Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/3)-(5/2/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/2/4)-(3/6/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/6/5)-(2/5/3/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/1)-(2/4/5)-(3/5/6/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLETTA Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 Jul01 (rickma)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.00    
SCR  HYPER HOLIDAY Oct07 Sep25 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 (gitte)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 1.40    
3  DREAMS FOR ALL         (gittens devon)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  RING IT UP Oct07 Sep22 Sep01 Jul22 Sep30 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 7% 13.70    
5  NOTYOURHUNNY Oct07 Sep22 Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00    
 
FE-2   10/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTUCCI Sep29 Sep15 Aug12 Jul27 Jul18 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.20 72% 0.40    
2  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Sep25 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 119 6.00    
3  SANTIAGO SALSA Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BILL NEEDLE Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug17 Aug04 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 ★    
5  HE'S FULLY LOADED Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 3.00    
 
FE-3   10/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECTFOREVERTOWN Sep22 Sep02       (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PERFECT FOREVER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  FROMTHEWONDERLAND Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of NO WONDER by THREE WONDERS)
3  DAISYCREST Sep25 Aug21 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  REALLOVEISLUCKY Oct06 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 (newland george)BYNOE DESEAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SKYBOUND by SKY CLASSIC)
5  SALMIAKKI Sep22 Aug29 Jul12 May31 Dec14 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
FE-4   10/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RING BIT Sep30 Sep22 Sep01 Jul24 Jun29 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
2  ROLLING ROXXX Aug26 Aug04 Jul01 Jun15 Jun03 (agostino roy )KERR CHEYENNE 115 8.00    
3  MAIKEN THE VIKING Sep29 Sep09 Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
4  SCARY BOO Sep30 Sep08 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 (mileni nick)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
5  PORSHAS RUN Sep08 Aug25 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 (smith r)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HELANA Sep30 Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 Aug04 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
FE-5   10/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPER ANGEL Sep29 Sep15 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 (husbands antho)BYNOE DESEAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 36% 1.70    
3  LAST GLIMMER Sep30 Sep15 Sep08 Aug26 Jul28 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
4  EASTER SUNDAY GIRL Oct02 Sep04 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 (holder tedsto)KERR CHEYENNE 115 6.00    
5  SUPER SERENADE Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 Jul31 Jul10 (keen howard)NEWELL F 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  IMPERIAL TRICK Sep22 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 (thompson ran)SAMUEL L 120 5.00    
7  ALL FOR HONOR Oct02 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 (polsinelli domi)JADOO STEVE 122 4.00    
 
FE-6   10/14/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May30 May22 (chircop steven)SALLES LEO 120 3.50    
2  FOREST WOODSMAN Sep15 Sep01 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  SCREEN LEGEND Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
4  LONHRO'S GAMBLE Sep29 Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul25 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 4.50 23% 3.30    
5  BEST IN CLASS Oct06 Sep16 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Oct06 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (mcmahon willia)BYNOE DESEAN 120 4.00    
 
FE-7   10/14/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIAH SAID Sep12 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (cole krista)FORDE XAREL 115 5.00    
2  SHORT STORY LONG Sep23 Aug25 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (hoad lindsay)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
3  CANADIAN AVRO Sep23 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 58% 0.70    
4  THE DREAM LISTENER Jul27 Jul07 Jun10 May23 May11 (tomlin)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
6  ONTARIO HOLIDAY Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug26 Jul21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 7% 13.20    
7  PANYARD TAP Sep30 Sep16 Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 117 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.