Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R WORKING GIRL Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 Jun08 May06 (hen)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
SHE'S NOT BLUFFING Feb21 Feb06       (maver eduardo)PEREZ E 119 12.00    
STABILIZE Aug15 Aug01 Jun22     (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 4.00 27% 2.80    
MA MEATLOAF Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 Jun06 May25 (ferraro a)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 2.00    
FAIR LASSIE Aug01 Jun21 Jun08 May12 Apr21 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
SWEET SHALLOTS Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May09 Apr25 (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
FL-2   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN Jun15         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 31% 2.30    
YOU'VE GOT MALE Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 Jun08 May25 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
IRISH GIANT Aug01 Jun30 Jun04 May05 Mar20 (rice linda)GOMEZ O 122 1.80 9% 10.30    
TUCKABUCKAWAY Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 May30 (grusmark)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
MO CRAZY BLUES Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 Jun20 Jun08 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
GOTANDA Jul18 Jul06 Jun20 May31 May19 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
PROFESSOR DAVE Aug10         (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
FL-3   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAREDEVIL BULL Aug15 Jul19 Jun01 May02 Apr03 (grabowski john)COA J 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
FAST FRAN Aug16 Jul20 Jul11 Jun13 May25 (anderson)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 3.50    
LUNE LAKE Aug01 Jul11 Jun21     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Aug10 Jul11       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 2.00 15% 5.70    
BIG CYN Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 May11 (chamberlin )IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 6.00    
CHRISTMAS DINNER Aug09 Jul27 Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 (breed a)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
 
FL-4   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERGER OF EQUALS Jul13 Jun06 May12 Apr14   (rice linda)GOMEZ O 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
MRS. BANKS Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May30 May18 (d'alessandro ralp)BAEZ JOSE 120 15.00    
MISSION CAT Jul27 Jun22       (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
SWEET MAEVE Aug13 Jul25 Jul18 Jun26 May30 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
LAOBAN'S LEGACY Jul29 Jun22       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50    
BECKY'S MISSION Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun14 Jun06 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
DRAW OFF Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
FL-5   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART BROAD Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 May25 (anderson br)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 5.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  CLIFDEN PUNCH Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 (anderson bruc)DAVILA R 121 5.00    
SWEET BLINDNESS Aug15 Jul11 Jun21 May21 Apr23 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 2.50    
KATERI EMPIRE Aug15 Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01 (cabrera )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00    
JUST STAY HOME Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 May30 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
SOCIAL MOBILITY Jul11 Jun15 May30     (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 121 8.00 6% 16.10    
MIND OF GOLD Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 May24 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
THAT IS KEY Aug21 Jul04 Jun15 Jun02 Apr29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
 
FL-6   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPSTER Jul17 Jun16 May13 Apr24 Apr07 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 122 5.00    
1A  LITTERBOX Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 Jun12 Apr22 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
VICTORY BUILT Aug15 Jul17 Jun05 May08 Mar05 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 4.00    
ZIRCON Jul18 Jul05 May09     (progno christophe)PEREZ E 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
FATHER WALSH Aug02 Jun20 May31 May02 Apr10 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 6.00    
NIGHT ESCORT Aug02 Jul18 Jun20     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
GIMMEDAMONEY Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 May24 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
MY LAST MISSION Aug15 Jun29 Jun11 May20 Apr24 (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 118 15.00    
 
FL-7   08/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACHILLES HEEL Aug12 Jul13 Jun13 May20 Mar31 (englehart jeff)COA J 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  SHANTY SHACK Jul25 Jul04 Jun21 May31 May09 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 5.00    
INTERSTATE Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15   (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 2.00    
MISTER LARRY Aug02 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Apr23 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00    
SHARED SUCCESS Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun13   (acquilan)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
NIGHTSPOT Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jul05 Jun21 (sparlin)NAVARRO J 124 12.00    
BENCH WALK Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun29 Jun13 (huertas nirka)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
 
FL-8   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE P Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 May30 Apr23 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
GOING GOING GONE Jul06 Jun15 May30 Apr26 Apr11 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
CARLY HUSTLE Jul19 Jul06 Jun14 Jun03 May19 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
BUSTED CREDIT Aug15 Jul06 May30     (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
GRIS TORMENTA Jul17 Jun23 Jun05 May22 Mar27 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
ISLE STORM Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May18 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
CLOSING DEALS Jul16 Jun18 Apr21 Mar19 Feb20 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
DOYOUKNOWWHOIAM Aug10 Jul06 Jun14 May25   (ficarell)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 12.00    
 
FL-9   08/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH LAUGHTER Aug10 Jul19 Jun14 May24 Apr22 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
OUT OF TUNE Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 May18 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 124 4.00 12% 7.60    
NO LIME Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 May18   (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 124 8.00    
LE GROS BILL Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 May16 (chamberlin )IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 15.00    
THIS CAT CAN FLY Aug03 Jun21 Jun01 May18   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 2.50    
MELLMAN Jul20 Jun15 May30     (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  JUST GOT HITCHED Aug16         (tebbutt john)CRUZ JOEL 121 10.00 5% 17.20    
DUCK POND ROAD Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 May16 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.