Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUDTOBESICILIAN Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 May15 (bean a)MAWING A 124 3.50    
BEARCREEK MOUNTAIN Jul22 Jul15 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (belvoir howard)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
TRIBAL IMPACT Jul29 Jul15 Jul03 Jun24   (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 124 3.00 21% 3.90    
HASHTAG BAE Jul24 Jun26 Jun11     (hoover cind)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 124 10.00 20% 3.90    
LICORICE DROP POPS Jul29 Jul03 Jun12     (lowe nick)GUTIERREZ M 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
STANLEY RYDER Jul24 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 1.60    
 
EMD-2   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOCHARD STREET Jul22 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May20 (puentes jos)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 15.00    
JUDICIAL Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 May29 Mar07 (gi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
SLEEPY SUE Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May15 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 10.00    
LAKER JET Jul29 Jun25 Feb06 Jan22   (bean a)SAMUELS JAKE 120 6.00    
RED NOON RISING Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 2.00    
PLEASE ME Jul22 Jun26 May22     (cryderman s)RADKE K 120 1.60 41% 1.50    
 
EMD-3   08/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE TOWER         (gibson vince)MAWING A 120 8.00    
WEGOTBEERONICE         (nunnally jenni)SAMUELS JAKE 120 12.00    
LANGSTON ROAD         (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 4.00 9% 10.10    
MY LAST BULLET         (perez sergio )VELASCO EDGAR 120 15.00    
RAAJIN RIBBON         (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 120 6.00    
LLOYDS LOGIC Jul31 Jul10 Jun24     (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
TIME WEAVE SHARED         (cornier edw)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 120 15.00    
TIME 'ER TOO         (cooper kay)ROMAN A 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
I'M NOBLE         (person a)ZUNINO L 120 8.00    
10  KAHALA Jul17         (martinez david )CRUZ M 120 10.00    
 
EMD-4   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY TOUGH Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Mar30 Mar13 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 6.00    
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Jul29 Jul10 Jun17 Jun03 May22 (cryderman s)RADKE K 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
COMPLICATE Jul17 Jun18 May06 Apr20 Mar07 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 3.50    
HOUSE OF LORDS Jul24 Jun18 May22     (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00    
NAVAL ESCORT Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 May15 (martinez david)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
FANTASTIC DAY Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 Jan27 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
EL ALTO HOMBRE Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May22 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 8% 12.00    
 
EMD-5   08/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD N GLITTER Jul17 Jun11 May21     (lucarelli fra)GUTIERREZ M 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
UNSOLVED MYSTERY Jul17 Jun19 May08 Mar11 Feb06 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.50 27% 2.60    
GOLD COAST GIRL Jul31 Jul17 Jun26     (bullock steve)MATIAS J 121 30.00    
TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jul31 Jul17 Jun10 May20 May07 (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 121 15.00    
LET IT REIGN Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (metz jeffrey)ROMAN A 121 20.00    
PRINCESS PAYTON Aug05 Jul17 Jul03     (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 12.00    
KORON Jul17 Jun19       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 15.00 11% 7.70    
SLACK TIDE Jul17 Jun19 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 1.80 26% 2.90    
BIG JAVA Jul01 May22 Apr07 Mar13 Feb19 (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 4.00    
 
EMD-6   08/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY O'PRADO Aug06 Jul10 Jun25     (cryderman cand)SAMUELS JAKE 120 20.00    
EMERALD SEA Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 May29   (meeking a)MATIAS J 120 12.00    
SCR  PROSPERA Jun19 May29       (cr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 30.00    
YOU GO GIRL Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May22   (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 120 6.00 7% 14.10    
PRINCESS OF CAIRO Jun29         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
BUYBACK Jul23 Jun25 Apr30 Mar18 Feb13 (wright blaine)ROMAN A 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
CLASSIC LEAH Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Jun10 May29 (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 10.00    
OUR LYLA GRACE Jul03 May22       (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 12.00    
UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Jul16 Jun19 May28     (jenne bonnie)MAWING A 120 30.00    
10  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jul03 Jun12 May22     (bozell alan)CRUZ M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-7   08/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jul17 Jun19       (cooper kay)MAWING A 123 8.00    
MIDNIGHT MOJO Jul17 Jun19 May22 Jan14   (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 123 12.00    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jul22 Jul09 Apr16 Mar26 Mar07 (van debbie)MATIAS J 123 20.00    
NAPOLETANO Jul31 Jul17       (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 123 30.00    
SMILING GOODBYE Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Apr30 Apr08 (peery debbie)ROMAN A 123 6.00 14% 6.40    
EXECUTIVE CHEF Jul17 Jun19 May21 Apr29 Apr03 (wright blain)OROZCO E 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE Jul17 Jun19 Jun04 May22   (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
LITTLE CASINO Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May07 Apr08 (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 5.00    
SMOKEN SHADOW Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 May28   (peery debbie)ZUNINO L 123 20.00    
10  BIG PAPER DADDY Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 May15   (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 123 8.00    
11  WEAR THE CROWN Jul09 May29 May15 Apr16 Apr03 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 15.00    
 
EMD-8   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 May28   (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 8.00    
TOP EXECUTIVE Jun26 May28 Apr30     (wright blaine)ROMAN A 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
MAJESTIC EAGLE Jun19 May29 Apr30 Mar11 Jan14 (drysdale neil)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00    
BACKGROUND Jun25 May26 May01 Apr02 Mar13 (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.00    
KINGMEISTER Jul24 Jun26 Jun02 May06 Jan16 (meeking a)MATIAS J 118 30.00    
HUGE BIGLY Feb19         (wr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 8.00    
UNMACHABLE Jul30 Apr27       (mccartney ja)OROZCO E 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
HARD TO DENY Jul02 Mar14 Jan05     (troiani niccol)SAMUELS JAKE 120 30.00    
TORPEDO AWAY Jul30 Jun26 May20 Apr17 Mar13 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 118 20.00    
10  FIVE STAR GENERAL Jul24 Jun26 May28     (harwood doris)MAWING A 118 12.00    
11  SPITTIN IMAGE Jul24 Jun26 Jun05     (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 118 15.00    
12  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Jul24 Jun26 May28     (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 10.00 32% 2.10    
 
EMD-9   08/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILS WORKSHOP Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 Feb10 Jan03 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
PERFECT ONE Jul30 Jul02 May15 Apr02 Mar09 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 3.50    
SUMMANUS Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May30 Feb25 (cooper kay)MAWING A 118 5.00 11% 8.40    
HUNTERS GHOST Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 Jun04 Apr29 (perez sergio )GUTIERREZ M 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
HUNGRY HENRY Jul07 May03       (wright blaine)ROMAN A 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
WARRIORS HERO Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun05 Apr12 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 121 3.00    
 
EMD-10   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUMMY NUM Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (bozell alan)MILLWOOD CLAYAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
STANWOOD WARRIOR         (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
SALTY DAN Jul29 Jul23 Jun10 Jun03   (thompson mi)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 20.00    
TAP THE BANK Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun05 (navarro jose)MAWING A 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
ATTORNEY LOUIS Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May29 May15 (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 5.00 14% 5.90    
SENOR FABULOSO Jul29 Jul15       (perez s)RADKE K 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
FANTASTIC DREAM Jul15 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 May29 (puentes jose)MATIAS J 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.