Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Saturday - June 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA CHUY Apr13         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
MY D'VALENTINE May24 May11 Apr27 Apr11 Mar22 (casalinova tin)DIAZ I 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
MALIBU SKY May07 Apr23 Mar11 Feb18   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
ROMA MONA May24 Feb23 Jan21     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
MISS ENCISO May07 Apr22 Apr09 Feb27 Jan26 (vernino raymo)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50    
BELLAVALENCIA May31 Mar23 Mar04 Feb06 Jan16 (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MAGIC         (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
YOU ARE AWESOME Jun02 Feb01 Jan24     (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 6.00    
ALFRED May06 Mar16 Mar01 Jan26 Jan05 (murillo r)CORREA L 119 12.00    
SOUL OF DISCRETION May30         (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
VINNY BOY May10 Apr25       (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
JOHNNY U May26 Apr27 Apr05     (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
YO BERBS May26 May10 Apr12 Apr05 Mar16 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 3.00    
 
TDN-3   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST PATTY'S SONG May18 May03 Mar18 Feb28 Jan21 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
MOBIL MEISTER Jan05         (faulkner )CORREA L 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
QUEEN OF THE TILES May18 Mar18 Feb28 Jan15   (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 8.00    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE May17 May03 Apr11 Mar14 Mar02 (atala j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00    
J J'S FANCY Apr28 Jan21       (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50    
WAFFLESORPANCAKES         (mcdonald j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-4   06/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELL FIRE May31 May12 May03 Apr15 Apr02 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
FRANKIE BARONE May05         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
ITASCA Jan04         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
KING RICHIE Mar07 Feb16 Jan14     (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
MAN DOWN May24 May09 Apr27 Apr15 Mar18 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE May21         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 12.00    
COSMIC TREASURE May18 May03 Apr15 Mar26 Feb18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 68% 0.50    
MAKE THE RULES May24 May09 Apr15 Mar26 Mar02 (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLIT MY BRITCHES May07 Apr15 Apr04 Mar24 Feb14 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
VOLUME LEADER May26 May11 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
MOESTER May21 May06 Apr04     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 8.00 12% 7.70    
RED HOT POWER May26 May11 Apr26 Apr04 Mar22 (tumblin an)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50    
TIDE RISING May26 May11       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
POWERFUL PHIL May26 May11       (radosevic)CORREA L 115 6.00    
THE GOSPEL OF MARK May26 May11 Apr15 Mar14 Feb28 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.50 8% 11.50    
VOLUME OF TRUST May26         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   06/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN MARE EVANA Mar01 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04   (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
1A  KISS THE RED HEAD Jan19         (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 6% 15.70    
TV TIZ GORGEOUS May11 Apr25 Mar15 Jan14   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
CRIMSON LEGION         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
STARLITESLEW Feb21 Jan19 Jan04     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
ETTA         (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 14% 5.90    
CHILLVILLE May11         (vernino raymo)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
KISSTHECROSS         (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
ISLAND SHORES         (vazquez ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 4.00 21% 3.70    
SAYHELLOTHENGOODBY May26 May11       (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN GOOD         (skerrett )CORREA L 119 6.00    
1A  AHIMELECH May30 Feb28       (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
FREE SAILIN Apr11 Mar21 Feb19     (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 4.50    
2B  LATIN SPICE May24 May09 Apr15 Mar21 Jan04 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
SHE'S PURE SILVER May23 May07 Apr16 Feb23 Feb15 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 114 8.00    
MACHISMO May12 Mar16       (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 3.00 69% 0.50    
COMPLY (NZ) May09 Apr15 Jan22     (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.50    
CHANNEL FURY May25         (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
GLENNWOOD May30 May12 Apr15     (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   06/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CAT May26 May17 May03     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00    
DREAM FEVER May25         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 12% 7.20    
FASHION FRAME May31 May11 Apr06     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
JILLY FROM JERSEY Jun01 Apr11 Mar22 Mar02 Jan21 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 8.00    
TALKBACK Mar31 Mar23 Mar02 Jan21   (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
LUCKY TO HAVE ME May31 May23 Jan01     (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
LAPIS STORM May31 May16 May07 Apr16 Mar31 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
LILAC LACE May25 May11 Apr26 Mar19   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY May25 May11       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
10  WHOVILLE May25         (castro raquel )LOPEZ ALBERT 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.