Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - June 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   06/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRENA'S BULLET Jun01 May24 May02 Mar22 Mar01 (flores-coba f)OCASIO M 120 3.50    
CURLINGTON May07 Apr14 Mar26 Jan07   (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
SPIKES SHIRL Jun09 May25 May11 Apr27   (ferreira f)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 15.00    
JOJOMAR Jun01 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Feb18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.00 53% 0.90    
BAVARIA Jun10 May21 May06 Mar22 Feb16 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 6.00    
MOTI Jun10 May21 Apr11 Mar11 Feb11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-2   06/22/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT Jun03 May25 May13 Apr21 Mar29 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jun09 May25       (borges isr)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 10.00    
DUNE DUNE Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Feb20 Jan20 (flores-coba f)OCASIO M 120 15.00    
BOURBON CURRENCY         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
NAUTICAL NATURE Jun09 May07 Mar30 Mar01 Feb15 (o'hearn hea)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
WHISTLE PLAYER         (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
ANY SUGAR HONEY         (moreno-bar)CABALLERO HECTOR 120 8.00    
SCR  HARD TO BE HUMBLE Jun10 May20 Apr23 Feb21 Jan16 (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 115 2.50 30% 2.30    
FLASHINTHENIGHT Jun09 Jan11       (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  BE THE BOSS Jun21 Jun06 May13 Jan31 Jan12 (hendriks j)ROSE J 121 4.50    
SCR  KEIKO KRAHE May27         (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 2.00 32% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   06/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE OF ACTION Jun17 May25 May11 Mar29 Mar11 (geist davi)GILARDO COURTNEY 117 12.00    
STONE SCULPTOR Jun09 May25 May06 Mar30 Mar01 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
C C'S WARRIOR Jun01 May11 Apr21 Mar15 Mar04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 24% 3.10    
BRIDOLOGIST         (velez irving)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
ROCKIN COWBOY Jun14 May25 Apr27 Apr19 Mar29 (nicholson )CABALLERO HECTOR 124 10.00    
SCR  I SEE THE STARS May12 Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 Feb02 (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 6.00    
FOR THE MOMENT Jun09 Mar15 Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 (smith thoma)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
AGAINST THE ODDS May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb23 Feb01 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
EXECUTIVE DECREE May25 Feb15 Jan28 Jan12   (hillegass al)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 30.00 7% 12.90    
 
PEN-4   06/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAR NOVEL Jun10 May21 May08 Apr20 Apr08 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
FOLE'S NOTION Jun01 May13       (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA May25 Feb11 Jan22     (shuman mark)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
PRATT May24 May07 Feb08 Jan19 Jan07 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
SCR  ROBERT'S LUXURY Jun20 May30       (mcdermott sean)ROSADO JOHAN 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
LOXODROME Apr29 Feb23 Feb08     (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
COMMODORE PERRY Jun01 Apr29 Apr01 Jan09 Jan01 (schoenthal)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 8.00    
COLBALOAF May25         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
BE YOURSELF Jun08 May29       (gorham mi)CARRASCO R 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  SWEEPIN HARD May27 Mar29 Feb23 Jan19   (jacklin the)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   06/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTICA May19 Apr07 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 (flores wa)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 10% 9.20    
WICKED T Jun03 Apr21 Mar22     (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 2.00    
PRIDE IN THE BIZ Jun03 May07 Apr06 Mar18 Mar04 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00    
LADYOFDRAGONSTONE May27 Apr28       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
LANA Jun03 May19 Apr01 Mar21 Feb28 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00    
ALLISON K Jun03 May20 May07 Apr21 Apr06 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 1.60 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   06/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURFER BOY GEORGE Jun12 May25 Apr25 Mar25 Mar10 (harigeorgiou)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
FLAT OUT FLASHY May26 Apr28 Apr06 Feb22 Feb01 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
MEROCKETMAN May25 Apr27 Mar30 Mar01   (shuchman )HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
SCR  THUNDER GRUNDER May05 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50    
GOOGLE IT May26 Apr28 Apr08 Mar15 Feb15 (kravets bruce)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
GALLINIPPER Jun02 May07       (mcmahon demel)ALVELO C 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
TOP HAT TREASON Jun02 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
DIAMOND SETTER Jan26 Jan12       (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 11% 8.50    
IRISH ROAR (IRE) Jun02 May25 May11     (crane clovis)CORA D 124 12.00    
 
PEN-7   06/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PINK LILY Jun15 Apr20 Apr06     (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 12.00    
TANYA'S GEM May25 Apr21 Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 (mick r)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
TIMELY TRADITION May25 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Feb18 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
OUR SWEET GIRL Apr23 Mar25 Jan29     (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00    
CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST May25 Apr21 Apr13 Mar18 Feb11 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
LEAKY CAULDRON May13 Apr27 Mar18     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LADY MUNNINGS May25 Apr29 Mar30 Feb01   (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
 
PEN-8   06/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER IN May12 Apr21 Mar29 Feb16 Feb01 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
PECOS BILL May25 Apr27 Mar15 Feb15   (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
SCR  VICTORY ELEMENT Jun01 Feb23 Feb01     (hillegass )GILARDO COURTNEY 115 5.00    
GRANDFIRE May12 Apr04 Mar04 Feb23 Jan25 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
SCR  GATOR FIFTY TWO May21 Mar29 Mar11 Feb23 Feb10 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SAVAGERY Jun11 May07 Apr21     (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00    
SCR  MY MAN ELVIS May25 May09 Jan03     (linder louis)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 30.00    
COLOUR GUARD May21 May06 Apr08 Mar18 Feb15 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.