Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fresno
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FNO-2   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCK'S ROYAL FLUSH Sep18 Aug19 Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
MARQUE IT UP Oct07 Sep03 Aug26 Aug13 Jul15 (puentes )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 10.00    
HUNTERS GHOST Oct09 Sep09 Aug27 Aug14 Jul30 (perez s)RADKE K 120 6.00    
DEFENSE WINS Sep04 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 May22 (gilmour jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 2.00 28% 2.50    
LIGHTINTHEDARKNESS Oct08 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jun19 (gilmour jim)CRUZ M 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
SYNC Oct01 Sep03 Aug04 Jul17 Jun12 (mcdaniel l)TERRERO M 118 6.00    
 
FNO-3   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINA DE REYES Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 Jul24 Jul17 (ekstrom l)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
MALIBU JEWEL Sep18 Sep02 Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 (paldanius sheld)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00 6% 14.40    
DR WYSONG Sep02 Aug07 Jul30 Jul04 Jun11 (tamayo isidro)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00 15% 5.90    
STAND IN YOUR LOVE Oct07 Aug19 Jul30 Jun03 May20 (puente)GONZALEZ ODILCER 113 10.00    
HALF HOPING Sep17 Aug04 Jul04 Jun04 May06 (trujillo vict)TERRERO M 125 6.00    
GOOD TIME DOLLY Sep18 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 (calvario samuel)ROMAN A 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
MISS MENSA Aug25 Jun18 May14 Apr01   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
CLASS CODE Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 Jul23 Jun25 (franko daniel)RADKE K 125 4.00    
 
FNO-4   10/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMBERLAKE GAGE Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 Jun28 (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.00 64% 0.60    
LAKER JET Sep18 Sep10 Sep03 Aug14 Jul29 (bean a)RADKE K 125 4.00    
SECRETLY PARANOIDE Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Aug14 Apr10 (aquino m)HARVEY B 125 3.00    
TEASPOON OF PEPPER Oct09 Aug21 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (maelfeyt bruno)CRUZ M 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
MERGIE TROID Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00    
DESERT SMOKE Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Feb11 Jan21 (tamayo isidro)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 4.50    
HYPHY Oct09 Aug27 Aug21 Aug11 Jul14 (maelfeyt bruno)FLORES P 125 10.00    
 
FNO-5   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET'EM TIGER Oct07 Sep25 Sep02 Aug05 May01 (tamayo isidro)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00 24% 3.10    
BEAU ROCKS Oct10 Sep18 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 125 5.00 16% 5.20    
GLITTER LAKE Jul01 Mar25       (nunez jesus)HARVEY B 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
SHOUT IT OUT Sep25 Aug14 Jul02 Jun03 May15 (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 125 3.00    
COWLITZ Oct07 Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 Jun27 (beckner te)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 7% 14.20    
SILK ROAD SALLY Oct01 Sep10 Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.50    
ASHLEY BEAUTIFUL Oct08 Sep18 Sep11 Sep03 Aug20 (puentes jose)RADKE K 125 12.00    
 
FNO-6   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. FLASH DANCER         (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 122 10.00    
INDIANERA Oct07         (hansen roger)TERRERO M 125 1.80 50% 1.00    
OUR VALLEY Aug29 Aug06 Jul16     (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
MASK OFF Oct02 Sep17 Aug27     (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 125 4.50    
INSTIGATE Sep09 Aug14       (mathis andy)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
ALEX'S DREAM Oct07 Sep23 Jul08     (baze t)HERRERA HUGO 125 12.00    
ONE BROAD STREET Aug04 Jul09 Jun18 May08   (howey quinn)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50    
 
FNO-7   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL IS CHILL Oct02 Aug27 Aug19 Jul17 Jul03 (ramos jesus)TERRERO M 122 10.00    
BLAME IT ON KITTY Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 Jun05 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 125 4.00 39% 1.60    
CANYON CREST Oct07 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 (mcdonald w)FLORES P 125 5.00    
HANS GRUBER Oct02 Aug12 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00    
FULL DRAW Sep16 Aug05 Jun17 May13 Feb26 (saldana reed)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 10.00    
WILLY THE COBBLER Sep18 Aug12 Jul24 Jun03 May21 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 2.50 15% 5.70    
SUGAR BEETS Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 May22 (trujillo victor)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
LEMON ZINGER Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 Jun04 (greiner ga)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
 
FNO-8   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A LEAP Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 Jun26 May07 (saldana reed)ALVARADO T 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHIEVOUS CURLIN Oct02 Sep05 Jul16 Jun26 May29 (taylor faith)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 127 2.50 46% 1.20    
FOCUS FIRST Sep17         (wong jonathan)ROMAN A 125 15.00    
GAYLES EVENING Aug26 Mar26 Feb13 Jan07   (thomas jamey)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 8.00    
SWIFT NONNI Jul31 Jul04 Jan01     (stortz mar)AMADOR RUIZ 125 12.00    
KRISTI'S TIGER Oct01 Sep05 Aug07 Jul08 Jun19 (bell t)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 4.00    
DO YOU HEAR THAT Sep17 Jul08 Jun17 Apr10 Mar13 (howey quinn)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 4.00 16% 5.40    
WARM SUMMER Aug26 Jul23       (jauregui o )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 5.00 8% 12.30    
 
FNO-9   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MEG Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 Aug21 Jul04 (williams gabri)YBARRA MICHAEL 125 6.00    
LEAD ACTRESS Aug26 Aug21 Aug11 Jul04 Jun20 (maelfeyt bruno)FLORES P 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
LADY COMMISH Oct02 Sep23 Aug25 Jul31 Jun26 (mccanna tim)RADKE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BANDON BRIDGE Sep30 Sep11 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 (tamayo isid)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 5.00    
SHANGHAI MIST Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jun05 May13 (taylor faith)TERRERO M 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
SUE ETTAS GHOST Sep11 Sep03 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (wong jonathan)ALVARADO T 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
WETHERLY Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 6.00    
DASHING DEMI Sep30 Sep24 Apr09 Mar18 Feb20 (treece charles )RIVERA SANTOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LONSDALEITE Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 Jul10 Jun12 (bean a)CRUZ M 125 10.00    
 
FNO-10   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREGS CITY ZIP         (delima clifford)HARVEY B 125 8.00 22% 3.50    
J C EXPRESS Oct09 Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 Aug12 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 125 12.00    
LIBERTY LIBERTY Oct07 Sep23 Jul09 Jun25   (baze t)HERRERA HUGO 122 12.00    
BUEN CHICO Sep24 Jul16 Jul10     (preciado guil)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 15.00    
OLYMPIC SILVER Oct07 Sep24 Aug28 Aug19 Jul30 (ramos jesus)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 5.00 7% 13.90    
BUBBLES IS ON FIRE Jul31 Jun11 May15 May08 Apr23 (puentes )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 125 8.00    
BALLROOM HUSTLER Oct10 Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 (rivera)GONZALEZ ODILCER 115 8.00 11% 7.70    
SHORT RIB Oct07 Sep09 Mar25 Feb27 Jan30 (stortz mar)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
OBVIOUS Aug26 Jul22 Jun05 Apr24 Mar13 (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
10  ALPHABETICAL Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul17 (gilmour jim)TERRERO M 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.