Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 14, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/6)-(2/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/6)-(2/1/6/3)-(3/7/8/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(3/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/3)-(3/7/8/5)-(6/7/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/5)-(6/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(2/6/1/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(2/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(2/6/1/3)-(4/3/7/8/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(4/3/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(4/3/7/8/6)-(8/7/3/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/3/7/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8/6)-(4/3/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/8/6)-(4/3/7/8/6)-(4/3/7/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/7/8/6)-(8/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/8/6)-(8/7/3/5)-(6/8/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5)-(8/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/5)-(6/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/3)-(6/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/3)-(6/8/4/3)-(6/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/14/2026 5490ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSHEN Jan06 Dec27 Dec11 Oct29 Sep17 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
2  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Jan02 Dec11 Dec01 Nov12 Oct20 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
3  GRACIE DANCE Dec22 Dec11 Nov04 Sep17 Sep01 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 119 15.00    
4  SACRED CONNECTION Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 Nov12 Oct29 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00    
5  DREAMING OF AUDREY Dec22 Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 Aug21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  A NEW PEACE Dec24 Nov04 Sep24 Sep10 Sep02 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 8.00 7% 13.90    
7  SHAMU Dec22 Dec05 Sep10 Aug22 Aug09 (langley jos)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126 4.50 26% 2.80    
8  PLAY MAKER Jan06 Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 (langley joshu)SOSA LAUREANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-2   01/14/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER ME Dec24 Dec08 Nov05 Oct08 Jun26 (crumley j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  RENO TOUCH Dec08 Oct27 Oct09 Aug20 Jun16 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
3  TAKING CHARGE DESI Dec23 Dec11 Nov10 Oct27 Oct08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FULL TIME STRUTIN Dec09 Nov17 Oct29 Oct09 Oct01 (gonzalez do)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
5  GENERAL GINNY Dec11 Nov10 Oct07 Sep20 Jul30 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
6  O SHAUGHESEY Dec23 Dec09 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.60 14% 6.40    
SCR  LITTLE MUSIC Dec11 Oct03 Sep18 Sep03 Aug23 (holsapple hutch)BOWEN ROCCO 124 10.00    
8  YEHAWMEMAW Dec10 Oct26 Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-3   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSONIC AGENDA Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Sep26 Sep18 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00    
2  DOS AMORES Nov22 Nov02 Oct02 Aug28 Aug06 (rone penny)RIVERA R 120 3.00    
3  TIZ CHINA Oct26 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27   (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  LADY VIRAGO Jan02 Nov22 Sep28 Sep06 Aug16 (stephen anthony)PARKER L 120 12.00    
5  MITOLEISDYNAMITE Jan02 Nov02 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIZ MIA Jan02 Sep10 Aug19     (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120 12.00    
7  AGUA FRESCA Nov02 Sep18 Sep06     (rivelli larry)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
8  UNCHAINED SPIRIT Jan02 Nov25       (bailey ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 10.00 8% 11.10    
 
MVR-4   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY LES Dec23 Nov19 Oct30 Oct06 Sep17 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
2  CHARLESTON Dec23 Nov06 Oct14 Sep30 Sep04 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
3  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Dec20 Dec07 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
4  PAY ZONE Dec19 Nov29 Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
5  SAINT GOAR Dec23 Oct30 Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 (pappad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BAXLEY Oct06 Sep02 Aug04 Jul16 Jun22 (rivelli larry)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  EDDIE M Dec23 Dec01 Oct28 Oct21 Jun11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
MVR-5   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETSY Dec16 Oct21 Aug30 Aug07   (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 2.50 8% 11.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ANOTHER BROAD by INCLUDE)
2  SHEZ TWISTED Dec10 Oct05 Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 (williams col)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LIMITED VIEW by FREEDOM CHILD)
3  TALE OF LEMONBELLE Nov01 Oct11 Sep13     (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  EASY PEASY GIRL         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HIGH SO CI by SCAT DADDY)
5  SCARY JERRY Oct08         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LASSOFTHEMOHICANS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MOTOWN STORY Nov25 Oct22       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by BLAME out of STORY TIME by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  ACADEMIC FREEDOM Dec21 Oct26       (mckeever andr)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CAFE NIGHT by CALIFORNIA CHROME)
8  OJOS LOCOS         (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FLAWLESS KID by LEMON DROP KID)
9  OLIVE ON TOP Dec16 Nov07 Sep10 Aug19   (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
  (by SHOTICHE out of KUMARA by COGENCY)
SCR  LADY VIV Dec17 Nov28 Oct25     (fernandez edward)MURGIA A 122 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TAP DIVA by TAPIT)
 
MVR-6   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA'S GO Jan01 Nov06 Sep19 Sep11 Aug19 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 3.00    
2  MY KATHRYN ROSE Nov30 Oct14 Aug19 Jun21 Jun01 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
3  KHALI J Dec04 Oct03 Aug05     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  ARROGARSI Dec22 Nov24 May18     (morey e)PARKER L 126 1.80 39% 1.50    
5  STAR ELLA Jan02 Dec16 Nov25 Oct22 Oct15 (rivera r)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
6  HAZARD PAY Dec16 Oct15 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHE'S SO SEXY Dec04 Oct30 Oct03 Aug25 Jul10 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
8  SHIPSHEWANA Oct23 Sep05 Aug16 Jun12 May26 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ITSALLABOUTMEBABY Sep10 Aug12 Jun11 Mar23 Mar01 (reed eric )WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURKODANCER Dec16 Dec02 Nov04 Oct25 Oct08 (langley jos)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
2  HE IS DYNAMIC Dec04 Nov04 Oct25 Oct02 Sep03 (andrade h)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
3  BE AN EDDIE Dec04 Apr30 Apr10 Mar04 Feb08 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  DRILL EM Dec04 Oct15 Aug12 Mar04 Feb08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
5  JACOBI Dec20 Dec04 Oct25 Sep18 Jun04 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUMPKIN Dec04 Sep25 Sep26 Aug28 Aug07 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
7  PLUM TUFF Dec04 Nov25 Oct06 Sep17 Aug21 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 7% 13.10    
8  SHELTOWEES ROCKET Dec23 Dec08       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
9  BUCKEYE MIKE Dec16 Dec04 Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   01/14/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER IS A GIFT Dec20 Dec04 Nov11 Oct25 Sep18 (andrade hugo)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
SCR  HALEY'S DANTE Dec03 Nov11 Oct25 Oct02 Sep03 (fernandez edward)MURGIA A 124 4.50    
3  SHELTOWEES BLING Dec17 Oct22 Oct04 Sep04 Aug22 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GLORY REIGNS Dec18 Oct01 Sep12 Aug25   (hi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 6.00 15% 5.80    
5  DYNAMIC GIFT Dec16 Nov11 Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 (andrade h)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
6  BOSABROTHER Dec18 Oct01 Sep12 Aug25   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 116 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  MOONSHINE JOE Dec16 Dec04 Jun17 May19 Apr30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
8  SOUP TODAY Dec18 Nov20 Nov05 Oct04 Sep19 (stephen anthony)PARKER L 116 2.00 28% 2.50    
9  LUCKY'S PRIZE Dec20 Nov11 Oct25 Oct08 Aug28 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.