Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/4/5)-(5/4/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/4/2)-(5/1/3/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(5/1/3/4)-(6/1/4/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-4   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(6/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/4)-(6/1/4/5)-(8/2/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-5   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5)-(8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (8/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/9)-(8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ENDING Sep01 Aug05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (davis m)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SPRING MOUNTAIN Sep02 Aug05 Jun13 Dec15 Nov22 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
3  IF YOU INSIST Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 1.40    
4  HE'S A SHOOTER Sep01 May05 Jan07 Dec23 Dec11 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
5  BILL NEEDLE Sep08 Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul08 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY DIVINE Sep15 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Sep01 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
2  SHES HOT TO TROT Sep08 Jul16 Jun16 Jun01 May13 (robillard juli)BYNOE DESEAN 122 12.00    
3  LOADED SECRET Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 Jul14 Jul01 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00    
4  SILENT PASSION Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul08 (mileni nick)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
5  MISTY POINT Aug26 Aug12 Jul27 Jul14 Jul01 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
6  RUNNING ARGUMENT Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul14 Jul01 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   09/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($20.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE SMOOTH STONE Sep16 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun15 (agostino g)BYNOE DESEAN 118 12.00    
2  ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS Sep09 Aug18 Aug04     (carter doug)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  AIM DON'T MISS Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 (mattine michae)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 4.50    
4  CALLING HOME Sep16 Aug18 Jul25 Jun20 May25 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  MICHAELS GIFT Sep07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  THIS CAT IS BY JAX Aug18 Aug07 Jul25 Jun18   (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00    
7  MAGNETIZE Sep08 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 117 8.00    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun26 May27 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGS LIKE FLATTER Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul03 Jun21 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  BORN TO BE GOOD Aug11 Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 124 5.00    
3  NICOLE'S SONG Sep09 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
4  MORE SAVVY Sep08 Aug18 Nov06 Oct22 Oct01 (smith r)MAILHOT P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILVER BULLET LADY Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 May10 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
6  RIFLING Sep09 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun15 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.50    
7  LITTLE FIRE Sep01 May13 May05 Dec01 Oct22 (smith r)SALLES LEO 124 6.00    
 
FE-5   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSTON BAY Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul27 Jul13 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
2  ONTARIO HOLIDAY Sep08 Aug26 Jul21 Jun24 Jun13 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
3  CANADIAN AVRO Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun05 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50    
4  ROYAL QUALITY Sep15 Aug12 Jul25 Jun20 May23 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
5  RED SNEAKERS Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jun27 Jun13 (wills daniel)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PEOPLE ARE PEOPLE Sep15 Aug18 Aug04 Jul03 May27 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 1.40 56% 0.80    
7  SHORT STORY LONG Aug25 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 (hoad lindsay)KERR CHEYENNE 115 20.00    
 
FE-6   09/23/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GALVASTON Aug30 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 May31 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 124 3.00    
2  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Aug18 Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May27 (crete pierre)PINTO MELANIE 119 8.00 34% 2.00    
3  PRINCE FOR A DAY Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00    
SCR  HARDWARE GAP Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00    
5  RED MAPLE Jun15 May27 Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 (agostino roy )KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00    
SCR  HARPER CITY Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 May23 (desruisseaux all)SALLES LEO 122 4.00    
7  TAYLORMOON Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Dec12 (mcmahon g)MAILHOT P 119 15.00    
8  MID DAY IMAGE Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jun27 Apr27 (mcknight norm)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
9  NICHIREN Jul18 Jun13 Jan25 Jan15 Dec01 (johnston marily)HOYTE JASON 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.