Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - October 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/4/3)-(3/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/6/4)-(6/7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/7/1)-(1/7/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(1/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/8)-(1/7/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/8)-(1/7/10/4/8)-(1/7/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S FAIR Sep20         (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 117 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by GREAT GLADIATOR out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
2  SOUP TODAY Sep19 Aug13 Aug01     (stephen anthon)ROCCO S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of PAOLA by MISREMEMBERED)
3  UNO NOIR         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 122 5.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOT FRENCH FRIES by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  SHELTOWEES BLING Sep04 Aug22 Aug13 Aug01 Jun25 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 3.50    
  (by MOBIL out of RAZZLEDAZZLE ME by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  MONEY MAGIC Sep04 Aug13       (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 12.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
6  VALIANT STRIKE         (cline c)MURGIA A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by OPEN FORUM out of LOOSEN UP LISA by FAMILY DOCTOR)
 
BTP-2   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESOTHO Aug22 Jul12 Feb10 Dec27 Sep23 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 123 2.50    
2  CARLY'S FLIGHT Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Oct05 (rodak geraldin)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
3  J. P INDY Sep04 Aug08 Jul05 Jun25 Jun07 (cline c)MCKEE J 123 2.00 11% 7.80    
4  IT'S E Z Sep13 May27 Mar25 Feb27 Jan06 (ortiz-ruiz car)JURADO EDDIE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOLLABACK Sep01 Aug08 Apr30 Oct26 Oct02 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.60 65% 0.50    
 
BTP-3   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG BLACK VEIL Sep20 Aug30 Aug13 Jul09 Jun26 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.00    
2  DR. BELLA Sep26 Sep10 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (helmbrecht )LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
3  PRICELESS PICTURE Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun28 (ocasio osvald)SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARTAKE May10 Feb23 Jan25 Oct04 Sep13 (waltermire)HERNANDEZ N 123 6.00 7% 13.70    
5  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Sep20 Jun04 May22 Apr03 Mar19 (rodriquez )VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 3.00 64% 0.60    
6  FRANKLY MY DEAR Sep19 Sep10 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 125 4.50    
 
BTP-4   10/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASSCOAT Sep17 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul08 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.50    
2  DONTKISSDAMINISTER Sep12 Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 May21 (hale jr)MURGIA A 125 1.80    
3  CRAFTED Aug28 Jun27 Mar11 Feb03 Jan16 (short thoma)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 6.00 57% 0.80    
4  MR. PETERKIN Sep19 Aug28 Jul13 Jun19 Feb13 (norris mike)MOJICA JR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CONTRABANDISTA Aug28 Aug02 Jul02 Jun04 May09 (jansen kenny)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
6  TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Sep17 Aug28 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 3.50 13% 7.00    
 
BTP-5   10/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSTRETCH Aug21 Feb06 Jan23 Dec06 Sep11 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00    
2  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Sep25 Sep17 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 123 10.00    
SCR  OUR LEGAL TENDER Jun22 Apr03 Mar07 Jun01 Apr26 (jackson w)MEZA JJ 123 4.00    
4  PARTYVICIOUS Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 (gonzalez r)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Aug14 Jul03 Jun12 May25 May10 (vosler s)MOJICA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) Aug14 Jun26 Mar13 Jan26 Dec01 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 123 2.50 68% 0.50    
7  TRUE JEDI Sep13 Feb20 Jan29 Dec18 Aug25 (martinez kel)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
8  HIGH PROBABILITY Aug30 Jul26 Jun18 Jun07 May18 (miller kenny)MCKEE J 119 5.00    
 
BTP-6   10/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OURAY DREAMIN Sep10 Aug27 Aug16 Jul19   (childs russ)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00    
2  KELLY SIMPLIFIED Sep25 Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 Jul23 (dailey rona)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUE OPAL Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 Mar01 Feb09 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 116 3.50    
4  BENET Sep17 Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun25 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
5  LADY EDNA Sep10 Aug20 Jul05 Jun13 May21 (rodriquez r)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 10.00    
6  STAR WATCH Sep25 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Aug02 (manning j)MCKEE J 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-7   10/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOULSTONE Sep06 Aug09 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY FINE AQUILINE Sep21 Sep06 Aug11 Jul25 Jun21 (martinez kel)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  MOON PARTY Sep19 Sep04 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 15.00    
SCR  ITSABLINGTHING Sep13 Aug11 Jul26 Jun22 May15 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 123 5.00    
5  SPRING SPINNING Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 Jun19 Jun07 (alessi ja)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 4.00    
6  TAKETHESILVER Sep02 Jul19 Jul02 Jun12 May11 (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 118 3.00    
7  AIN'T NO OTHER Sep26 Sep11 Jul26 Jun05 Apr23 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
BTP-8   10/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALENE Sep13 Aug23 Jul17 Jun26 Nov04 (wojczynski justin)MURGIA A 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  DONUT DALI Sep04 Aug23 Jul10     (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
3  SECRET FLAME Aug16         (anderson s)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 6.00    
4  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Jul23 Jul05 (jackson jeffrey)MOJICA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JESSE JANE Aug18 Aug02       (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
6  GUSSY Sep11 Aug16 Jul23 Jul02 Jun13 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 30.00    
7  RUNAWAY KITTEN Sep18 Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 Dec07 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50 35% 1.80    
8  RAISON D'AMOUR Sep17 Sep02 Aug01 Jun25 Jun05 (conto kevin)PAULY SUMMER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  UNBRIDLED ATTITUDE Sep18 Sep04 Aug13     (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 121 8.00    
10  UPSCUTTLED Aug16 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 May30 (estvanko richard)HESS SARA 121 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.