Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - August 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/5/6)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/2/3)-(2/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(6/4)-(8/5/3/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/5/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY INCLUDED Feb26 Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 Nov18 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
PARTY POOPER Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 May22 May03 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
CHECK THE FACTS Aug07 Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI PRINCE Jul26 Jul01 Jun12 Feb04 Dec30 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 1.60    
HONOR THE D Jul26 Apr10 Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 (bates l)BUSH V 123 10.00    
 
BTP-2   08/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET VINTAGE Jul23 Jun07 Jan01 Dec05 Nov10 (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.00 22% 3.50    
ACE ON THE TURN Aug07 Jul23 Jun13 May15 Mar26 (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
PERMIT TO CARRY Jul31 Jul18 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (quinones raul)PAULY SUMMER 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
REDHILL Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 Mar20 Feb23 (pittman bo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 8.00    
SKY KEY Aug08 Jul31 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 (melancon paul)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
 
BTP-3   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAMBY BOOM Jul30 Jun24 Jun01 May20 May13 (cambray andres)DIAZ CESAR 114 10.00    
ONE FAST MIDDIE Aug06 Jul16 Jun19 May30 May14 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
PARTYVICIOUS Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 May25 Apr25 (gonzalez r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 3.50    
SCR  VENEZUELAN FAITH Aug13 Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 Jan11 (nunez mauri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 4.50    
KARMA DIRECTOR Aug06 Jul09 Jun19 May16 May08 (baez serg)CORREA L 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
NERVANA Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jun22 May18 (rivera xavi)JIMENEZ J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC LANEY Aug07 Jul18 Jul02 Jun21 May08 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
EARLY BLOOMER Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 Aug15 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
LEDGENDARY KITTEN Oct01 Sep17 Dec30 Oct06 Sep06 (lopez jacinto)JURADO EDDIE 123 8.00 5% 17.80    
DESDEMONA KAY Aug07 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 Oct03 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 3.50    
PRICELESS PICTURE Aug07 Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 May19 (ocasio osva)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 10.00    
ROCKY CHANNEL Jul24 Jun12 May08 Apr03 Dec18 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50    
 
BTP-5   08/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRING SPINNING Aug06 Jul24 Jun19 Jun07 Feb21 (alessi james)MURGIA A 123 20.00    
FLOWERY PATH Jul30 Jul19 Jul10 Jun18 Jun07 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Aug08 Jun17 Jun04 May14 Mar19 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
YAREE D TAT Aug06 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 Jun05 (adams nancy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
VINO VELOCE Aug06 Jul24 May04 Apr16 Mar28 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUN RUN RABBIT Jul24 Jul12 Feb13 Dec19 Aug22 (fletcher )CORREA L 123 6.00    
SCR  C F V TU BRUTUS Aug06 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Apr23 (hill f)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 15.00    
MS KS DYNASTY Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
 
BTP-6   08/21/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STICKY NOTE Jun20 Oct14 Aug26     (cowans willia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50    
D DAY REUNION Jul24 Jun25 May22 May03 Apr13 (mcgovern shan)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  DIAL HIM UP Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 May28 May21 (mendieta al)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00    
SCR  ITSINMYBLOOD Jun25 Jun07 May10 Apr10 Feb26 (mckeever andre)SHEEHY DANNY 119 1.80    
UNCLE TUFFY Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 Jan23 Dec21 (pinzon mari)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 10.00    
BOURBON STATE Jul31 Jul18 Jul09 Jun13 Apr29 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 114 5.00 9% 9.90    
 
BTP-7   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIX Aug07 Jun26 May22 Apr04 Jan08 (alessi ja)CORREA L 123 12.00    
SCR  COURT STAR Jul25 Jul10 Jun13 May24 Sep13 (tsirigotis )BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 4.00    
SCR  SOUND THE SIREN Jul05 Jun16 May13 Apr24   (lauer michael)MCKEE J 119 2.50    
MIRO MOGO Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May23 (barker scott )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STEAL THE DEAL Aug07 Jul19 Jul04 Jun09 May19 (silva fern)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
SERENE WATERS Jul17 Jun27 May22 May10 Mar20 (hester haley)MURGIA A 123 3.50 75% 0.30    
PRINCESS ELANY Aug06 Jul23 Jun19 Aug09 Jul26 (ruvalcaba )HERNANDEZ N 125 6.00    
SCR  TAKETHESILVER Jul19 Jul02 Jun12 May11 Apr09 (danner doug)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
 
BTP-8   08/21/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTRETCH Feb06 Jan23 Dec06 Sep11 Aug10 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 8.00    
ZEN IT Jul04 Jan23 Oct03     (axmaker w)MOJICA JR 123 2.50    
HOWARD'S GRIT Aug13 Jul21 Jul04 Jun23 Jun15 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
SON OF A GRAY Jun12 Apr29 Mar20 Mar06 Feb21 (pittman bo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 10.00 8% 11.60    
ACT YOUR WAGE Jul29 May27 Mar13 Feb20 Dec29 (vanden b)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 10.00 16% 5.20    
VINDICATED TIGER Aug13 Jul25 Jun07 May04 Apr19 (nunez mauri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 4.00    
MAGIC FACTOR Jul05 Jun20 Apr16 Mar27 Mar07 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 119 3.50    
MAN WITH THE MOVES Nov20 Oct16 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (swingley du)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.