Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/1)-(5/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/1)-(5/1/4/6)-(4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/6)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/6)-(4/3/1)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/6/5)-(3/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/5/4)-(2/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/5/1)-(3/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K KID Sep17 Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 Jun04 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 10.00 9% 9.80    
2  OUR LAST SONG Sep19 Jul16 Nov27 Nov14 Oct28 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 116 3.50    
3  SWEEPING GIANT Sep11 Aug21 Aug03 Jul08 Jun21 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Sep11 Aug07 Jun17 May22 Apr24 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Aug26 Aug04 Jul03 Jun09 May08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  DR SCHUSTER Sep23 Sep11 Aug18 Jul30 Jun30 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
7  SIGHT UNSEEN Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 Feb27 Feb03 (ray kevin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
 
TDN-2   10/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIONAL STORY Sep16 Aug25 Aug08 Jun25 May29 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
2  VERNON'S BEST Sep16 Aug27 Aug18 Aug07 Jul07 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 15.00    
3  SEEKING FREEDOM Sep12 Aug27 Aug18 Aug07 Jul17 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 10.00    
4  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Sep16 May17 May04 Apr20 Dec14 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VECCHI Sep16 Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.80 57% 0.80    
6  DRILL'S BOY Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 Jun17 May28 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SILENT DRILL Sep25 Sep12 Aug18 Aug07 Jun25 (sweeting craig)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
 
TDN-3   10/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMIRAL NELSON Sep15 Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Apr17 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KONTEEKEE Sep15 Aug25 Jul10 Jun23 May13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
3  VODKA N GINGERALE Sep15 Jun21 Jun03 May13 Feb26 (cannon john )KEISER CHELSEY 115 1.60 22% 3.60    
4  BIG PRANKSTER Sep15 Aug28 Aug14 Oct18 Sep01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  PICARO Sep26 Aug13 Jul10 Jun23 Jun10 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
 
TDN-4   10/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUFUS Sep23 Sep08 Jan30 Jan13 Dec12 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 3.50    
2  DAYTONA GOLD Sep26 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  TROUBLE OR NOTHIN Sep18 Jul31 Jul03 May03 Apr16 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00    
4  VALID CONNECTION Sep23 Aug16 Jun08 Dec08 Nov14 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
5  LEGENDARY STAR Sep23 Jan16 Dec11 Oct28 Oct07 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  INTERVAL Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Jun16 May29 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
TDN-5   10/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO DONT NO Sep11 Aug12 Jul10 Jun17 May28 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50    
2  MISTER MOBIL Sep25 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
3  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul01 Jun17 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
4  RAVEN MOON Aug27 Aug07 Jul01 Jun06 May14 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  I WANNA WIN Aug27 Aug14 Jul15 Jul02 Jun04 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  GONE IN A FLASH Sep23 Aug06 Jun17 May12 Apr21 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   10/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM KNIGHT Sep24 Sep10 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
2  DAVID'S GEM Sep03 Aug05 Jun12 Jan29 Dec16 (johnson gary)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Sep28 Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
4  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Sep23 Aug13 Jun16 May20 Jan29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  SAHM TEQUILA Aug13 Jun09 May20 Apr29 Mar15 (lopez jr)PEREZ A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE DRAKE Aug20 Jul03 Jun10 May18 Apr08 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
 
TDN-7   10/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL ITCH Sep21 Aug27 Jun03 Apr28 Mar19 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLIDAY LIGHTS Apr16 Mar05 Jan25 Jan07 Dec23 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 72% 0.40    
3  SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Sep24 Sep01 Aug05 Jun10 May20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
4  GREY MARKET Sep24 Sep11 Aug28 Jul06 May31 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 2.00    
5  ATHENA'S GHOST Aug27 Jun26 Jun09 Apr28 Mar31 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GO JOCELYN GO Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 Jun09 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00    
 
TDN-8   10/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND BUZZ Sep16 Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  ROLL ON BIG O Sep04 Jun30 May20 May03 Apr03 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80    
3  SOCIAL HISTORY Sep16 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 May28 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  HARTSTEIN Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
5  NAMBITI Sep16 Aug29 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
6  SHANGHAI PRINCE Sep12 Jul26 Jul01 Jun12 Feb04 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.