Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZNOW TIME         (covello and)RAMGEET R 122 10.00    
2  TO THE TOP Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02   (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
3  ISLAND D'LITE Sep05         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  TONY'S NACHO Sep05         (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
5  COUNTRY CHARLIE Sep09 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 May01 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  GABRIEL'S WING Sep07 Aug09 Jul18     (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00    
 
CT-2   09/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Aug05 Jul04 Jun01 Apr29 Mar18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 70% 0.40    
2  PERSONAL MEADOW Aug28 Jul16 Jun25 May29 Apr29 (comi ralph )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.80    
3  ABOUT TO RAGE Aug20 Jul07 Jun17 May26 May05 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
4  JESS'S RESERVE Aug05 Mar09       (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 6% 17.10    
5  DINNER BELL Aug04 Jul07 Jun17 May26 May07 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 4.00    
6  FORGOTTEN MISSION Jul21 Jun29 May13 Apr15 Mar05 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLY GHOST Aug26 Aug13 Jul14     (rawlin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.40 31% 2.20    
2  MIDNIGHT BRASS Aug26 Aug04 Apr29     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  DENALI D'ORO Aug18 Jul23 May25 May14 Apr15 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAY MAYS CASTLE Aug25 Jul30 Jul07 Apr16 Apr08 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
5  MY SISTER PAM Aug26 Aug04 May25 May04 Apr16 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
6  ELIANAGRACE Aug26 Jul14       (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRPIT Jul30 Jun30 Feb25     (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 50.00    
SCR  BOLD MEDICATION Aug21 Jul16 Jun18     (compton greg)HIRALDO JOHN 120 5.00    
3  CHARGEITTOTHEGAME Aug20 Aug12 Apr14     (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
4  EL PATOJO Aug27 Aug20 Jul30 Apr23 Mar26 (cooper stev)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50    
5  SJO AMERICANEMPIRE         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  BENNY THE BOOK Feb12 Jan29       (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50    
7  CURLIN'S MALIBU Sep05 Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Jun18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
CT-5   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 May21 Apr23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00 9% 10.10    
2  PERSONABLE Jul29         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WITH SECRET ENERGY May07 Apr23 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00    
4  JUBA BOUND Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 Jun04 May25 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
5  TWILIGHT YEARS Aug11 Jul16 Jun18 May18 May07 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00    
6  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Aug25 Mar16       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50 49% 1.10    
SCR  RED HOT TODDY Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 May25 May04 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 12.00    
8  LATE IN THE GAME Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Apr29 (casey w)LARROSA G 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
9  AIR MEDAL Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 May28 May04 (pickett g)CULLUM W 118 20.00    
 
CT-6   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED QUEST Aug26 May21 Apr24 Mar10 Jan23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
2  CAN'T FIGURE Sep03 Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 Jun18 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
3  SCOREBOARD LILY Aug18 Jul20       (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 14% 6.30    
4  LICENSE TO CARRY Sep03 Aug26       (lane j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 50.00    
5  LINDA'S TAJ Sep03         (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
6  OVERCOOKED Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun04 Apr24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.20 56% 0.80    
7  FORT ZANNA Sep03 Aug05 Jul22 May11 Apr21 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
 
CT-7   09/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AT THE HALF Sep04 Aug22 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 (scott l)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
2  GOODNESS GRACIOUS Aug26 Aug12 Mar17 Feb11 Jan14 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 123 3.50    
3  TALENT EXPECTED Aug26 Jun18 May26 May05   (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SILKY SERENA Aug26 Jun18 May21 Apr23 Mar24 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  GOOD KARMA (GB) Aug26 Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 May18 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   21% 3.80    
6  FULL MOON LOVER Aug18 Jul30 Jul01 Jun04 May12 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00    
7  ALPINE MOON Aug26 Jun18 May28 May18 Apr28 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
8  MANAROLA Aug26 Jul28 Jul07 Jun18 Mar18 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
9  COLLEGE KID Jul08 Jun03 May18 Apr28 Mar18 (scott lloyd)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   09/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYS LANDING Aug30         (lyster s)HO WESLEY 122 4.00    
2  DEVIN ON EARTH Sep02         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
SCR  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Aug20 Aug05 Jul22     (covello andrea)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
4  EMPTY ENVELOPE         (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 10.00 5% 17.50    
5  SALTWATER GYPSY Aug25 Aug11       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 1.40 62% 0.60    
6  SUPER WICKED Aug27 Aug05       (carson laura)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
7  BLUE AGAVE         (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 15.00 5% 17.50    
8  AMERICAN DREAMER         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.