Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/20/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALYZETHISANDTHAT         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 ★    
2  VICTOR'S DYNASTY Aug03 Jul27 Jul19 Jul04 Jun25 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 120 8.00    
3  HARD WEST Aug08 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May29 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 ★    
4  AHSAD Jul31 Jul19 Jun25 Jun15 Jun01 (hamilton )VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  BABY BOOMER Jul31 Jul10 Jun05 May22 Apr20 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
6  BAZOO Jul24 Jun25       (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 20.00    
7  TRILOGY (GB) Jul31 Jul10 Jun29 Jun04 Feb03 (abrams ronal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 3.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  GREAT BLAKE Jul13 Jun21 Jun09     (hoffman mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
MTH-2   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY AREWETHEREYET Jul29 Jan16       (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
2  MIDTOWN ROSE Aug01 Jul13 Jun02 Apr27 Apr09 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  D' TIGER LILY Jul30 Jun18 May14     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
4  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Aug08 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 May14 (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
5  LADY ZETA Jul29 Jul16 May28 May14 May01 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 110 4.00 ★    
6  ABOVE PAR Jul29 Jun05 Jan16     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
MTH-3   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDGEPOINTE Aug03 Jul17 Jun17 May22 May06 (magee kieron)CENTENO E 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jul27 Jul17 Jul03 Jun23 Jun11 (sanchez j)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 ★    
3  CAJUN MANDATE Aug05 Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 Mar09 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 ★    
SCR  CAERUS Aug07 Jul07 May06 Apr02 Feb23 (lucas bonnie)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00 ★    
5  VIKRAM Aug07 Jun12       (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  LORD BERRIER Mar09 Jan21       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.00    
 
MTH-4   08/20/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPESTRY COLORS         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00 ★    
2  VIDEO PRINCESS         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
3  GUN OF GOLD Jul24         (hollendorf)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 6.00    
4  STONE IN LOVE Aug01         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 8.00 ★    
5  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Aug05 Jul16       (ortega leopold)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 14% 6.20    
6  SHE'S SO BEARRISH         (dini mike)FERRER C 117 6.00    
7  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE         (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
8  NAVY GOAT         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
MTH-5   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATTRAPANTE Aug08 Jul15 May06 Mar06 Feb20 (hollendorf)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  JOE MIKE JIM Jul31 Jul17 Jul06 Jun18 May27 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  SAVE THE FLAG Aug08 Jul31 Jul09 Jun14 May25 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 115 8.00 6% 15.70    
4  EMPIRE G Aug01 Jul04       (alcala cesar)MOYA F 122 6.00    
5  CLOUT CHASER Aug01 Jun27 May31 May09 Apr18 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00    
6  ITSY BITSY BETTY Aug06 Jun18 Jun04 May06 Mar18 (schultz linds)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
7  MAZAL EIGHTEEN May25 Mar18 Feb11 Jan23   (soto c)OCASIO M 120 20.00 ★    
 
MTH-6   08/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R GIRL FAITH Jul08         (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 6.00    
2  LITTLE RED BUTTON Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 May28 (rodriguez dar)PANAIJO JORGE 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  SMART RED Jul24 Jun25 Jun05 Jan07   (captan bassam)PARISH R 119 20.00    
4  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Aug08 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 Jun03 (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 ★    
5  MAGIC SURPRISE Jul23 Jun18 May28 Mar23 Jan26 (camejo m)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
6  TOURING MARYANNE Jul25 Jul05 Jun11 Apr11 Mar15 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Aug06 Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 May07 (follett norma)CARDENAS LUIS 121 10.00    
8  STILL DOING TIME Aug06 Jul24 Jul04 Jun04   (tessore brun)HERNANDEZ ANDY 110 5.00 16% 5.40    
9  LULI'S DANCER Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 Jun10 May28 (gomez pompeyo)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
MTH-7   08/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROAD STORM Aug06 Jul09       (crowell susan)PANAIJO JORGE 124 15.00 7% 14.00    
2  LADY FOX Aug06 Jul16 Jun29 Jun11 May12 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 2.00 33% 2.10    
3  SEEDS OF TIME Jul30 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24   (alcala cesar)MOYA F 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
4  ROSE E HOLIDAY Aug05 Jul15 Jan16     (carvajal l)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00    
5  HOLMDEL PARK Aug06 Jul27 Jul13 May24 Apr25 (brown howard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
6  SHEKNOWSTHEDRILL Aug03 Jul18 Jun27 Jun11 May17 (lee r)OCASIO M 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
7  TEN PIN ALLY Jul09         (orseno f)FERRER C 124 3.50 ★    
 
MTH-8   08/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSPORT (URU) Jul27 Jul10 Jun20 May28   (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 20.00    
2  LEO MONTE Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 May28   (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
3  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jul23 Jun26 May29 Feb27 Feb04 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
4  DUE VINI Jul02 May28 May15 Apr24 Mar24 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.50 9% 9.90    
5  THERE ARE NO WORDS Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May29 May08 (spina charles)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 6% 14.90    
6  SHADIZAAR Aug04 Jun03       (gulyas peter)USKE S 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
7  AGENT CREED Jul23 Jun24       (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CREDIT RIVER Jul23 May20       (thomas jonatha)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
9  MONTAUK SUMMER Jul23 Jun24 Mar19 Feb24 Jan19 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
MTH-9   08/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORZA DI ORO         (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.60 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FILARE L'ORO by HARD SPUN)
2  PROMISE KEEPER May13 Mar26 Feb12     (pletcher todd )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MIRA ALTA by CURLIN)
3  HIGHLY MOTIVATED Jul23 May28 Apr16     (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STRONG INCENTIVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jul01 Jun10 Apr21 Mar27   (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 20.00 8% 11.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADDALENA by GOOD AND TOUGH)
5  RIDIN WITH BIDEN Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr20 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ALLEMANDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  INFORMATIVE Jul23 Jun11 May07     (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of LUCKY BLACK by HARD SPUN)
 
MTH-10   08/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE COUCH Jul23 Jun04 May22 Mar06 Jan26 (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  TIL THE END Jul26 Jul07 Jun19 May28 May05 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 6% 15.30    
3  BLACK V. K. Jul31 Jul02 Jun04 Apr13 Apr01 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00    
4  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Jul23 Jun19 Jun04 May22 Apr23 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00 ★    
5  MISSION WRAPITUP Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 (ortega leopol)CARDENAS LUIS 120 15.00    
SCR  DOUBLE DAVID Jul30 Jun24 May28 Feb09   (sweezey ken)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
7  NUTZFORBOLTZ Aug05 Jul22 Jun19 Apr21 Apr01 (king c)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
8  UNLEVERAGED Jul23 Jun19 Jun02 Apr22 Mar25 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 5.00 12% 7.60    
9  KITTEN STREET Jul23 Jul01 May30 Apr17 Mar20 (abrams jack)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00    
10  CABINET PIK Jul23 Jul03 Jun19 May22   (gomez pomp)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLOOD MOON Jul08 Jun04 May12 Apr30 Apr21 (barre)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
12  MATTY'S EXPRESS Jul18 Jun03 Apr21 Mar09 Jan20 (englehart je)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
SCR  MR. BANYAN Aug07 Jul23 Mar17 Mar04 Feb17 (d'amodi)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
 
MTH-11   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSTED Jul02 Jun12 Apr15 Feb18   (cruz jesus)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  ROWDY CACKALACKY Jul24 Jun25 Jun12     (berrios)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
3  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Jul24 Jun25 Feb16 Feb05 Jan22 (carvajal luis )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Aug06 Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 May13 (lucas bonnie)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.50    
5  ONLY GIRL Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Jun10 May28 (hogan william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 12.00 13% 6.40    
6  WAR IN PARADISE Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 May27 Apr24 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 2.50 ★    
7  FREEDOM'S ALLURE Aug01         (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.