Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 22, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/5/4/6)-(4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/6)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/6)-(4/1/3)-(6/7/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(6/7/3/1)-(4/3/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(4/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(4/3/6/5)-(8/1/6/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5/8)-(4/3/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/6/5)-(8/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/5)-(8/1/6/4)-(1/4/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/6/4)-(1/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/4)-(1/4/2/5)-(10/9/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/9/5)-(1/4/2/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/2/5)-(10/9/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/5)-(10/9/7/8)-(9/2/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/7/8)-(10/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/7/8)-(10/9/7/8)-(10/9/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/7/8)-(9/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/22/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GATORS REIGN Jan28 Sep26 Aug08 Jun29 May04 (davis n)FERRER C 122 10.00    
2  WHERE'S JACK Sep12 Aug30 Jun07 May28 Apr13 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  R WINCHESTER Jun08 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21   (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
4  NORTH SHIP Feb07 Jan17 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.20 52% 0.90    
SCR  BROKEN SOUND Nov22 Oct19 Sep26     (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 3.50    
6  SENOR RESPLANDOR Apr27         (destefano bru)MORALES ANGEL 122 10.00    
 
TAM-2   02/22/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRGIN ISLAND NICE Jan31 Jan07 Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
2  ZIMBAWEE Jan21 Dec17 Apr05 Feb21 Jan17 (torres pab)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 112 30.00    
3  BAD BOY BUTCH Feb01 Jan11 May26 Mar02 Feb06 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 1.20 41% 1.50    
4  SKYLINER         (donaldson deb)FLORES ADRIAN 122 20.00 7% 12.40    
5  MORALITO Feb06 Jan25 Jan09 Aug17   (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 22% 3.40    
6  MADCAP Feb07 Oct02 Sep19 Aug16 Jul19 (alessi james)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  MATTY B GOOD Jan25 Jan14 Dec26 Dec13 Sep14 (mazza joseph)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 6.00    
8  SENOR MONEY Feb13 Jan31 Jan14 Oct17 Sep26 (harris w)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00    
 
TAM-3   02/22/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK THE MONARCH Jan24 Jul18 Jun19 Jun06 May02 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 25% 3.10    
2  MIZZEN MILLIONS Feb05 Jul02 May17 May03 Apr20 (garrett j)DELGADO DAVID 118 20.00    
3  SMART STYLE Jan30 Jan04 Nov09 Oct12 Sep12 (laurin roger)MORALES ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BRAVO KITTEN Jan23 Dec19 Nov29 Aug31 Jul06 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.50 52% 0.90    
5  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Jan21 Jan03 Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50    
SCR  LIL TEMPTATION Feb05 Jan28 Jan14 Dec27 Dec12 (quinones raul)COTTO L 118 20.00    
7  EARLY DELIVERY Jan24 Jan04 Dec27 Dec12 Nov19 (lopez ra)LEON A 118 15.00    
 
TAM-4   02/22/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY DOMINANCE Feb06 Jan11 Nov26 Oct18 Sep28 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
2  CLASSIC BALLAD Feb12 Jan23 Jan09 Nov29 Nov07 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 4.50    
3  LIZZIE BABY Feb01 Jan07 Dec19 Nov29 Nov19 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00 10% 9.50    
4  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Feb06 Jan07 Dec05 Oct09 Sep04 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 119 3.00    
5  POLA OF TROUBLE Feb06 Jan18 Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 (ochoa gerard)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00    
6  CHINA BLUE Jan25 Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 Sep27 (chapman j)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
7  QUEEN ATLAS Jan18 Jan04 Dec19 Nov19 Oct14 (bi)DA FAUSTO 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  PLAY FREE BIRD Feb06 Jan30 Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
 
TAM-5   02/22/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XIAO LONG Feb05 Jan17 Jan02 Dec13 Aug13 (destefano bru)MORALES ANGEL 122 20.00    
2  FLAMEFIRE Feb06 Jan30 Jan11 Jan02 Nov07 (morzan j)MARTINEZ A 122 30.00    
3  NO MERLOT Oct24 Sep19 Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 (hemingway mich)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  ALRASIKH Feb06 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Sep26 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  JOBU Jan30 Sep19       (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEVILMENT Feb06 Jan14 Dec03 Nov02 Oct10 (orseno josep)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 12.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  CHILLY CHEESESTEAK Jan04 Nov30       (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 122 30.00    
8  MR. FUNTASTICO Feb05 Sep28 Sep14 Jul31 Jul11 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 122 4.50 ★    
9  SULION Mar16 Nov01       (rizo juan)ALONSO LUIS 122 10.00    
10  SPEAKER'S LOBBY Jan21 Jan07 Oct25 Aug02   (kintz matthe)CASTANON L 122 6.00    
11  BLUE SKY'S SYL Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 Aug16 (wasiluk pet)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00    
12  ROYAL STRIKE Feb01         (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 122 20.00    
13  SKYBREAKER Jan18 Dec17       (rivera francisco)FERRER C 122 30.00    
SCR  MOSSAD Aug20 Aug30       (ferraro m )MEJIAS A 115 20.00    
 
TAM-6   02/22/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSPIRACY FACT Feb08 Jan25 Dec24 Nov22 Sep22 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
2  SPEEDY HANS Feb04 Jan14 Dec24 Dec12 Nov28 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 6.00    
SCR  OUT WORK'N Dec24 Oct03 Jul04 Mar23 Aug21 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
4  PANDO Feb04 Jan23 Dec17 Dec03 Nov19 (granitz ant)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  COPAZO Feb08 Jan23 Dec13 May03 Apr26 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 122 3.50    
6  PERUVIAN LUCKY Jan14 Dec27 Nov29 Sep25 Aug21 (rodriguez dari)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00 9% 10.50    
7  PEACE CLOUD Feb04 Jan21 Jan04 Dec10 Oct07 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
8  PASSIONED Jan25 Jan14 Dec05 Nov08 Oct17 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
9  MISSION MIKE Feb04 Jan07 Dec27 Dec05 Nov22 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   02/22/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICA Feb05 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Aug27 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  KATARZYNA Jan28 Jan03 Nov21 Oct10 Sep12 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 8.00 6% 15.40    
3  ZETTIE Jan23 Jan08 Nov29 Oct19 Jul31 (olivo k)GIL CIPRIANO 121 15.00    
4  ENCHANT Jan28 Jan14 Jul13 Jun08 May25 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
5  BRITISH EMPRESS Dec27 Dec05 Apr20 Mar19 Feb19 (robson l)RODRIGUEZ O 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEB'S SEA BREEZE Feb05 Jan17 Dec31 Dec03 Oct26 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 121 30.00    
7  NEW ISSUE Jan14 Dec20 Oct18 Aug24 Jul25 (potts g)HO WESLEY 123 4.50    
8  MISS VALENTINA (BRZ) Jan10 Dec20       (rodriguez a)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 15.00    
9  MONEY TRAIL Jan10 Dec20 Dec03 Oct26 Jul25 (vinson john )LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.50 ★    
10  SUGAR MAGNOLIA (IRE) Jan16 Nov21 Oct10     (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Jan28 Jan04 Oct11 Sep22 Aug31 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 116 30.00    
SCR  BALITEA Jan28 Dec10 Oct12 Sep13 Aug15 (cascallares )CASIQUE UBARDO 121 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/22/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAYDAR CONTROL Jan28 Jan14 Feb07 Jan15 Dec24 (ward dennis)FERRER C 119 3.50    
SCR  MESSI THE GREAT Jan31 Jan14 Dec31 Dec05 Nov19 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 4.50    
3  CAREER RISK Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Nov29 Oct05 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 15.00    
4  NYIKOS Jan31 Jan18 Dec31 Dec03 Oct04 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
5  ACQUISITIVE Dec19 Dec05 Aug17 Jul26 Jun27 (ubide max)TORRES R 119 15.00    
SCR  WESTMINSTER (NZ) Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 (smith crai)MEJIAS A 112 12.00    
7  BURN INDY BURN Sep22 Sep01 Aug12 Jul21 Jun22 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  MY SATISFACTION Jan31 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Mar02 (morales )MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DANZING MINER Jan14 Dec19 Dec02 Nov11 Sep20 (garrett )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
10  GO YOSHIDA Jan14 Dec19 Dec05 Oct22 Oct01 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00 51% 1.00    
 
TAM-9   02/22/2026 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($56.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EJTIMAA May11 Apr06 Mar22 Feb22 Jan18 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 5.00 18% 4.40    
2  GROUNDED Dec13 Nov15 Sep19 Aug11 Jun23 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Jan31 Dec24 Nov30 Oct20 Sep23 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.50    
4  INNATELY GOOD Jan31 Dec05 Nov14 Sep28 Sep10 (goodwin g)FERRER C 118 10.00    
5  EAMONN Jan24 Jan04 Sep20 Aug31 Jul19 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
6  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL Dec26 Nov02 Aug31 Jul13 Jun05 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
7  MO TRUMP Jan17 Dec24 Nov06 Oct13 Sep13 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 5.00    
8  ADIOS COLE Jan17 Dec13 Oct04 Jul26 Jan18 (wilensky sam)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  LETS GO KOKO Sep20 Aug16 Jun26 May31 Apr18 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 113 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.