Feb14 Jan31 Dec13 Nov21 Oct24 (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  PAINTED SMOKE Feb14 Dec06 Nov08 Oct04 Sep10 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  W F IRON MAIDEN Jan29 Dec20 Nov21     (buechle)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00 19% 4.20    
9  THE FINAL FOOTNOTE Jan29 Jan01 Nov15 Sep10   (lambert t)CARRENO J 121 4.50    
10  STITCHED PASSION Feb12 Jan15 May28     (martinez a)TORRES J 118 20.00    
 
SUN-2   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Feb21 Jan17 Nov30 Oct25 Aug20 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.50 54% 0.80    
2  FULL OF DRIVE Feb12 Jan10 Nov15 Oct16 Aug28 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 8.00    
3  GOLD BOUNDRY Feb12 Jan24       (acos)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.00 7% 12.60    
4  BISCUIT SNATCHER Feb12 Nov30 May14 Apr03 Feb22 (rust terri)TOHILL S 123 12.00    
5  QUIEN ES Oct16 Aug19 Jul17 Jun24 Jun05 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FRANKS DEHERE Feb12 Jan08 Dec19 Oct16 Sep02 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.50 6% 15.10    
7  LEAD MONTEREY Feb21 Feb07 Jan22 Dec12 Oct25 (alamos armando)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00    
8  DOS REALES Jan17 Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 Sep15 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
9  GUNNERS ONE Feb12 Jan22 Oct23 Oct01 Aug19 (cappell)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 6% 16.60    
 
SUN-3   03/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ MAN DO Feb21 Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 Nov01 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  ZENFULLY ZESTY Feb07 Dec12 Oct30 Sep16 Aug26 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIT A NOTE Jan10 Dec20 Dec05 Nov30 Nov06 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
4  SURF N DELMAR Feb21 Feb05 Dec20     (marquez l)TORRES J 123 20.00    
5  ZESTY JAZZMAN Feb07 Jan08 Nov30 Oct17 Aug31 (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
6  ROAD TO HEAT Feb21 Dec20 Oct17 Sep14 Aug26 (villalobos m)VILLANUEVA C 123 15.00    
7  SPINNING BLACK Jan22 Dec20 Dec13 Sep18 Aug10 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 123 4.50    
8  AMERICAN SOLO Feb07 Jan22 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  INDY'S SONG Jan17 Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Sep30 (morales danny)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
SUN-4   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANIEL'S GIRL Feb19 Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 Nov30 (gonzalez sal)JUAREZ J 123 8.00 7% 13.70    
2  WILLSHERWONTSHE         (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 123 4.00 39% 1.60    
3  SUERTUDA Feb19 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Oct04 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
4  TRICKING TRIXIE Feb07 Jan24 Nov30 Nov15 Oct16 (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 12.00    
5  WILDSTARINTHESKY Feb19 Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 Oct22 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 123 10.00    
6  HALEY WHO Jan24 Jan03 Dec20 Dec13 Nov30 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 5% 18.30    
7  ROX FROM NAVARONE Jan24 Oct30 Sep23 Aug13 Apr02 (acosta jr)CARRENO J 123 3.50 9% 9.90    
8  TERAS SILENCE         (villalobos a)JAIME R 123 20.00    
9  IMAMONEYMAKER Jan17 Dec20 Dec12 Nov14 Oct31 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00 14% 5.90    
10  UNBRIDLED DIVA Jun11 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Jan18 (riddle jacki)SALAZAR TERESA 118 5.00    
11  CYNICAL GIRL Feb19 Jan10 Dec05 Nov30 Oct24 (olguin ever)TORRES J 123 10.00    
 
SUN-5   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHA CHA TOUCH Sep08 Aug21 Aug14 Apr30 Mar15 (chavez arturo)TORRES J 123 20.00    
2  MISS TRICKY INDY Feb07 Jan17 Dec05 Nov06   (morales)FUENTES T 121 6.00    
3  CRIMSON T. Feb12 Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Sep26 (young don)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAGANAKI Jan22 Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 Sep24 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00 ★    
5  REALLY A STORM         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00 11% 8.00    
6  RUN FOR RANDY Feb12 Jan22 Aug07     (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 123 15.00    
7  LAKE ETHEL Jan22         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 4.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  BLAME THE TEQUILA Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Nov01 Jul23 (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 123 8.00    
9  WHAT A MEMORY Feb14 Jan15 Nov30 Oct18   (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 123 10.00    
SCR  BELLA MORENA         (vega v)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 13% 6.50    
11  MORATTA Jan15 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Apr02 (van ro)CEBALLOS F 123 8.00    
12  SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE Feb14 Jan15 Nov30 Nov06 Oct16 (marquez m)CHAVEZ R 123 15.00    
 
SUN-6   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO RED RASCAL Feb21 Jan17 Nov22 Oct30 Oct04 (munoz gua)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50 9% 9.70    
2  MORE FIREWATER Feb12 Jan17 Jan10 Dec19 Nov30 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  LEAVE THEM BEHIND Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun26 (danley i)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
4  DESERT REWARD Feb14 Nov30 Oct30 Oct10 Aug06 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
5  ON A WARPATH Feb14 Jan17 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 123 8.00 ★    
6  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Feb21 Jan15 Nov14 Oct04 Sep18 (chadborn k)JAIME R 123 10.00 ★    
7  WHERES BRAYDEN Mar27 Feb27 Jan09     (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 5.00    
8  HOLLYWOOD HENRY Aug21 Aug06 May14 Mar19 Feb27 (danley )FUENTES T 123 3.00 62% 0.60    
 
SUN-7   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUIS LIGHTS Feb05 Dec19 Dec01 Sep28 Aug31 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00 ★    
2  MARKING TIME Feb05 Jan01 Dec20 Dec01 Aug07 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 5.00    
3  PROOFSINTHEPUDDIN Feb05 Jan01 Dec12 Oct30 Aug27 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  ATILL I CHIME Jan01 Dec01 May08 Mar20 Mar04 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 10.00    
5  TIGHT FITTIN JEANS Feb05 Jan01 Dec12 Oct30 May27 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  FOR MARKEESE Jan01 Oct30 Sep17 Aug10 Jul31 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 123 5.00 ★    
7  CAYCEE'S MARK Jan17 Dec19 Dec01 Oct30 Apr03 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Feb05 Jan29 Jan17 Jan01 Dec19 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
9  BLUE BLAZES WHO Feb05 Dec20 Feb21 Jan01   (gonzale)FUENTES T 123 6.00    
 
SUN-8   03/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S NO YOKE Jan24 Jan10 Dec19 Dec01 Nov07 (alamos armando)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
SCR  TWO STEP JACK Aug10 Apr22 Mar08 Feb25 Jan29 (summers)FUENTES T 123 5.00 ★    
3  KISS ME D ORO Jan17 Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 Sep15 (loma humber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ATTILIANNO Feb21 Jan03 Dec05 Nov22 Oct10 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 3.00 ★    
5  MCTHANKS Jan29 Jan17 Dec19 Dec05 Oct30 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 ★    
6  RIG RIDER Jan22 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14   (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
SCR  BEAR CLAW Dec13 Nov13 May29 May01 Apr02 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
8  JEEPS STRIDE Jan17 Nov13 Mar08 Feb27 Feb01 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 10.00    
9  DISCOVERY N SIGHT Jan17 Dec05 Oct11 Apr02 Feb22 (marr h)JUAREZ J 123 6.00    
 
SUN-9   03/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKE'S TIZZY         (fincher leroy)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of LAST DRAGONESS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
2  VALLEY VERDE Jan31 Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 Oct20 (smith a)TOHILL S 123 15.00 ★    
  (by MARKING out of CAPO VALLEY by BENCHMARK)
3  SKYWAYORTHEHIGHWAY         (allred jeff)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of GOING OUR WAY by PHONE TRICK)
4  MACHO QUEEN Feb12 Jan28       (chadborn k)JAIME R 123 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of DISCREET CHAT by DISCREET CAT)
5  TARGET CONQUEST Feb14         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CAROLINE CONQUEST by HALF OURS)
6  CHICAGO CAT Jan29 Dec05       (gonzalez sal)VALDEZ S 121 10.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of QUEEN OF CHICAGO by ARTIE SCHILLER)
7  MOVING VIOLATION Feb14 Nov08 Sep30 May08   (villalobos migue)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MS ARCH STANTON by ARCH)
8  M G BIG MARIA Feb14         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MR. BIG out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
9  CARNIVAL GIRL         (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
10  VERMEIL (URU) Feb14         (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 123 8.00 ★    
  (by CALIMONCO out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
11  SWEET TEMPEST         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CONZIG by CONGRATS)
12  FIRST ZAP Jan29 Jan15 Dec19     (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of REDSHIRT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.