Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/1/6)-(2/4/3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/2/3/4)-(6/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4/5)-(7/2/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(6/5/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4)-(6/5/2/1)-(1/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1/3)-(6/5/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(1/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1)-(1/8)-(5/1/4/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/4/5)-(1/8/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/8)-(5/1/4/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(5/1/4/7)-(4/6/1/5/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7/2)-(5/1/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/4/7)-(4/6/1/5/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/7)-(4/6/1/5/7)-(9/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/6/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5/7)-(4/6/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5/7)-(4/6/1/5/7)-(4/6/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5/7)-(9/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5/7)-(9/3)-(9/4/3/2/7) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
SA-7   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/3/8/10)-(9/3/8/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/3)-(9/4/3/2/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(9/4/3/2/7)-(1/2/11/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
SA-8   WIN (9/4/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/2/7)-(9/4/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/2/7)-(9/4/3/2/7)-(9/4/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/3/2/7)-(1/2/11/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/2/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/11/6)-(1/2/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/11/6)-(1/2/11/6)-(1/2/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRENS CANDY GIRL Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 Oct09 Aug21 (lewis a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 ★    
2  BUZZ OF NEW YORK (IRE) Feb03 Dec03 Oct28 Sep04 Jul31 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
3  GOLD FOR KITTEN Feb03 Jan13 Nov12 Feb19 Jan09 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 8.00 7% 13.20    
4  DENIM IN GOLD Jan28 Jan02 Nov13     (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  CLASSICAL ROMANCE Feb18 Dec31 May08 Apr08 Mar06 (nehf jay)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
6  FOUNDER'S DAY Feb20 Jan13 Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 (hess b)SMITH E 122 8.00 ★    
 
SA-2   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORDY G May22         (hanson ryan)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SHERIKA by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  MONTANA Jan06 Nov27 Oct16 Aug27 Jul23 (hess b)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 13% 6.40    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SUNNY OAK by GIANT OAK)
3  LEFT HAND MAN         (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  BE PUNCTUAL         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 6% 17.20    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of EDWINA E by SQUARE EDDIE)
5  MAGIC ACCOUNT         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of MAGIC SPOT by PAPA CLEM)
SCR  SHIP AND SCAM Feb18 Feb03 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
7  AUSTONIAN         (koriner bri)HERRERA A 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of PEARLS FOR GIRLS by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
 
SA-3   03/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Santa Ysabel Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIDE OF THE NILE Jan28 Dec10 Nov12 Oct02 Sep10 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 11% 8.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INNY MINNIE by HARD SPUN)
2  AND TELL ME NOLIES Nov04 Oct08 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  BLESSED TOUCH Feb19 Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 Sep11 (yaktee)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 8.00 ★    
  (by GIRVIN out of BLUSHING TOUCH by LAC OUIMET)
SCR  SPANNING THE GLOBE Dec30 Nov27 Nov04     (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BETTERLETHERGO by HOLD ME BACK)
5  JUSTIQUE Jan28 Nov19 Oct08 Jul31   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GRAZIE MILLE by BERNARDINI)
6  FAIZA Jan28 Dec10 Nov12     (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
  (by GIRVIN out of SWEET PISTOL by SMART STRIKE)
 
SA-4   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 45 M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR SUGAR Feb12 Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Nov11 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  HOT ROD MAMA Dec30 Oct21 Jul11     (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 20.00    
3  SUPERCENTS Jan08 Dec17 Nov11 Aug26 Jul03 (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00    
4  BLURSDAY Jan13 Dec02       (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 ★    
5  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Jan08 Dec09       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 2.00 ★    
SCR  WORTHINESS Jan08 Dec30 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
7  LADY DERBY Feb12 May20 Apr30     (gomez ruben)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
8  COMPTONS HOUSE Dec17         (bell r)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 14% 6.30    
 
SA-5   03/05/2023 4290ft TURF RC12 FIRM San Simeon Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRICKYARD RIDE May29 Apr30 Mar20 Feb21 Jan15 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 15% 5.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BRICKYARD HELEN by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
2  SUMTER Dec26 Dec03 Sep10 Aug07 Apr02 (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 5.00 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
3  COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE) Feb10 Jan08 Dec04 Nov05 Sep14 (hess b)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of QUEEN MYRINE by ORATORIO (IRE))
4  WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Dec31 Dec03 Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REGGAE ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
5  MOTORIOUS (GB) Jan29 Jan02 Nov27 Apr30 Mar26 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by MUHAARAR out of SQUASH by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  RESPECT THE CODE Jan29 Jan02 Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 120 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ANABAA'S CREATION (IRE) by ANABAA)
7  ANARCHIST Feb11 Jan15 Jul31 Jul03 Apr24 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00 7% 14.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  MECKLENBURG (IRE) Feb05 Jan08 Dec04 Oct23   (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 12.00    
  (by POWER (BRZ) out of TEMECULA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SA-6   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANYBODY'S CHOICE Feb10 Jan02 Nov18     (kitchingman ad)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 10% 9.10    
2  HALF NELSON Jan27 Jan02 Oct02 Aug14 Jun11 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 118 6.00    
4  CLIQUISH Feb05         (d'amato philip)SMITH E 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  CON SEAL AND KERRY Feb05         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 123 3.00 8% 11.00    
6  IN COLOR Dec21 Nov23       (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  IRRESISTIBLE FORCE         (nehf jay)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GILA Jan22 Sep11 May14 Apr10   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-7   03/05/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Baffle Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST PEACE Dec30 Dec04 Oct29 Sep30 Sep10 (glatt mark)SMITH E 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of PEACE OPPORTUNITY by POINT OF ENTRY)
2  KINGDOM HEART Jun10         (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE CARD by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
3  JOHANNES Dec31 Nov26 Oct30 Jun09   (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
4  WIZARD OF WESTWOOD Jul03         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
5  GOLDEN SOMBRERO         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TAKE CHARGE PAULA by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
6  SHARP AZA TACK Nov04 Sep08 Jul30 Jun10   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of QUE CHULO by RACING RHINOCEROUS)
7  MALIBU COAST Dec30 Nov13 Oct09 Sep11   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of READY READY READY by MORE THAN READY)
8  HELLADIC Nov11 Oct02 May20     (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 8.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GAL ABOUT TOWN by CITY ZIP)
9  MI HERMANO RAMON Jan27 Dec04       (glatt )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SASSY SUANCES by SUANCES (GB))
10  HAWKER Jan21 Dec26 Dec04 Sep03 Aug06 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 8.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLAMING HEART by TOUCH GOLD)
 
SA-8   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZLIGHTNING Jan21 Sep10 Aug14 Jun18 Feb18 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
2  OCTOPUS Feb19 Jan27 Dec11 Nov06 Aug21 (mullins jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
3  HANDSOME GARY Feb11 Jan08 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  LET'S REJOYCE Jan20 Dec11 Apr10 Feb27 Feb06 (uranga jesus)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  SANTA CRUISER Feb17 Jan22 Jun08 Apr16 Feb10 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 10.00    
6  LIAR LIAR (IRE) Feb11 Sep23 Jul10 Jun26 May29 (uranga jesu)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
7  VICENTE'S SHADOW Feb05 Sep23 Jul29 Jul02 Jun19 (stevens satc)OROZCO E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIGHTY MATT Feb11 Jan15 Dec18 Nov20 Oct21 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
9  ITALIANO Feb12 Jan02 Nov13 Sep18 Aug21 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
SA-9   03/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOITFORANDREW (GB) Feb05 Dec31 Apr16 Mar18 Feb19 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  FORGIVING SPIRIT Feb17 Jan22 Jan08 Dec02 Oct08 (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 4.00 12% 7.40    
3  DANCE SOME MO May30 May07 Mar19     (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
4  NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Jan21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00    
5  VIRAT Feb05 Dec31 Nov24 Oct22 Sep05 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
6  LOVESICK BLUES Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Oct29 Sep25 (miyadi steven)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  KATONAH Feb03 Jan13       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 10.00    
SCR  AUGUSTA MELODY Feb05 Jan15 Nov26 Mar27 Feb26 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  DEGREE OF RISK Feb05 Jan02 Nov11 Oct29 Aug13 (harty eoin)VAN DRAYDEN 122 8.00    
10  NOBLE REFLECTION Mar19 Feb05 Jan17     (papaprodromo)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00    
11  REDLINE Feb19 Jan15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep03 (knapp ste)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.