Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Tuesday - February 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(4/5/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SUN-2   WIN (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1/6)-(4/5/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (4/5/7/1)-(7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/1)-(7/8/5)-(7/2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(7/2/1/6)-(6/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6/5)-(7/2/1/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/6)-(6/4/5/3)-(8/9/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SUN-5   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (8/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/6)-(8/9/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/6)-(8/9/5/6/2)-(8/9/5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/8/9)-(6/1/4/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(8/6/2)-(5/8/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-8   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/7/4)-(8/6/2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-9   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($15.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL OCHO Jan15 Dec20 Nov14 Oct24 Oct11 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  ATTACKING BOY Dec06 Nov08 Jun10     (soto r)GOMEZ REYES 121 15.00    
SCR  MS MERAZ Dec12 Nov22 Oct31     (graham cliff)VILLANUEVA C 116 10.00    
VIPERS PRINCESS Jan22 Oct23 Oct10 Aug24 Jul29 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 1.40 49% 1.10    
OJO FELIZ Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
COMFORT KISS         (young a)SALAZAR TERESA 116 12.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CLASSY MONEY Jan17         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
EL RAFA Q Jan15 Dec20 Dec12 Nov08 Oct25 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
 
SUN-2   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14.1K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTCAUSEICAN Dec05 Jul21 Jun26     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 12% 7.60    
BOY CHASER Jan29         (smith a)GOMEZ REYES 121 12.00    
CHAMA STORM Jan01 Nov14 Oct18     (olguin ever)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00    
UNDO THE RIGHT Jan29 Dec19 Dec05 Nov07 Oct24 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
FRIENDLY SHUFFLE Dec05 Nov07 Oct24     (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 2.00 23% 3.30    
MISS TRICKY INDY Jan17 Dec05 Nov06     (morales)FUENTES T 121 4.50    
MAMBACITAS LEGACY         (cappellucci)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
SUN-3   02/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGALLY REDDY Mar05         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHE'S REDDY by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  BAJA BOOGIE Jan17         (smith a)GOMEZ REYES 123 10.00    
  (by RATTLESNAKE BRIDGE out of BAJA OKLAHOMA by LION HEART)
SUPER BESLIU Jan31 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Sep23 (eliott)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00    
  (by MR. BESILU out of SUPER WOMAN by TOUR D'OR)
SCR  FEISTY TOWN Jan17 Dec12 Dec01 Oct24 Oct17 (gonzalez jos)SALAZAR TERESA 118 20.00    
  (by TOWN EXTENSION out of SECOND OFFENSE by JOHANNESBURG)
K P KWEST         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
FAST TRAFFIC Aug19         (summers)FUENTES T 121 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SUMMER PLACE by SUPER SAVER)
PASS IT AROUND Dec14         (green greg)PEREZ A 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by ALTERNATION out of HAUNTING by KRIS S.)
CAPITAL JOKE Nov08 Oct25 Oct01 Sep22 Sep02 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.50 17% 4.70    
  (by ALTERNATION out of JOKE by PHONE TRICK)
 
SUN-4   02/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE JEN Aug10 May07 Apr24 Apr02 Mar20 (esparza stephani)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 19% 4.10    
WILDSTARINTHESKY Jan24 Dec13 Oct22 Oct01 Sep09 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
TRICKING TRIXIE Jan24 Nov30 Nov15 Oct16 Oct05 (munoz gua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 4.50    
LITTLE PET KITTY May15 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Jan08 (douglas nata)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
REBEL RYETTE Jan24 Dec19 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00    
PARTYATTHECAPITAL Jan24 Dec05 Jun12 May15 Apr24 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00 13% 6.90    
MS. LEA Jan24 Dec05 Nov14 Oct16 Jul31 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
SUN-5   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROBTHEQUEEN Jan22 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct10 (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 20.00    
QUICK TO FUSS Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 Oct24 Sep21 (gonzalez jose )CEBALLOS F 123 15.00    
ZIVA DA'VID Dec05 Nov01 Oct17 Sep30 Sep18 (marquez l)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00 6% 16.70    
BINALLOVERDRINKEN Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Jan22 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50 9% 9.80    
LITTLE SAMURAI Jan22 Jan01 Nov30 Oct24 Oct05 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
ZIPPIN BY U Jan15 Jan08 Jan01 Dec13 Nov15 (van robe)CHAVEZ R 123 5.00    
SCR  CARMON'S DANCE Nov01 Sep15 Aug27 Aug10 Apr12 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
SUN-6   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST AWESOME M Dec19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 May15 (cardena)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
JUST CALL ME KEN Jan15 Dec12 Nov15 Sep04 Aug14 (rust terri)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
FINGLAS LAD Jan29 Jan17 Jan08 Dec06 Nov22 (rojero c)VALDEZ S 121 5.00    
INFINITE CROWN Jan10 Dec12 Dec06 Nov08 Oct16 (danley )FUENTES T 123 12.00    
COMMISSIONER DAVID Jan15 Dec01 Oct25 Sep28 Aug10 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
THIRSTY KITTY Jan15 Dec19 Sep24 Sep14 Jun25 (frias gregorio)CARRENO J 118 15.00 6% 16.40    
JUVAL Dec14 Dec05 Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 (meraz juan)RODRIGUEZ H 121 12.00    
THIRSTY JUNIOR Jan24 Jan15 Dec13 Sep14 Aug24 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
MASK OFF Jan15 Jan01 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
SUN-7   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTILA THE STAR Nov08 Oct10 Aug24 Aug10   (cross gary)TOHILL S 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
AMERICAN SOLO Jan22 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 Sep30 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00    
ZESTY JAZZMAN Jan08 Nov30 Oct17 Aug31 Aug14 (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
LIFE JACKET Dec13 Nov30 Oct04 Sep18 Aug07 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
M G M'S LUCKY Oct09 Sep14 Aug31 Aug03 Jun25 (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 123 6.00    
LEAD MONTEREY Jan22 Dec12 Oct25 Oct09 Aug14 (alamos arman)ALDERETE JORGE 123 4.00 41% 1.50    
D C ALLIED FORCES Dec06 Nov13 Jun18 Apr23 Feb01 (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
ZENFULLY ZESTY Dec12 Oct30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 (gonzalez francisco)TORRES J 123 10.00    
TRIPP A MATIC Jan01 Dec05 Oct25 Sep18   (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00    
 
SUN-8   02/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST FEAT Jan10 Oct01 Aug31 Aug05 Apr30 (singh johnny)TORRES J 123 20.00    
RIGHT JAB Jan24 Jan10 Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00 6% 16.30    
RAFAEL'S SURPRISE Jan17 Dec06 Nov14 Oct11 Sep24 (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
PROBATE Dec14 Nov13 Oct31 Sep24 Sep04 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 123 5.00    
CRYSTAL WHO Jan24 Jan03 Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 116 15.00    
B R KIDD ROCK Jan17 Dec05 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
WEALTH N HEALTH Jan17 Dec05 Mar27 Mar08 Feb01 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 3.50    
PRAIRIE WARRIOR Jan17 Sep04 Aug26 Aug06   (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
SUN-9   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOMETHIN' FANCY Jan10 Dec14       (gonzalez a)TORRES J 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
JOHNNY ROD Feb18         (smith a)GOMEZ REYES 123 6.00    
OLIVER TWISTED Dec01 Oct17       (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 118 20.00    
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Nov21 Jul24 Jul10     (rust terri)VALDEZ S 121 8.00    
BOOM BOOM DADDY Jan17 Dec12 Nov14 Oct24   (lambert case)FUENTES A 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
PALICAT BOYS         (hinojos alvaro)PEREZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
AUSPICE Dec12 Nov08 Aug11     (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
BALD IS BEAUTIFUL Jan10 Dec19 Nov13 Sep17 Sep08 (marquez l)CARRENO J 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
FIFTY PESOS Dec12 Sep23 Aug27 Aug11   (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
10  GEEBEESBIGBOY Jan17 Dec19 Dec01 Nov14 May22 (soto sa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.