Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - September 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(5/2/3)-(2/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/3/7)-(7/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(7/2/4)-(3/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(3/1/2)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/1/4)-(9/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(9/7)-(6/5/9/1/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/7)-(6/5/9/1/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/7)-(6/5/9/1/2)-(6/8/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/5/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/1/2)-(6/5/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/1/2)-(6/5/9/1/2)-(6/5/9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/1/2)-(6/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   09/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTOR'S DREAM Aug08 Jul12 May02 Apr26 Sep07 (gomez pompeyo)COTTO L 119 15.00    
GAP TO GAP Apr16 Mar28 Mar01 Feb15 Dec22 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  DISOBEDIENT BULL Aug23 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13   (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  REDEMPTION SPEIGHT Aug13 Jun15 Feb23 Jan24 Oct09 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 123 2.00    
SCR  TAPSTICK Aug16 May18 Apr13     (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
WE LIVE THIS GAME Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May10 Jan22 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
SILENT RAGE Aug22 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Mar07 (ramirez jose )IORIO MELISSA 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 May18 (mcburney patr)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
 
MTH-2   09/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOUVEAU RICHE Aug18 Apr26 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 (polanco juan )IORIO MELISSA 119 20.00    
RACHEL CAROLINE Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 Jun15 May18 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50 10% 8.80    
IMELDA'S SAVER Aug30 Aug15 Jul04 May23 Sep22 (ramirez l)COTTO L 121 6.00 6% 16.70    
PRINCESS NORMA Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 May17 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 124 5.00    
MY HONEYBUNCH Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jul05 (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
SILJIM Aug03 Jun07 May16 Apr26 Mar15 (delgado alexis)LEON SONNY 121 3.50    
SCR  GAGA'S HAMSOME Aug06 Jul27 May11 Apr19 Mar09 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 1.80    
 
MTH-3   09/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BE HONEST Aug16 Jul02 Jun07 May26 May11 (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
ROB THE RICH Aug25 Jul21 Jun28 Jun06 Mar05 (ness jamie)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
COLPO D'ORO Aug23 Jun27 Oct11 Oct04 Sep21 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  KING FREUD Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jun28 May25 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Aug09 Jun29 Jun14 May24 Apr27 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 124 3.50    
MR RAMIREZ Aug31 Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 Jun12 (ramirez l)COTTO L 124 10.00    
THREE CAPTAINS Aug23 Aug09 Jun21 May25 Apr25 (simone michae)OLVER MADISON 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
MTH-4   09/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J J VALENTIN Jul19 Jun14 May31 May11 May03 (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 3.00    
JACKSON'S LEGACY Aug16 Jul27 Jul09 Jun16 May28 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 117 10.00 28% 2.50    
NOSTALGIA'S SMILE Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80    
AVES MAKIN' WAVES Aug17 Jul18 Jul04 Jun08 May11 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZHU DADDY Aug17 Jul27 Jul11 Jun09 May17 (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 124 12.00    
GUNNERY SERGEANT Aug17 Aug08 Jul06 Jun15 May26 (nunn douglas)BATISTA A 117 10.00    
OMEY ISLAND Aug22 Jul03 Jun20 May17 Apr26 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
MY BOY ROCKY Aug09 Aug02 Jul20 Jun08 May26 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00    
 
MTH-5   09/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($100K) Purse ($46.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALT AND LIGHT Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
EAZY WHIRLED Aug24 Jul18 Jun22 Jun07 May17 (spina charles)MOYA F 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
ONE FINE WINE Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
GRAVITY HILL Aug24 Jul13 Jun15 Sep27 Sep14 (lynch cathal)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00    
SCR  GOLDEN RING Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 Jun07 May26 (huston ro)VARGAS A 124 3.00    
RICHIE'S VALENTINE Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 Sep27 (kendall dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
I CAN EXPLAIN Aug24 Aug02 Jun29 Jun15 May26 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  COOL SPITE Aug24 May24 Oct26 Aug25   (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 5.00    
 
MTH-6   09/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARAK Aug17 Jul19 Jun20 Jun08 May21 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ENGLISH PAINTER Aug01 Jun29 Jun08 May31 May10 (brown r)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 Jun14 (delgado)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
CRYPTO MAN Aug31 Aug10 Jun12 May10 Apr25 (delgado alexis)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
BALANTYNE Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun08 May24 (ramirez silvi)OLVER MADISON 121 4.00    
GUN RIGHT Aug17 Aug03 Jun28 Jun15 May17 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
BAD LARRY Aug10 Aug03 Jul03 Jun21 Jun08 (jones eduardo)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
 
MTH-7   09/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEE AT ONE Aug09 Oct13 Sep22 Aug02 Dec09 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 5.00    
SCR  READY TO FLY Aug02 Jul19 Jun01 May11 Apr06 (mcburney patr)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
SCR  RISK TOLERANCE (IRE) Jul27 Apr21       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug15 Aug02 Jul06 Apr13 Mar16 (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
SCR  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Aug10 Jul26 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
SCR  RETOUCH (FR) Apr11         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
SEE THE TRUTH Aug09 Jul20 Jun21 May18 Oct18 (ward dan)VARGAS A 122 12.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TWO STEPPIN KLUKI Jul20 Jun21 Feb15 Dec14 Nov30 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 121 30.00    
X Y PRIME Jul19 Jun21 Apr26 Mar29 Feb08 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Aug17 Jul06 Jun15 May18 May03 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 10.00    
11  SPIT THE BIT Aug26 Aug19 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 (polanco juan )IORIO MELISSA 117 30.00    
SCR  TAVERN TIME May11 Apr11 Mar05 Nov07 Oct06 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
SCR  VESPARO Aug24 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (huston ro)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
SCR  PASSPORT (URU) Aug24 Nov07 Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 121 20.00    
 
MTH-8   09/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL PERFORMANCE Aug24 Jul20 May25 Oct09 Sep07 (breen j)SUTHERLAND C 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEGENDARY THUNDER Aug24 Oct04 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Jul19 Jun20 May18 Apr23 Mar28 (synnefias dimi)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
GO IRISH Aug17 Jul19 Jun14 May25 Apr12 (antonucci jena)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
DUMB MONEY Aug24 Mar07 Feb06 Jan04 Dec13 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 115 8.00 29% 2.40    
CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Aug18 Jul20 Jun15 May03 Sep15 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
FULLY COMMITTED Aug24 Aug08 Jul27 Jul18 Jul06 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 120 12.00    
CASSATION Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 Apr13 (margotta anth)JARA FERNANDO 120 10.00    
AMORE D'ORO Aug18 Jun29 Jun10 May21 May03 (shaw j)MOYA F 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
10  DOIN THIS Aug24 Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 Jun14 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00    
11  ALPHA COMPANY Aug24 Jul18 Jul05 Jun08 Oct08 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
 
MTH-9   09/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAN MACHINE Aug30 Aug15 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Aug24 Aug19 May26 May02 Feb22 (smith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 12.00    
LAKE CHAPALA Aug23 Aug15 Aug02 Jul06 Jun21 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
SCR  CHARGE OFF Jul27 Jul20 Jun08 Jan24 Dec27 (delgado alexis)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  MICRO BREWSKY Aug30 Aug15 Jun08 May18 May03 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 121 3.00    
FINAL DRAMA Aug02 Jul13 May26 May11 Apr23 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
PAPA FUNNY Aug15 Aug02 Jun15 Mar07 Dec11 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
BOB JOHN RAY Aug22 Jul25 Jun22 Sep29 Aug29 (atras rob)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 12% 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.