Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODEGA Mar30 Mar01 Jan28     (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
2  WARRIORS HERO Mar21 Mar07 Jan25     (pierce micha)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 1.60 22% 3.60    
3  B A CHAMPION Mar29 Mar13 Feb19 Feb08 Jan11 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  TWILIGHT RIDER Mar31 Mar17 Mar09 Feb17 Jan31 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 4.00 ★    
5  AUTISM SIBLINGS Mar21 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 (shipp micha)SCRIVER L 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
TUP-2   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMAN TO BLAME         (mckinney d)LARSEN S 124 10.00 ★    
2  CARMON'S DANCE Feb22 Jan23       (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  SUMMER LOVE Mar31 Jan21       (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★    
4  TWILIGHT GALAXY Mar30 Jan18 Jan04     (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  TOP LADY MARGIE Mar31 Mar10 Feb22     (salinas linda)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
6  PRINCESS JADA         (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-3   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Mar22 Mar01 Feb08     (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 1.60 19% 4.20    
2  AG MINISTER Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12   (eikleberry )SCRIVER L 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  BOBBY BUCKETS         (metz jeffrey)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 5.00 ★    
4  D VON TAE Jan20         (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 121 8.00 ★    
5  CRYSTAL BANDIT Mar30 Feb22 Feb01     (si)DA FAUSTO 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  KEENEYE GEORGE Mar23 Feb08       (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
SCR  SAVED BY THE BLOOD         (mckinney d)LARSEN S 121 10.00    
 
TUP-4   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EBB AND FLOW Mar20 Feb28 Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 15.00    
2  IT'S ALEXUS Mar30 Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 Jan06 (rycroft ril)SCRIVER L 122 4.50 ★    
3  SILLY NOTION Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 Jan31 Jan13 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 ★    
4  GOLD INCLUDED Mar30 Feb04       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  IF YOU WANT IT Mar16 Feb25       (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 ★    
6  BOLD REY Mar27 Feb28 Feb11 Feb01 Jan07 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   04/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.006K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWAY ROAD Mar31         (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 6.00    
2  JOHNNY Mar25 Mar10 Feb22 Feb03   (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
3  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Feb14 Jan26 Jan18     (johnston ki)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00 ★    
4  LOVER BOY BOB Mar01 Jan31 Jan10     (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★    
5  UPPER ROOM Mar22 Mar14 Mar01 Feb14 Jan31 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.40 49% 1.10    
6  COASTLINE SERMON Mar25 Mar01 Feb10 Jan20 Jan04 (jimenez a)MAWING A 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan19   (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
 
TUP-6   04/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWER BEACH Mar30 Mar07 Feb17 Jan31   (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  JACK COOL Mar25 Feb25 Jan23 Jan02   (navarro g)OSUNA MARTIN 124 4.50 ★    
3  DEMERARA Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 Jan24   (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  AL RHYTHM Mar10 Feb08 Jan21 Jan11   (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 18.20    
5  FORTY FATHOMS Mar18 Mar09 Feb21     (fearon johnat)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 10.00    
6  CRACK A COLD ONE Mar25 Feb22 Jan31 Jan18   (moreno edga)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  BLUE BOY WHO Mar25 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 Jan04 (garci)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 6.00    
8  GATO DE RAYO Mar09 Feb09 Jan13     (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   04/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.74K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO ELUSIVE         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 ★    
2  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Mar15 Feb08 Jan27 Jan18 Jan05 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
3  DANCE SHOES Mar31 Jan27       (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  RED NOON RISING Mar31 Mar15 Feb02 Jan06   (toye joe)MAWING A 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
5  SARJENALLI Mar25         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
6  KELANI KIM         (glatt mark)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
7  MISS IMPORTANT Mar27 Mar07 Feb01 Jan06   (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
 
TUP-8   04/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.888K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABANDONED Mar09 Mar01 Jan10     (sharp mar)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
2  THE THIRD RING Mar23 Mar03 Feb07 Jan07   (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 8.00    
3  CALIBOGEE Feb28         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 12% 7.60    
4  BLUES RAPPER Apr04 Mar21 Mar10 Mar01 Feb07 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 ★    
5  AUTISM SAVANT Mar23 Mar01 Feb10 Jan19 Jan05 (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 6% 15.70    
6  HAMMERING LEMON Mar24 Mar09 Feb06 Jan14 Jan01 (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  CLUB MESQUITE Apr01 Mar21 Mar10 Feb02 Jan12 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BALI STAR Mar09 Feb01       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.