Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C THE BARTENDER Mar01 Feb08 Jan17     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  ABRAA JABRAA Feb27 Feb14 Jan17     (nelson amy)MAWING A 124 12.00    
3  RAIDERETTE Mar08 Feb02 Jan19     (moore m)CIVACI SAHIN 124 6.00 6% 15.10    
4  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Mar02 Feb18 Jan20     (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 ★    
5  TICK TOCK Mar07 Feb15 Jan28 Jan20   (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.00    
6  OUR LIZZY LOU         (kenney dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  STREET FLYER Mar01 Feb03 Jan14     (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.50 7% 12.50    
 
TUP-3   03/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACCHIATO D'ORO Feb25         (campo stacy)CORBETT W 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  KOWBOYKABIN Feb21         (rarick wade)VERGARA P 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  ASTRONOMICAL Mar02 Jan25 Jan05     (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
4  LEADING SCORE Feb14         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
5  SEBASTIAN'S BOY Mar02 Jan25       (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 4.00    
6  JU JU GUY Feb25 Feb03 Jan10     (score robert)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANLEY RYDER Mar09 Feb02 Jan24     (toye joe)MAWING A 122 10.00 ★    
2  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Feb09 Jan17       (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.00 ★    
3  TWILIGHT RIDER Mar09 Feb17 Jan31 Jan18   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 ★    
4  TOP ROCKET Feb28 Feb07 Jan24     (evans justin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  CRYIN' CHUCK Mar08 Feb15       (soto antonio)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
6  LITIGATOR Mar09 Jan26 Jan14     (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 38% 1.60    
7  EXILED Mar03 Feb15       (kereluk edward)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
 
TUP-5   03/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALAS Feb24 Feb14 Jan24 Jan12   (silva rodriguez)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 ★    
2  VEGAS BEAUTY         (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  KEEP IT ROLLIN Feb24 Feb10 Jan24 Jan03   (buechler j)ZUNINO L 118 3.50 ★    
4  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Feb15         (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
5  PORTUGUESEPRINCESS Mar05 Feb15 Jan28     (valdez-cab)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  SEENEVA THE CAT Feb24 Feb09 Jan19     (mcdaniel w )SCRIVER L 118 15.00    
7  TOSSAPENNYDOWN Mar01 Jan10       (score rober)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00    
8  KEBA LUCKY DAY Feb21 Jan24       (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   03/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING SALSA Feb28 Feb07 Jan17     (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 3.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT BABY Feb04         (campo stacy)CARTER KYLE 124 8.00    
3  BUBBAS STREET GAL Feb25 Feb04 Jan06     (ferguson chad)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★    
4  LADY M         (george cynth)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 10.00 ★    
5  DOWNTOWN CUTIE         (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
6  GYPSY WOMAN (IRE) Feb25 Feb04       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
7  MISS REBEKAH Jan26 Jan06       (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  TEXAS WENDY Feb02         (denny travis)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINCHPIN STORM Feb21 Feb10 Jan27 Jan07   (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  MR NAVIGATOR Feb21 Jan27 Jan13 Jan04   (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE ALI Feb11 Jan12       (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
4  WAKE UP CALL Feb10 Jan04       (person kenneth )CORBETT W 122 5.00 6% 17.20    
5  MORO APPEAL Feb15 Jan21 Jan02     (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
6  GORDY'S RULES Feb22 Feb03 Jan25 Jan07   (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
7  UNION BROTHER Mar07 Feb11 Jan31 Jan20 Jan10 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
8  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13   (kubinova e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/17/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL AZUL Mar02 Jan27 Jan05     (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  FORTHELOVEOFLYDIA Mar01 Jan27 Jan04     (es)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
3  FABULOUS FORUM Feb11 Feb03       (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
SCR  XYLOPHONE Feb02 Jan14       (buechler j)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 ★    
5  LEXOPHILIA Feb22 Jan15       (gutierrez juan)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
6  B J'S SPIRIT Jan27 Jan04       (rarick wade)VERGARA P 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
7  STREET SHADOW Feb28 Jan27       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 15.00    
8  LEMON DROP LADY Mar04 Feb02 Jan06     (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  RED VENUS Feb11 Jan27 Jan11     (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  IN THE RED Jan19         (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  KARALINKA Mar08 Feb09 Jan27 Jan06   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
SCR  DIRT FLIRT Jan30         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.