Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW SOUTH Mar04 Jan14       (george cy)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  SEVEN POINTS Mar04 Feb02 Jan14     (chambers mike)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  TEMPORARILY Mar11 Feb28 Feb10 Jan17   (hernandez l)GARCIA F 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  JEWEL OF DENIAL Mar04 Feb15       (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 6.00 ★    
5  SHVERE ARBETER         (kruljac ian)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN ENCOUNTER Mar10 Mar01       (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  CRACK A COLD ONE Feb22 Jan31 Jan18     (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  BLUE BOY WHO Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 Jan04   (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00    
4  TURN AT TED'S Jan14         (mendoza eloy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00    
5  JACK COOL Feb25 Jan23 Jan02     (navarro g)OSUNA MARTIN 124 12.00 ★    
6  LT. BULLITT Mar11 Feb14 Jan19     (kubinova eli)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 2.50 ★    
7  HARROVIAN Mar11 Feb08 Jan26 Jan10   (villamar cand)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 4.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-5   03/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($25.48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANATOLIA Feb15         (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
2  SARJENALLI         (bonn randy)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50    
3  J T'S LA NENA Mar05 Feb04 Jan19 Jan03   (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  FOUNDATION Mar04 Feb03 Jan06     (perren a)CORBETT W 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
5  JOY IN GRACE Feb28         (rycroft ti)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 ★    
6  MISS GLORIOUS Feb08         (jimenez miguel)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   03/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.888K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK BOUND Mar02 Jan26 Jan05     (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
2  MR. ARTISTIC Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan17   (hodgson barry)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  OXBOW PARK Mar02 Feb14 Feb04 Jan17 Jan03 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 7% 13.10    
4  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Mar14 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Jan03 (essex)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL Jan25 Jan04       (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 ★    
6  M G M'S LUCKY Mar14 Feb24 Feb07     (hudson je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00    
7  REDDISH Mar14 Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 Jan17 (homer jaso)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 14% 5.90    
 
TUP-7   03/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.006K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OSTINI Mar16 Jan19       (weaver gord)SCRIVER L 124 6.00 13% 7.00    
2  JOHNNY Mar10 Feb22 Feb03     (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
3  EL BORRACHO Mar04 Jan31 Jan07     (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
4  OUR DANDY'S BOY Mar04 Jan31       (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  EXETER Mar04 Jan25 Jan10     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
6  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Mar04 Jan31       (campo )FLETCHER D 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
7  LINEMANS CHECK Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04   (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONCUR Mar08 Feb25 Feb08 Jan20   (rycroft tim)VERGARA P 122 5.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Feb08 Jan13 (silva juan )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 6.00    
3  UNION BROTHER Mar17 Mar07 Feb11 Jan31 Jan20 (silva pablo)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 ★    
4  COASTLINE SERMON Mar01 Feb10 Jan20 Jan04   (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 ★    
5  PASSED BY PAUL Mar04 Jan20 Jan04     (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 4.00 ★    
6  SMOOTH PAPA Mar04 Feb22 Feb08 Jan13   (jimenez migue)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
7  SPARKLING LUTE Feb14 Feb03 Jan04     (christian billy)MAWING A 122 10.00    
8  GOLDEN TIGER Mar14 Mar01 Jan18     (stubblefiel)SCRIVER L 122 12.00 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.