Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - October 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-2   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDDLES Aug28 Aug13 Aug06 Jun26 Jun12 (rycroft )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LADY GOT AWAY Sep10 Jul30 Jul16     (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  NINADAVINA Jul30 Jul29 Jul23     (birdrattle)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 ★    
4  MISS DIRECTED Oct02 Sep23 Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jun12 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.20 ★    
 
LBG-5   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR A TO D Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 (magnuson lyl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
2  NORSKI Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug07 (fike jordie)SIMPSON W 124 6.00    
3  SEE THE PYRAMIDS Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Aug29 Aug01 (fike cai)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.60 26% 2.80    
4  SHINBORO Sep24 Sep17 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 (buffalo jay)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 ★    
5  WHO'S CHEATIN WHO Sep23 Sep10 Jul30 Jul23 Jan21 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  HILL TOP WONDER Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (oberholtzer dan)NELSON RYAN 124 10.00 ★    
 
LBG-6   10/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NACHO MONEY Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.00 ★    
2  DOC ROSS Oct02 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 ★    
3  ANELLO Sep25 Sep10 Sep04 Aug20 Aug07 (kinch bill)CHICKENESS S 124 4.50    
4  THISISMYSTORY Oct02 Sep05 Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 (cummins cindy)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
5  CAUSIN MISCHIEF Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 57% 0.80    
6  MR. PICKLES Sep27 Sep19 Sep07 Aug09 Aug01 (mike chr)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 ★    
7  PAPA CABALLERO Oct02 Sep24 Aug01 Jul05 Jun17 (brown col)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
 
LBG-7   10/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRAN FROM PERU Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (magnuson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
2  ANN OF WAR Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun19 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  IZZY IN ISOLATION Sep04 Aug20 Jul16     (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
4  RUNNIN BABY J Sep23 Sep04 Jul31 Jun04   (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 ★    
5  MAZIE G Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 (gregoire carl)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 14% 6.10    
6  WITTS QUESO Sep27 Sep05 Aug23 Aug02 Jul26 (tourangeau rus)CHICKENESS S 124 10.00 ★    
 
LBG-8   10/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPERIAL GO BOY Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 Jul30 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 15.00    
2  MISCHIEF ROAD Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 41% 1.50    
3  KING WITT Sep19 Sep06 Aug16 Aug09 Jul20 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  FAVORITE Sep18 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 Jul15 (dieno ar)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 5% 17.40    
5  DANZA UNBRIDLED Sep30 Sep18 Aug21 Aug14 Jul31 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 7.00    
6  TWO SOCKS MAC Oct01 Sep24 Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  IMPERIAL DASH Oct01 Sep04 Aug20 Jul29 Jul02 (mcconaghie g)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00    
8  BRO CODE Sep20 Sep13 Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 (brown col)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.