Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (5/1/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/4/2)-(5/1/9/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/4/2)-(5/1/9/4/2)-(5/1/9/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/9/4/2)-(7/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/9/4/2)-(7/4/1/3)-(4/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/3)-(4/8/7)-(6/8/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/3/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/3/8/7)-(4/3/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(6/8/3/7)-(9/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/7)-(9/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/7)-(9/1/6/4)-(2/5/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (9/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4)-(9/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/6/4)-(2/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6/4)-(2/5/1/7)-(3/6/10/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(3/6/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/6/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/10/4/5)-(3/6/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/10/4/5)-(3/6/10/4/5)-(3/6/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENSAS CAMP ROAD Jul15 Jun16 May25 Mar13 Feb14 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
BIG TAP BABY Jun17 May13 Aug21 Aug06 May14 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROUSTABOUT Jul16 Jun24 May24 May10 Mar28 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 120 15.00    
BIG DRINKER Apr04 Mar02 Jan24 Dec07 Nov09 (wong jonathan)PENA JONUELLE 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
INCREDIBLE SHOT Jun15 May04 Aug29 Aug09 Jun14 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 1.40 39% 1.60    
GUNNY HIGHWAY Jul05 Jun23 May17 Apr04 Mar21 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 30.00    
ROWDY JESS Jul15 May20 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 (tillis jerr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 125 50.00    
DUMBSTRUCK Jun24 May27 Sep26 Aug14 Jul12 (wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ T 125 50.00    
GABARRA Jul03 Jun22 Jun07 May24 Apr27 (jacks e)VARGAS P 125 4.50 13% 6.70    
 
LAD-2   07/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY MOON DOG Jun23 Jan16 Dec20 Nov13 Oct18 (johnson he)RAMIREZ JR 120 10.00 11% 7.90    
ALL TOGETHER Jul04 Jun16 Jun07 May12 Feb13 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 115 5.00    
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Jul05 Jun23 Jun07 May17 May03 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BAYOU JAM Jun30 May11 Feb22 Jan30 Jan10 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
CAJUN MISCHIEF Jul03 Jun21 May09 Feb22 Feb06 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
ROCK ON COWBOY Jun30 Jun09 May11 Feb19 Jan31 (melancon dona)PENA JONUELLE 115 30.00    
CABRO TORO Jul04 Jun07 May20 May03 Feb13 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
LAD-3   07/28/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PESO IN MY POCKET Jun01 Mar13 Jan19 Jan01 Dec05 (munoz yovani)PENA JONUELLE 117 6.00    
SCR  GLOBAL PRIDE Apr23 Apr11 Mar21 Feb21 Jan31 (schwandt e)BATISTA X 122 30.00    
CLASSY SOCKS Jul03 May25 Apr18 Apr06 Mar01 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
SALT SPRAY (IRE) Jun29 Jun15 Jan08 Jun08 Apr21 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 75% 0.30    
INCH May27 May02 Feb24 Feb05 Jan23 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  BELLO CREEDO May16 Apr04 Dec19 Nov14 Oct30 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 50.00    
OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Jun27 Jun06 May19 Mar25 Mar10 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
AFLEET ASCENT Jun27 Mar07 Feb02 Aug07 Jul16 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET TAVERN May30 Apr17 Jan24 Oct25 Jul03 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 30.00    
10  SPARRA Jun29 Jun01 May03 Apr19 Feb28 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
 
LAD-4   07/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIKONTHETRIGGER Jul15 Jun22 Jun09 May31 May13 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 15.00    
AWESOME WILLIAM Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May19   (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 119 8.00    
RAISE THE BET Jun22 Jun07 May17 Apr10 Feb19 (morris rowdy)SINGH R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEF NOW NOW Jul15 Jun17 May13     (fogarty de)BATISTA X 119 5.00    
LEWIS MEMORIAL Jul04         (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 20.00    
CRIGLER Jul04 Jun24 Jun07 May19   (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.00 64% 0.60    
LT. TENT Jun24 May25 Nov27 Nov06 Feb22 (player fletc)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
HERECOMESCROCKETT Jun22         (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00 6% 14.50    
 
LAD-5   07/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMALUCKYCHARM Jul13 Jun08 Mar22 Mar07 Jan24 (jacks e)VARGAS P 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  PLATINUM DIVA Jun27 Apr19 Mar22 Feb22 Jan23 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  PERFECT WISH Jun07 May17 Apr19 Jan28 Nov08 (gelner jayde )LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00    
SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Jun20 May17 Apr27 Feb15 Oct17 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 7% 14.40    
BIRDIE CALL May19 Jan05 Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 12.00    
TRYINMYHEARTOUT Jul05 Apr04 Feb15 Jan18 Dec26 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 11% 7.80    
START SINGING Jul05 Jun23 May26 May09 Apr10 (duke steven)BARRERA J 121 30.00    
JOVIE G Jun22 Apr05 Jan31 Dec13 Nov26 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 5.00    
AUTISM COMMUNITY Jul05 Mar18 Jan19 Dec21 Nov08 (wong jona)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  JUS PRESS STAR Jul04 Mar08 Jan25 Oct16 Feb29 (duhon o)BOREL H 118 30.00    
SCR  KLIMT'S MUSE May15 Apr24 Mar12 Feb22 Feb05 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00    
SCR  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Jun15 May02 Apr19 Feb09 Aug30 (clary ja)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
 
LAD-6   07/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALAKI EMPIRE Jul04 May20 Mar16 Sep16 Aug27 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.50 8% 12.10    
PURRRFECT RHYTHM Jul04 May27 Feb16 Dec20 Dec07 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.20 48% 1.10    
SAUCY ARGUMENT Jun19 Jun02 May22 May03 Apr10 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 6.00    
IRON MOON Jun23 May27 May17 Mar21 Mar03 (ramirez ju)GONZALEZ NICASIO 123 30.00    
MIDNIGHT HALO Jul04 Jun24 May27 Feb13 Jan29 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Jul04 Jun23 Jun07 May21 May01 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 123 30.00    
STONE ALLIANCE Jul17 Jun26 Jun13 May21 May09 (patt j)PENA JONUELLE 118 20.00 5% 18.10    
GO BROTHER GO Jul04 Jun23 May27 Mar21 Feb16 (munoz yovani)VARGAS P 123 10.00    
 
LAD-7   07/28/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEG'S LADYBUG Jul11 Jun16 Jun02     (burkes bobb)SANTIAGO EDWARD 121 30.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of RICH REZULTZ by HARBORAGE)
FICKLE MISTRESS Jul07 Jun07 May17 Apr21 Mar30 (fogarty desmond)SINGH R 124 30.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MIGHTY FERRARI by SPECIAL RATE)
ELLIE MOORE (IRE) Jun21 May31 May03 May04 Feb18 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 57% 0.80    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of PIRITA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
LOLO'S GIRL Jun06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Jan31 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SWEAR BY IT by BROKEN VOW)
TOOMUSH Jul14 Jun09       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SILENT PLEASURE out of TINCAN TOO by BARKERVILLE)
SIGNORA VITTORIA Jul19 May26 May11 Oct25 Sep14 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRAGMATIC PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  MYSPITTINIMAGE Jun15 Jun02 Apr27 Apr13 Mar21 (soto fermin)PENA JONUELLE 113 30.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of MY DAENERYS by CONGRATS)
A VISION OF HOPE Jun15 May20 Apr26 Apr11 Mar14 (jackson ri)BATISTA X 118 6.00    
  (by JONESBORO out of AVISIONOFCHOCOLATE by J BE K)
SURELY THE ONE May26 Apr25 Mar28     (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
  (by HIGH CASCADE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
10  MISSY GURL Jun22 May11 Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 (clary jaylan)BARRERA J 118 5.00 6% 15.00    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
SCR  MAIZ'N MONEY Jun05         (camejo m)PENA JONUELLE 113 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of PURE MICHIGAN by TEMPLE CITY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.