Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Rillito
Saturday - March 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RIL-2   03/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL POUCH Mar12 Feb21 Jan15     (simpson shann)KING MCKENZIE 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
PIRATE MISCHIEF Mar12 Mar06       (kern david)SALAZAR TERESA 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
EARLY RISER (IRE) Mar12         (kern david)ANDERSON MCKENNA 116 5.00    
MISS MY MAMMA         (hernandez dann)BELLOC AARON 119 8.00    
SNOOZY SUZY Mar12 Mar04 Feb21 Jan20 Jan04 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
K P KRYPTON Mar19 Mar05 Feb14 Jan22   (blea jr)OSUNA JESUS 119 2.00    
 
RIL-3   03/26/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2K) Purse ($5.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXX EFFORT Mar13         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50    
SCR  LAZARUS COME FORTH Feb26 Feb10 Jan19     (dillenbeck )SCRIVER L 126 12.00    
MARQUE IT UP Mar19 Feb25 Feb17 Feb03 Jan26 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 5.00 25% 3.00    
CATHRYN VALENTINA Mar12 Mar06 Feb19 Feb04 Jan18 (bazurto ramon)BAZAN ANTONIO 116 4.00    
BRETT Mar19 Feb27 Feb02 Jan11   (magrady rona)SALAZAR TERESA 126 6.00 10% 8.60    
CONQUEST MOONMAD Mar12 Mar06       (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
PRINCESS SUNRISE Mar12 Feb26       (munoz lu)KING MCKENZIE 121 10.00 10% 8.60    
 
RIL-4   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BULLET TIMES Mar13 Mar06 Feb14 Feb02 Jan21 (blea jr)OSUNA JESUS 126 4.00    
ORATORY GLORY Mar15 Feb18 Jan21 Jan12   (simpson shan)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 6.00    
MOONLIGHT BLUE Feb16 Jan26 Jan11     (nelson amy)LARSEN S 126 10.00    
SCR  RED HOT CAT Feb27 Feb05 Jan14     (kern david)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00 55% 0.80    
OMACHE KID Feb25 Feb08       (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00 16% 5.50    
BRICKHOUSE Mar20 Mar06       (kern david)SCRIVER L 126 5.00    
LIL LATIGO Mar13 Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 Jan11 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 2.50    
 
RIL-5   03/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSKYMAN Mar19 Mar12 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 (tsosie terr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 5.00    
COLONEL MIKE Mar09 Mar01 Feb14 Feb02   (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 126 2.00 20% 4.00    
GOLDEN GODDESS Mar05 Feb27 Feb18 Feb09 Jan19 (blea jr)OSUNA JESUS 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
RETURN TO HARBOR Mar12 Mar05 Feb21 Feb11 Jan25 (wheeler trav)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SIZZLING GRACE Mar18 Feb25 Feb03 Jan25 Jan12 (dillenbeck )SCRIVER L 121 6.00    
WINTER STAR Mar07 Feb08 Jan13     (silva p)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 12.00 16% 5.30    
THOUGHTS OF GOLD Mar14 Mar01 Feb14 Jan04   (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00    
 
RIL-6   03/26/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT FOR JUSTICE Mar18 Mar05 Feb26 Feb08 Jan26 (gomez alejand)KING MCKENZIE 126 8.00    
FLYCATCHER Mar19 Mar13 Feb27 Feb09 Jan18 (blea jr)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 11% 8.30    
TIZ A SPEED BOMB Mar19 Mar10 Jan18     (kern david)SCRIVER L 126 1.40 16% 5.30    
CURRENTLY KRAZY Mar12 Feb27 Jan13     (crotts jim)OSUNA JESUS 126 6.00    
MORNING BLURS Mar13 Mar01 Feb14 Jan14   (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  FINISHED MY P H D Mar16 Mar01 Jan14     (kubinova eli)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 10.00    
 
RIL-7   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWITCH BACK Mar20 Mar05 Feb26     (cruz omar)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 2.00 30% 2.40    
TIME TO ZOOM Feb27 Feb15 Feb02 Jan11   (simpson shan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 10% 8.80    
EMPEROR'S CHOICE Mar13 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Jan06 (kern david)ANDERSON MCKENNA 126 10.00 10% 9.30    
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Mar17 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00    
OVER EZ Mar15 Feb08 Jan21 Jan13   (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 126 12.00    
FIGHT ME Mar12 Feb27 Feb14 Feb04 Jan03 (figueroa juan)BELLOC AARON 126 2.50    
SCR  WARFRONT FIGHTER Mar14 Feb07 Jan24     (simpson shann)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.00 25% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.