Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - May 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER VALENTINE         (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
1A  KING VALERO May11 Apr25 Apr09     (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
FAHRENHEIT May11 Mar22 Jan24     (trevino stephen )COLON H 123 2.50 9% 10.20    
GOLDEN READY Mar02 Jan19       (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 42% 1.40    
SOUL OF DISCRETION         (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
SCR  AREYOUTALKINGTOME May06 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 Mar09 (quartarolo )CORREA L 123 3.50    
FREDDY SOTO Apr25 Jan22       (inirio carlo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-2   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF FENWAY May12         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 5.00    
ALL FOR GOLD Apr30 Apr09 Mar26 Jan23   (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 15.00    
SMUDGE THE CAT May12         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
TONKAWA SPRINGS May12 Apr24 Mar18 Feb16 Jan14 (vecchio caryn)COLON H 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK May21 May12 Apr26 Apr04 Mar15 (flores is)PILARES P 118 4.00    
SCR  ROJO TORO Mar10 Feb18 Jan14     (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
JOEY THE CARPENTER Mar07 Jan28 Jan05     (diehl candace)DIAZ I 118 15.00    
ON HIS TOES May02 Mar13       (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
TDN-3   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW TRACER May12 Apr18       (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
GLENNWOOD May12 Apr15       (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
AHIMELECH Feb28         (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50    
AYE AYE SIR May12         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 6.00    
HOOKED A GOODWIN Feb18 Jan23 Jan01     (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 118 8.00    
WOODLAND WALK         (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-4   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLIOT THE DRAGON May06 Apr06       (sullivan elliott)DIAZ I 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
LITTLE BITA SMOKE May12         (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00    
SCR  MR LOOOCH May06 Apr09 Mar21     (quartarolo antho)COLON H 115 4.50    
WILDCAT EXPRESS May17         (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
CRYPTO COPY May12 Apr28       (gorham ro)PILARES P 117 10.00    
CONDEMNATION May06 Mar13       (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.50    
TRAITOR AMONGST US May12 Apr26 Mar24 Mar02 Feb14 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNT MAN May12 Apr02 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 4.50    
MUTINY May06 Apr26 Mar21     (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00    
RACIN' JACIN May12 Mar02 Jan25 Jan11   (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 115 10.00    
KINGDOM DIAMOND Apr26         (meyers shane)COLON H 119 12.00    
MCGRAW Jan19         (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 115 6.00    
KID RUSSELL Apr26 Apr16 Mar21 Feb14 Jan19 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
TALE OF LACEY Apr26 Apr02 Mar21 Feb26   (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-6   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Feb16 Jan15       (huffman canda)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 10.00    
SCR  OPULENT May16 Mar10 Feb19     (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 6.00    
FRONT CIRCLE         (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
DANCIN' ROSIE May16 Apr28       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
UCANTKEEPUP May07 Apr05 Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 8% 11.80    
CAT'S RHYTHM May16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar31 Feb19 (bird danny)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
PANAMANIAC May16         (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
GRINS N' WINS May16 Apr28 Apr12 Mar31 Mar10 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-7   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTRA RAYS May11 Apr27 Apr06 Feb19 Jan15 (urieta johan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
MOBIL LADY May12 Apr28       (meyers shane)COLON H 119 4.00    
BLUSHING BETTY Feb16 Jan26       (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
INDY PRINCESS KOKO Feb19 Jan15       (tumb)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
COOL IRIS May11         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
GONNABEGOOD May12 Apr27 Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
COMPANYS COMING Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 (calderon ivan)LOPEZ ALBERT 114 6.00    
CAUSE OF LOVE May11 Apr27 Apr16 Apr06 Mar14 (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00    
SPECIAL BEACH May07 Mar14 Jan26 Jan11   (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 10.00    
 
TDN-8   05/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGMENTING ASSETS May16 May04 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 (bookman donald)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00    
GLIMMERGLASS May16 May04       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
SASSY POWER May11 Apr25 Apr13     (radosevich )CORREA L 119 3.50    
ALWAYS ON THE ROX Mar23 Mar05 Jan19     (sullivan elliott)DIAZ I 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
PENNIESANDDIMES May16         (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
HAUGHTY PRAISE May21 May04 Apr06 Mar15   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 15.00    
SHOSHA SHOSHA May16 May04 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 (jones thomas)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
FIRST TAP         (jackson james )TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.