Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - July 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(8/10/4/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(8/10/4/2/7)-(8/7/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/10/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/2/7)-(8/10/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/2/7)-(8/10/4/2/7)-(8/10/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/4/2/7)-(8/7/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/2/7)-(8/7/4/9)-(8/1/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9)-(8/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/9)-(8/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/9)-(8/1/2/6)-(6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/6)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/6)-(6/5/1)-(7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/6)-(4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(4/1)-(7/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-8   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE RANSOM Jun14 Jun07 May07 Apr14 Mar25 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.00    
COMBAT HOOFS Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
LADY AHAVA Jul09 Jul10 Jun18 May29 Mar08 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
GINGERSAYSCHILL Jul08 Jun16 May21 Mar24 Mar10 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEET MISCHIEF Jul17 Jun30 Jun20 Jun07 May21 (tapsas i)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 30.00    
TUDOX DAHLIA May21 Apr25 Dec30 Nov14 Sep21 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 118 4.00 47% 1.10    
LITTLE COCOA BEAN Mar13 Mar01 Jan30 Dec30 Nov20 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.50    
DAKOTA SPRINGS Jul03 Jun06 May01 Mar27 Feb19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50    
 
PEN-2   07/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR MAYHEM Jun07 May28 May02 Nov25 Nov13 (salinas giova)VARGAS E 114 15.00    
TOTAL BLISS Dec21 Nov03 Jun24 Apr28 Mar30 (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00 8% 11.10    
MARGO'S MARGARITA Jun18 Jun05 May15 Apr25 Mar02 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 12.00    
SISTER NELL Jun27 Apr27 Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
AMERICAN PEACHES Mar08 Feb26 Feb08 Jan05 Dec21 (salinas giovanni )HESS SARA 121 10.00    
HONORABLE CHILL Jul03 Jun04 Nov02 Oct22 Oct02 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
MISSY'S MAP Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May17 May03 (sullivan el)DEL SARA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHANNEL LOOP Jul07 Jun15 Apr09 Mar21 Feb24 (rodriguez irv)TORRES YOLBER 114 5.00 40% 1.50    
ELEANOR RIGBY May03 Apr23 Mar31 Mar11 Jan13 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 120 15.00    
10  TARTAN GREEN (IRE) Jun26 Sep14 Aug27 Aug14 Aug02 (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-3   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLS RUN Jul11 Jul03 Jun11 Jul03 Jun18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00    
SCR  FREE DROP BACH Jun19 May31 May23 Apr25 Dec20 (dunham g)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
BRUDER Jul05 Jan09 Dec20 Dec01 Nov02 (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00    
SYLVIA I AM Jul04 May30 Mar21 Mar06 Feb07 (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON Jun11 May23 May02 Mar21 Jun18 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 20.00    
FORTHELOVEOFRUN Jul16 Jul04 Jun07 May23 May11 (maldonado jona)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jul05 Jun11 Jun06 May23 Apr25 (bobadilla f)FLORES E 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
WILD NUGGET Jul03 Jun11 May22 May07 Mar27 (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
UNCLE GEORGY Jul11 Jun19 May24 Apr13 Mar28 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   07/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST SCIP May25 May09 Dec08 Oct26 Oct12 (stettinius suzanne)CORA D 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
MISSIONAIRE Jun13 May25 Apr27 Nov08 Oct17 (mcmahon d)HERNANDEZ F 121 4.00 14% 5.90    
MORNING MARCH Jun19 May21 Nov20 Oct21 Sep25 (gordon-watson a)FLORES E 121 10.00    
SCR  KING MENDELSSOHN Jul11 Jun13 May02 Jun06 Mar20 (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
SCR  PRETORIAN GOLD Jul23 Jun13 May03 Sep02 Aug22 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
STATELY ORDER Jul03 Jun05 May15 Apr24 Mar13 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00 7% 14.00    
ET'S MAGIC MAN Jun26 Jun13 May17 Apr23 Mar28 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00    
TREVESSO Jun27 Mar20 Oct12 Sep14 Aug04 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 42% 1.40    
BIG BIG STAR Jun27 May25 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 (brion keri)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00    
10  LUCAS'S MISCHIEF Jul04 Jun14 Sep20 Aug31 Jul20 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00    
SCR  STELLAR LUTE Jun13 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul06 (perri gina)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 15.00    
 
PEN-5   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRUSSIAN BLUE Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 May23 (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
PROBLEMS ABOUND Jun18 Oct15 Oct01 Jul03 Jun17 (mosco ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 4.00    
BELLA PRIMA Jun07 May08 Mar20 Feb20 Jan09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00    
LADRO DI FICHI Jul03 Jun07 May21 May01 Mar20 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 123 3.50    
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Jul05 Jul18 Jul03 May30 May11 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Jul03 May29 Apr25 Mar28 Mar07 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MADDIE TEN Jul02 Jun13 May15 May03 Apr13 (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 6.00    
NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Jul10 Jun18 May17 Apr23 Oct25 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00    
 
PEN-6   07/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT DUME Jul04 May31 May16 Apr18 Apr01 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 3.00    
UNCLE CAESAR Jul04 Jun13 May16 Apr23 Mar06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 2.00    
SCR  SOCIALLY AWKWARD Jun13 May15 Apr24 Mar13 Feb21 (kravets bru)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00    
MARGIE'S FUN SON Jul07 Jun07 Apr23 Apr07 Mar05 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
SCR  UNION FLEET Jun15 May31 May03 Apr04 Feb28 (magana j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 20.00    
WISH FOR PEACE Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 May17 Apr24 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 6% 16.50    
RECKER POINT Jul04 May03 Apr12 Mar08 Nov28 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL INVASION Nov07 Sep18 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FACTOR U AND ME IN Jun18 Jun10 Apr21 Apr02 Feb26 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.00    
MCCRAKENS GHOST Jul03 May31 May03 Mar13 Feb25 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.50    
SILHOUTTE COVE Jun20         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 38% 1.70    
REVERSE THE CURSE Jun18 May29       (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
SCR  JOLLY GREY GIANT Jul15 Nov05 Mar25     (vega richa)SANCHEZ J 125 4.00    
SCR  MY DETROIT CITY Jul09 Jun25 May22 May02 Mar20 (houghton thom)ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00    
 
PEN-8   07/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIVISTA Jul11 Jun13 May21 May08 Apr25 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 10.00 6% 14.80    
ELVIRUS Nov21 Oct23 Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 15.00    
FAST FREEZE KAZ Jul11 Jun13 Feb07 Dec20 Dec04 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 1.80    
ROMANTIC GAMBLE Jun27 Jun13 May30 May21 Jul24 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR Jun13 Jun06 May23 May07 Apr23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 125 20.00    
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jul11 Jun27 May30 May09 Apr24 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 125 20.00    
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jun27 Jun13 May08 Mar27 Mar06 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 1.40 35% 1.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.