Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO CASH GO Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May25   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
OLIVER WITHA TWIST Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 Jun07 May18 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
GANONDAGAN Aug31 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00    
EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN Aug29 Jun15       (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
JACOBA Aug10 Jul05 May18 Apr26 Feb26 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
SCR  TUCKABUCKAWAY Aug29 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
HIT BY A WAVE Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
FL-2   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALOON GIRL Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 (dean iii)FRET STEVEN 121 3.50    
SWEET LARISSA Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 Jun01   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
DISCO PARTY Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun22 Jun07 (lopez d)ROHENA M 121 12.00    
SHE'S A LUMBERJANE Aug09 Jul12 Jun21     (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
MELISSA'S SMILE Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
MISS PAB Aug31 Aug02 Jul19 Jun15 Jun01 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 117 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
FL-3   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA KISSES Aug24 Jul27 Jun06 May09 Apr03 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 118 5.00    
TRIPLE P Aug29 Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 May30 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
GOING GOING GONE Aug29 Jul06 Jun15 May30 Apr26 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 4.50    
JOKERS RUN Aug15 Jul13 Jun22 May23 Apr16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
LEFT LEANING LUCY Aug15 Jul20 Jun20 May11 Mar20 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  DOYOUKNOWWHOIAM Aug29 Aug10 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (ficarell)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 10.00    
 
FL-4   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE INSTITUTE Aug31 Aug17 Jul14 Jan01   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 1.60 13% 6.80    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT Aug15 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (breed jr)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Aug15 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 6.00    
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Aug15 Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 May18 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 122 8.00    
GIMMEDAMONEY Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
VICTORY BUILT Aug29 Aug15 Jul17 Jun05 May08 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
FL-5   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUDAIMONIA Aug22 Aug01 Jul06 Jun14 May12 (buckley )DAVIS A 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  LILLIA PRANCES Jul27 Jul06       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
BACKED BY GOLD Aug17 Jul20 Jul04 Jun03 Apr28 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60 26% 2.90    
BECKY'S MISSION Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun14 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS Aug20 Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May16 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 10.00    
UNLOCK Jul27 Jul08 Jun02     (d'angelo j)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50    
 
FL-6   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A DAB WILL DO Aug24 Jul19 Jun01     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 9% 10.50    
MY MAGGIE Jul06         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00 58% 0.70    
GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Aug15 Jun14 May24     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
MIZZYS IMAGE Aug24 Jul19 Jun15 May25 May10 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
PALS ALLY Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 Jun08 May10 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET INVASION Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 May23 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 4.00    
THATS PRETTY NICE May21 May02 Apr13 Mar19 Feb18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 3.00    
CLASSIC VINMAN Jul26 Jul06 Jun19 Jun05 May21 (ferraro)NAVARRO J 120 10.00    
 
FL-7   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH'S PRIDE         (bond brent)FRET STEVEN 120 20.00 11% 8.10    
TINTAGEL         (smith julie)ROHENA JR 120 20.00 11% 8.10    
INSUFFICIENTNOTICE Aug22         (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 12.00    
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Aug05 Jul17 Jun02 May07 Apr22 (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 3.00    
TESSARION Aug22 Aug08 Jul18     (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.50    
MO NIGHEAN DONN Aug22 May30 May08 Apr02   (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00    
SCR  PAJAMA JAM Sep05 Aug01 Jun14 May30   (bond br)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
BEAUTIFUL BANKS Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 (mas)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
EYE SEE SKIESOFBLU         (bireta donna)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00 11% 8.10    
10  SASSY TALLAHASSEE         (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
11  T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE         (falk jacqu)DE EMANUEL 120 20.00 11% 8.10    
 
FL-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CYN Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 (chamber)NAVARRO J 119 5.00    
CHRISTMAS DINNER Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jul11 Jun21 (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 8.00    
MA MEATLOAF Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 Jun06 (ferraro a)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
KATERI EMPIRE Aug29 Aug15 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 (cabrera )DAVIS A 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Aug29 Feb21 Feb06     (maver eduardo)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 6.00    
SCR  KATIES COURAGE Aug10 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May25 (d'alessandro)BERRIOS C 119 15.00    
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Aug29 Aug10 Jul11     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
STABILIZE Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jun22   (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
 
FL-9   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPEL ROAD Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 Apr03 Mar05 (grabowski a)GOMEZ O 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
LISTENING IN Aug24 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 Apr03 (lugovich r)DE EMANUEL 120 12.00    
THUNDERING MARCH Aug17 Jul27       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
RISKY WOODS Aug15         (summers )DAVIS A 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
KOBE'S LEGACY Aug10 Jul20 May19 Apr21 Jan27 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 8.00    
UNCLE VIC Aug30 Aug08 Jul27 Jul04   (breed a)ALVARADO R 120 12.00    
DEVIL OR ANGEL Aug24 Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 May21 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Aug30 Aug08 Jul15     (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 20.00    
CINCO LINKO Aug15 Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
10  PAT PAYS         (salvato john)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.