Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Wednesday - August 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MORE TALK Jul21 Jun24 Jun05 May15 Apr28 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 117 1.60 36% 1.70    
2  HIGHER AUTHORITY Jul11 Jun30 Jun08 May27 May05 (vance d)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
3  ELEVATED FOREVER Jun25 May21 Mar25 Feb11   (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 8% 11.00    
4  SONDE ST BLUES Jul26 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 Feb24 (locklear jam)BATISTA A 122 10.00 ★    
5  IT'S FATE Jun30 Jun11 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  JACKLIGHTING Jun25 May18 Apr20 Mar18 Feb02 (clement roland)REYES LEONEL 122 10.00    
7  STUNNING BABY Jul18 Jun21 Jun06 Apr15 Mar18 (dye steven)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 4.50    
 
CNL-2   08/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART LIGHT         (morgan car)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  BRAMBLE BUSH Jul01 May27 May04 Apr09 Mar09 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 5.00 15% 5.90    
3  A GIRL NAMED JAC Jul08 Jun18 May28 Mar19   (mcmahon hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
4  TRANSLATE Mar19 Feb12 Jan22     (falcone r)CARRASCO R 122 1.00 37% 1.70    
5  BOURBONWITHGINGER Jul11 May23 Apr15 Jan25 Jan09 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 111 10.00 ★    
6  SHYLA GIRL Jul05 Jun08       (udall lori)ARAUJO DENIS 124 20.00    
7  PLATINUM FROLIC Jul19 Jul02 May20 Mar05   (godsey karen)ZAYAS J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILMA MANKILLER Jul19         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
2  LA TACHE Jul12         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Jul17 Jun26       (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
4  HIGH FASHION LADY Jul04         (mcpeek kenneth)ROCCO S 119 3.00 ★    
5  MUNNIS PRETTY Jul12         (cooney su)CARRASCO R 119 15.00 ★    
6  SHERLYN GO GO         (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RECIO'S BAYTOWN May30 Apr29 Apr14     (mcentee paul)WHITACRE GRANT 119 20.00    
 
CNL-4   08/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFORMANCEANXIETY         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
2  LADY FLINTSHIRE         (vance thom)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  JACK'S LILLY         (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 112 6.00 6% 16.30    
4  FIVE K KITTEN Jul26 Apr23 Apr10 Feb02 Jan16 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
5  KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Jun30 Mar09       (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 124 10.00    
6  LLUVIA Jul20 Jul12 Feb24 Feb06 Jan26 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
7  SOL HOPE May15         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 119 5.00 ★    
8  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Jul27 Jul12 Jun18     (locklear james)LIMA FELINO 119 6.00    
9  CRISPY GAL Jul08 Jul02 May19 Apr06 Mar16 (lane scott )MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 30.00    
 
CNL-5   08/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER HOLLIE         (locklear ja)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00    
2  SPEAK YOUR MIND Jul04 Jun17       (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00    
3  BLUE BONNIE Jul20         (gregory georg)MARTIN MATTIE 112 30.00    
4  SCOOCH May26 May12       (mccutchen jason)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00    
5  AT THE GATE Jul21 Jul04 Jun24 Jun12 May05 (maldonado)CARRASCO R 119 5.00    
6  MRS SHAW Jul01         (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
7  CODAS HONOR         (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TRULY A DREAM Jul26 Jul01 Jun12     (mcgoey monica)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  M M M MY SHAROANA May19 Apr10 Mar20     (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
10  MISSIONARY WORK Jul12 Jun17       (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 112 8.00 8% 11.80    
11  MICHEAUX Feb04 Jan28       (clement roland )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
12  HOLLYWOOD HONEY Jul26 Jun30 Jun02     (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 119 10.00    
 
CNL-6   08/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY BEN         (daniel john)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
2  FREE FLAYME Jul11 Jun25 May28 Apr29 Mar20 (duffy sean)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
3  HUSHED HIJINKS Jul11 Jan05       (cibelli jane)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
4  TENURE Jul04 May14       (falcone ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
5  PARISHIONER Jul26 May13 Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 (locklear jam)BATISTA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  EL ZOPILOTE Jun30 Jun18 May27 Apr14 Mar23 (worton dorothy )GOMEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
7  VITALE Jul20 Jun26 Apr27 Feb06   (block chris)ROCCO S 118 3.50 ★    
8  BOSS IS A PAL Jul11 Jun24 Jun11 May06   (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 ★    
9  TRUTH SERUM Jul21 Jul07 Mar25 Mar09 Feb11 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/03/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCIDITY Jul26         (munoz carlos)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00    
2  WILD BLUE YONDER         (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 112 15.00 7% 12.50    
3  MOM'S TOWN Jul13         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
4  IMPERIOUSLY Jun17 Apr21       (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 119 12.00    
5  PARISIAN SUMMER Jun16         (hendriks richa)REYES LEONEL 119 12.00    
6  AUNT MARGARET         (huffman kenn)ARROYO S 119 10.00 7% 12.90    
7  GO ON GIRL Jul26 Jun23       (rivelli larry)ROCCO S 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  BALI BALIFLY         (huffman kenneth)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
9  REPLICATED Jul02         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00    
SCR  WICKED KITTEN         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 7% 12.50    
11  PRINCIPIA Jul17         (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
12  SPECIAL BOND May23 Apr29 Apr10     (mccutchen jas)MARTIN MATTIE 112 6.00    
 
CNL-8   08/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUWANDA Jun19         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 10.00    
2  SAENGER STAR         (stidham michael)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  DETERMINED CRUSH         (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00    
SCR  ALVA STARR         (brinkman bret)ALVARADO JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF         (block chris)AVILES YAN 112 4.50    
6  GIVING SPIRIT         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  SABALENKA         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PSYCHEDELIC         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 5.00    
9  KAZILLION Jul13 Apr29       (brinkman bret)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
CNL-9   08/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL CHARM Jul11 Jun15 May25     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
2  MAJESTIC QUEEN Jul16 Jul03 Jun04 May30 Apr20 (harris w)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00    
3  VIOLET JESSOP Jul12 Jun29 May28 Apr30 Mar18 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCENIC VIEW Jun24 Apr01 Feb25 Jan14   (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
5  IMAHONKYTONKGIRL Jun30 Apr13 Mar11     (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 123 30.00    
6  WASSER Jul12 Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr13 (mcgoey monica)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
7  BARREL OF BLISS Jul13 Jun22 Apr22 Apr13 Mar06 (boniface c)AVILES YAN 116 3.00 18% 4.60    
8  V K PRINCESS Apr10 Mar23       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 20.00    
9  BROADWAY PEGGY Jul01 May21 Apr22 Apr09 Jan30 (parra hernan)REYES LEONEL 123 15.00    
10  EPHEMERAL Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 Mar16 Feb21 (rubley kelly)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 ★    
11  MO FIRE Jul10 Jun19 May27 May14 Apr24 (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.