Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBTLE GIANT Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 May30   (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00 ★    
2  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Jun29 Jun15 Apr22 Feb04 Jan14 (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  KITTY TIN TIN Jul10 Jun26 Jun04     (tri)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00    
4  JACKIEGIRL Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 May30   (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 120 1.80 28% 2.50    
5  ALBANY YATES Aug01 Jul18 Jun27     (sells rachel)SONE Y 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
6  SEALITHIC Jan20         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.50 ★    
 
FL-2   08/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARE TO BE GREAT Jul25 Jun29 Jun14 May24 May02 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  PRETTY DOCTOR Jul26 Jun20 Jun01     (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00 ★    
3  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May30 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  INOUAINTALKINTOME Jul13 Jun29 May16 May02 Mar11 (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 124 10.00    
5  LADY YELLEN Jul10 Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr10 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 120 1.40 27% 2.70    
6  QUIET HORIZON Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 May23 May09 (cabrera )DAVIS A 120 5.00 ★    
 
FL-3   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISKY WOODS         (sum)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00 7% 13.10    
2  LOVE MYSELF Jul12 Jun22 May31     (lecesse)NAVARRO J 120 10.00 ★    
3  MOLCAJETE Jul04 Jun13       (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  CLINGMAN Jul22 Jul14 Jun18     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
5  CONNECTED Jul25 Jul11 Jun22 May24 Apr24 (buckley )DAVIS A 116 3.00 ★    
6  MARSHAL DILLON May25 May05 Apr16     (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 10.00    
7  CINCO LINKO Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08   (acquilano jame)COA J 120 3.50 8% 12.10    
 
FL-4   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO CHALK Jul04 May27 May02 Mar25   (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  SWEET AS SUGAR Jul13 Jun14 May16     (englehart jer)DAVILA R 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  BUSTED CREDIT Jul06 May30       (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 6% 17.00    
4  JOKERS RUN Jul13 Jun22 May23 Apr16   (buckley )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
5  GRAPHITE DUTCHESS Jun14 May24       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
6  LEFT LEANING LUCY Jul20 Jun20 May11 Mar20 Feb24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00 ★    
7  AVID SUCINORI Aug03 Jul04 Jun20     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
8  ISLE STORM Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 May18   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
9  PRAIRIE TALES Jul19 Jun06 May16     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
 
FL-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOY I HOPE SO Jul25 May09 Apr25 Feb12   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 10.00    
2  MOPED DENNIS Jul23 Jun25 May31 Apr07 Mar05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 ★    
3  TRAPPE THE DREAM Jul19 Jun28 Jun07     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S CODE         (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  CAPE COD GEM Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 May31 May09 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May21 Apr24 (baker charlton)COA J 120 3.50 8% 12.00    
7  COACH P Jul13         (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
8  JUGGLER Jun27 May19 Apr09 Mar13 Feb24 (rohena jos)PEREZ E 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
9  KHALI'S DREAM Jul05 Jun21       (englehart )DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
 
FL-6   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIJEMINI SLEW Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
SCR  SPORTINI Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 May31 May16 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
2  TAPIT HAPPY JOHN Jul25 Jul06 Jun20 May30 May11 (gutters)NAVARRO J 122 12.00 ★    
3  BODE O May21 Apr20 Mar08 Jan12   (rohena jos)PEREZ E 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  A HUGE CHECKPOINT Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 May18 May10 (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
5  PRODUCTION CREDIT Jul18 Jul06 Jun07 May24 May02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 20.00    
6  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 May18 Feb06 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 122 10.00 ★    
7  CATCHYASOON Jul19 Jul05 Jun13     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  JUMPSTER Jul17 Jun16 May13 Apr24 Apr07 (sells ra)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 8.00    
9  MY LAST MISSION Jun29 Jun11 May20 Apr24 Mar25 (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 118 5.00 ★    
10  VICTORY BUILT Jul17 Jun05 May08 Mar05 Feb26 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 3.50    
 
FL-7   08/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE AND LOVE May30 Apr29 Mar27     (mic)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 9% 10.40    
2  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Aug01 Jul04 Jun06     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  TOOLCAT Aug03 Jul05 May31     (potts g)COA J 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  MIND OF GOLD Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 May24   (oyola d)NAVARRO J 120 12.00 ★    
5  SWEET BLINDNESS Jul11 Jun21 May21 Apr23 Mar03 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
6  HANNAH DANCES Jul22 Jan29       (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 8.00    
7  TAX ME NAUGHT Aug01 Jul04 Jun07     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  KATERI EMPIRE Jul27 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01 May11 (cabrera )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 12.00    
 
FL-8   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANSELMI Aug01 May24 May11     (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00    
2  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Aug01 Jul20 May11 Apr19 Mar28 (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 122 6.00 ★    
3  STABILIZE Aug01 Jun22       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  DAREDEVIL BULL Jul19 Jun01 May02 Apr03 Feb01 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  SPEED TALKS Aug01 Jun21       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 ★    
6  TRIVIA Aug01 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 May11 (breed a)GOMEZ O 122 10.00    
7  TUFF BIRD Jul08 Jun10 May27 May12   (hillegass ale)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00    
8  DO WHAT IT TAKES Jul27 Jun21 Jun08 May24 May11 (dean iii)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.