Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(4/3/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/4/6)-(3/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/7/1)-(6/4/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(5/6/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8)-(5/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/8)-(1/5/8/9)-(4/5/1/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9)-(1/5/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/8/9)-(4/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/10/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/10/1/3)-(4/5/10/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DERBY EFFORT Jul11 Jun19 May31 May04 Apr05 (phillips adam)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.00    
SCR  CHAR Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (jarvis kat)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00    
3  SATIS Jul30 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WOMANS PEROGATIVE Jul30 Jul11 Jun25 Apr25 Apr04 (phillips adam)PAULY SUMMER 118 1.80    
5  RANCH LIFE Jun26 Jun13 May31 May21 May08 (douaihy mi)HERNANDEZ N 119 2.00    
 
BTP-2   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DU MONDE Aug02 Jul20 Jun05 Apr23 Mar27 (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AFFAGATO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  HE'S MY BOY May17         (chain pearl)BUSH V 121 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SHES MY GIRL by KING OF THE ROXY)
3  SPY Aug01 Jul05 Jun18 May30 May08 (mcsorley j)HERNANDEZ N 125 1.80 9% 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SECRET by STREET CRY)
4  BABALO'S BOY Jul19 Jun18       (ramos )GRISALES DANILO 125 3.50 64% 0.60    
  (by MASTERY out of MISS NETTA by STREET SENSE)
5  MADCAP Jul19 Jun28 Jun11 May24 Mar29 (alessi james)MURGIA A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MOVIEMAKER by CURLIN)
6  FLYIN RYAN Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 May28 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 116 2.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of NICKSAPPEALINGLADY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
BTP-3   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERS ANGEL Jul17         (corriveau john)PAULY SUMMER 114 4.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGELSMADISONGRACE by GRAEME HALL)
2  MISS LORA ANN         (orantes y)CORREA L 119 5.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
3  KERKYRA Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
4  HER OWN SHADOW         (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  SWEET VIVIAN         (cline c)MURGIA A 119 4.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
6  HOLIDAY BETTY Jul24         (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
BTP-4   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR WATCH Aug02 Jul16 Jul05 Jun19 Nov13 (manning j)MURGIA A 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MUNCHKIN MONEY by FREUD)
2  BENET Aug02 Jul17 Jun25 Feb09 Nov28 (meredith charle)MOJICA JR 125 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITS A FORD by SHACKLEFORD)
3  SECRET FLAME         (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GENERAL MEETING out of SECRET ADVICE R. N by HANSEL)
4  WILD ROVER LADY (IRE) Jul16 Jul09 Jun19 May14 Apr22 (childs russ)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of STRAW HAT by POSSE)
SCR  SHE'S AN ACCIDENT         (short w)JURADO EDDIE 125 8.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of YOU'RE BEINGPLAYED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  ANOTHERWINNER Jun21 May29 May12 Aug28 Aug14 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
7  MY LITTLE WILDCAT Aug02 Apr18 Mar28 Feb26 Feb09 (mendieta alej)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of BANJO LADY by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
BTP-5   08/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSCUTTLED Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 May30 May16 (estvanko r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of J. QUIRK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  REPEAT AFTER ME Aug01 Nov27 Oct12 Aug28 Jun22 (olivo k)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 20.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MALIBU CITI by MALIBU MOON)
3  STORMY PARADISE Aug04 Jun07 May19 May05 Mar28 (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 116 2.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of AVIE'S PARADISE by TASTE OF PARADISE)
4  A BETTER WORLD         (stephen ant)FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETTARUN FAST by KELLY KIP)
5  OURAY DREAMIN Jul19         (childs russ)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of SUPER MAMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  DANGEREUSE         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PERDY by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  UME Jun25 May30 Jan18 Oct07 Sep16 (acevedo i)CORREA L 125 4.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALABRISELLA by CURLIN)
8  POUR A LITTLE MORE Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Dec12 Nov09 (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by KANTHAROS out of QUEEN MADISON by DIALED IN)
 
BTP-6   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUE COUNTRY ROADS Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 Feb21 (meredith charle)MOJICA JR 123 2.50    
2  TUN TAVERN Jun28 Jun05 May06 Apr26   (vosler eugene)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00    
3  MATARASSI Nov12 Oct18 Sep09     (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 118 15.00 15% 5.90    
4  MEMPHIS SLIM Jul09 Jun20 May24 May08 Apr13 (lucas wa)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 8.00    
5  MISTER ROSSO Jul29 Jul05 May30 May17 May09 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  AHUMADO Jul11 Jun25 Feb15 Jan29 Jan03 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
7  ONE DESTINATION Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun18 May26 (torres con)HERNANDEZ N 121 3.50    
8  FREE AMERICA Jul12 Jun25 Jun05 May13 Apr22 (rivera tirso)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   08/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMING MAMA Aug06 Jun21 May22     (sands shane)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MONEY FOR MAMA by STRONG MANDATE)
SCR  SHEER JAZZ         (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 119 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of IN THE FRAME by SERVICE STRIPE)
3  LA HEROICA Jul24 Jun07       (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 114 15.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of BELIEVE IN BEAUTY by MAKE BELIEVE)
4  LADY VIRAGO Jun07         (stephen antho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of KASBACH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  CONSTANT CHATTER         (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 114 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of ACTING CHIPPER by STREET SENSE)
6  A ROSE FOR SKYLER Jul04 Jun21 May30 May01 Apr17 (spanabel ke)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LET RIGHT BE DONE by WAR FRONT)
7  THE LITTLE SULTANA Aug06 Jul24 Jul04 Jun21 Apr06 (acevedo i)CORREA L 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LITTLE PAO by TIZNOW)
8  UNFAITHFUL ROSE         (west ethan )PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 8% 10.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of STARSHIPUNFAITHFUL by DIALED IN)
9  WORKIN THE ROOM         (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 8.00 8% 10.80    
  (by CONNECT out of VITAE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
BTP-8   08/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTLY SUNNY Jun25 Jun14 Apr05 Mar15   (anderson susan)JURADO EDDIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILLFUL ROSE Aug02 Jul25 Jul09 Jun26 Jun11 (kutt donna )FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 12.00    
3  BONGOS (IRE) Jul30 Jan29 Dec18     (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLOOMIN HEART         (ward a)FLORES R 121 2.50 69% 0.40    
5  WRECK IT RUBY Jul23 Jul05 Jun25 May29 May16 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50 8% 11.50    
6  TONE OF SILENCE Jul30 Jul12 Jun25 Jun14 May13 (childs russ)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
7  RACHEL'S KID Jul30 Jul02 Jun02 May10   (clark lee)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
8  GUSSY Jul23 Jul02 Jun13 Feb27 Jan15 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
9  DYNAMO'S CODE Aug02 Jul25       (conto kevin)BUSH V 125 20.00    
10  POWER PARTY Aug08 Jul23 Jul11 May29 Apr30 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.