Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILD BLUE YONDER         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 4.50 ★    
2  BEE MOUNTAIN         (allen ferri)ALVELO C 119 4.00    
3  MUNNIS PRETTY         (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 8.00 5% 17.70    
4  LIVANA         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 8.00 ★    
5  NAVAL EMPIRE         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  LA TACHE         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
CNL-2   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAM IN STYLE Jul01         (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.50 35% 1.80    
2  FEAR THE DEER Jun18         (kurtinecz li)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  SKYDIVING Jul01         (cooper thoma)MORRISON AILSA 116 15.00    
4  GLORIOUS WEEKEND Jun11 Mar27       (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PONTICELLO Jun09 May18 Apr20 Apr08 Feb25 (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00    
SCR  ON A WHIM Jun30 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Jan26 (murtaugh a)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
7  POWER THROUGH Jun18         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.50 ★    
8  GOLDIE'S BOY Jun11 May13 Apr03 Jan27   (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  HELLFIRE BOB May07 Apr27 Mar30     (vigil jaim)URDANETA J 123 8.00    
 
CNL-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK CURRENCY         (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
2  LOVE OF MY LIFE Jun23 May05 Mar09 Feb16   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
3  NOBLE PRESENT Jul02 Jun19 May27 May19 Apr30 (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
4  LLUVIA Feb24 Feb06 Jan26     (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00 ★    
5  LA SAMANA LAURA Jun09         (saville niall)CEDENO CAROL 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  PURRFECT         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.40 39% 1.50    
7  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Jun18         (locklear jam)BATISTA A 119 6.00 8% 11.00    
 
CNL-4   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFE TRAVELS Jun17 May14 Feb19 Jan22   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
2  TIZ NENA May04 Apr06 Mar11 Feb23 Jan22 (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
3  CHICA BOOM May27 May14 Mar23 Feb26 Jan23 (gracida ruben)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
4  SCHATZI May04 Apr09 Mar20 Mar02 Jan23 (held diete)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 8.00 ★    
5  VIOLET JESSOP Jun29 May28 Apr30 Mar18 Jan21 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 10.00    
6  MAP THE MOMENT Mar18 Feb09 Jan23 Jan12   (viands gregory)ARAUJO DENIS 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
7  GIRL'S ON FIRE Jun22 Jun08 May19 Mar27 Feb24 (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 123 5.00 ★    
8  WASSER Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (mcgoey monica)CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00    
 
CNL-5   07/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELKE DO JAGUARETE (BRZ) Jun27 Jun09 May17 Mar12 Feb18 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
2  FOLLY Jun22 Jun02 May21 May01 Apr15 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 123 20.00    
3  QUEEN OF THE GREEN Jun07 May11 Apr24 Mar20   (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 12.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  STARSHIP MALLOMAR Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 Mar25 Feb26 (abrams ronald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 20.00    
5  LONGPANTS REQUIRED Jun04 May19 Apr09     (walsh brendan)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 15.00    
6  STAR RULES May25 Apr28       (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 116 20.00    
7  SMARMY Jun23 May07 Mar23 Mar11   (bauer philip )GILLIGAN JACK 125 6.00    
8  AURUM Jun11         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 10% 9.10    
9  UNA LUNA Jun12 May08 Jan28     (gallegos jos)ZAYAS J 123 6.00 7% 14.10    
10  INSIDE THE BOX         (fout douglas)REYES LEONEL 123 20.00    
11  FLYING FORTRESS Apr24         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
12  GO BIG BLUE NATION May28 Apr21       (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 4.50    
 
CNL-6   07/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILERA May26 Apr03 Mar05     (matz mich)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 ★    
2  PARTYLINE         (correas ignaci)ROSADO JOHAN 118 12.00    
SCR  BYRDIE HOWE May27 Mar20       (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  SCENT OF ROYALTY Jun19         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  STRIKINGLY Jun04         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
6  SOFT TOUCH         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 ★    
7  LEFT UNSAID         (fout douglas)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
8  PARIS KENTUCKY Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Feb19 Jan23 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00 7% 13.70    
 
CNL-7   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE WILD FLYER Jul01 Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 Feb16 (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
2  MR EVERYTHING Jun20 May24 May12 Jan02   (maldonado jo)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 15.00    
3  KOKO STAR         (fout douglas)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00 ★    
4  NOICATTARO Apr29         (lopez bernar)ZAYAS J 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  SON OF GRACE Jan23 Jan09       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  CHILLING SECRET Jun15 May12 Apr29 Mar23 Feb18 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
7  FEISTY KITTEN May07 Apr29 Feb25 Feb06 Jan15 (reardon m )URDANETA J 123 12.00    
8  TITRATE Jul01 Jun11 Apr28     (worton e)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 ★    
9  SWIFT KID Jun30 May06 Apr27 Mar13 Feb06 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.50 ★    
 
CNL-8   07/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRIGGER HAPPY May21 May01 Apr16 Jan07   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 10% 9.10    
2  THATZA ALPHA Jun04 May26 Apr15 Mar25 Mar06 (viands gregory)ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00    
3  MATH MAN May27 Feb20 Feb06 Jan21 Jan09 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 ★    
4  DUDE AND JUMPER Jun24 May06 Apr02 Feb03   (hunt d)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
5  TULFARRIS (GB) Jun11 May19 Apr29 Mar31   (gambolati cam)LUZZI J 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  STRATFORD May04 Apr10 Mar25 Mar06 Feb09 (rountree cathy)REYES LEONEL 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  MY WAY OR NO WAY May06 Apr10 Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 (munoz carl)URDANETA J 118 10.00    
8  TAPIT TO THE WIRE May12 Mar26 Mar05 Jan13   (godsey karen)ZAYAS J 123 12.00 ★    
9  AUCTION KINGDOM Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr07 Mar20 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
 
CNL-9   07/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THINKER Jun25 May08 Apr15 Mar19   (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00    
2  JAQUE MATE COCO Jun30 Jun19 May07 Apr27 Apr20 (agostini art)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 20.00    
3  AMERICAN DRAMA Jun18 May23 Jan08     (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
4  ICE BAR Jun03 May09 Apr26 Mar22   (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 118 8.00 8% 11.50    
5  FOTHERINGAY Jun24 Jun05 May13 Mar31 Mar12 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
6  ITS MR POPPI TO U Jun23         (calhoun ama)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 20.00    
7  SPOTTED CAT         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 5% 18.10    
8  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Jun25 May29 Apr22 Apr01 Mar13 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 20.00    
9  SMALL FIELD Apr28         (huffman kenneth )AVILES YAN 117 10.00    
10  CRITICIZE Jun18 Jun01       (morris r)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
11  SAMURAI ISLAND Jun10 May19 Apr20 Feb25 Jan12 (vance thomas)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 10.00    
12  FASHION LINE         (neilson kathy)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
13  NOBLE CROSS May26 Apr22 Apr01 Mar02   (danner kelse)MORRISON AILSA 117 12.00    
SCR  POETIC CODE Jul02 Jun11 May28 May07 May01 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.