Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - July 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(7/5)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FP-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(2/5)-(1/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FP-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(1/4)-(7/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FP-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/2/6)-(5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-5   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(5/4/6)-(3/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/5/7)-(6/8/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY FEET May31 Apr10 Nov20 Nov02 Oct20 (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FUZZY KIM by MADRAAR)
MY SECRET May17 Sep21 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (laux clay)TAVARES JAVIER 126 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CHIFFON by MALIBU MOON)
TOWER GROVE PARK         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 5.00 17% 4.70    
  (by AWESOME OF COURSE out of CONCORD PARK by CONSOLIDATOR)
JOHNNY BOLT Jun17         (becker scott)WALES T 120 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BEAUTIFUL BECCA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MAN OF QUALITY Jul15 Jun17 Oct23 Sep26 Aug31 (martin daw)SIMPSON M 120 3.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of EMERALD QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
YOUNG MISCHIEF Jun17 May31 May03 Nov02 Oct17 (essenpreis edw)DIEGO JAVIER 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOUNG ROYALTY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
FP-2   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETTY'S SECRET Jun10 May20 Apr22 Oct29 Oct15 (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
A REAL HERO Jun24 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar15 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.50    
SCR  BETHY Jul08 Jun24 May27 May13 Apr29 (randazzo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.50    
ONACOUNTA Jul01 May27 May13 Apr29 Oct24 (bentler don)GILES EMMANUEL 124 12.00    
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Jul01 Jun17 May06 Oct17 Sep24 (martinez r)SIMPSON M 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Jun21 May24 Nov21 Oct24 Oct15 (martinez-)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
PLAY TWENTY Jun17 May27 May06 Apr22 Dec16 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  DELTA LADY (CHI) Jul01 Jun17 May20 May06 Apr22 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 124 8.00    
 
FP-3   07/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEGWAR Jun28 Jun04 May13 Apr18 Nov20 (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 4.00    
AERONYX Jun29 Jun05       (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
IMA MIDNIGHT LADY Jul08 Jun21 May06     (retana gab)SIMPSON M 120 10.00    
SCR  REYANNO ROYAL Jun21         (manley steve)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00    
MADAM LEE Jul05 Jun14 Oct31     (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY MAMA SEZ May10 Apr26 Oct08 Jul23 Jun25 (thurman rhonda)REYES FRANK 120 10.00    
MAYA'S WARRIOR Jun03 May10 Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 (retana)BAILON JADHIR 120 12.00    
 
FP-4   07/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL CUTIE May06 Apr22 Nov27 Oct31 Oct17 (manley steve)WALES T 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  NO PAY NO HAY Jul05 Jun10 Apr12 Mar21 Mar02 (manley steve)FELIX E 126 3.00    
STAGFLATION Jun28 Jun05 May13 Apr22 Mar26 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.00    
WILDWOOD ENCORE Jul05 Jun10 May13 Oct31 Oct22 (martinez-lin)GILES EMMANUEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SERENDIPITY COCO Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 Jun08 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
FREEDOM ATTACK Jun17 Jun01 Apr20 Dec16 Sep29 (childers )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
 
FP-5   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COG Jun17 Jun03 May20 Mar12 Feb23 (fridley s)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
UPBEAT MELODY Jun24 Jun07 May20 Apr30 Apr16 (manley steve)FELIX E 126 2.50 35% 1.80    
FIVE STAR RUN Jun09 Oct26 Oct15 Oct01 Sep21 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00    
SCR  RUN THE TABLE Jun24 Jun03 May06 Oct29 Oct15 (fridley st)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
SCR  ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Jun29 Jun14 May20 Nov02 Oct24 (sandrowski j)WALES T 124 8.00    
CARL G Jul05 Jun24 Jun10 May16 May03 (lynch harry )TAVARES JAVIER 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Jul05 Jun07 May10 Nov02 Oct01 (laux clay)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.50 42% 1.40    
HOLCOMBE Jul12 Jun17 May31 May13 Apr26 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 126 3.50    
 
FP-6   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRENCHYS TOAST Jul01 Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 5.00    
LILY'S HOME May29 Apr29 Mar28 Feb07 Jan29 (sandrowski j)FELIX E 124 6.00    
SASSY WALKER Jul05 Jun21 May10 Apr22 Mar20 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.00    
TARTARIA Jul08 May27 Apr18 Mar21 Mar03 (leonard george )ORTIZ ALVIN 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
DANCING RAQUEL Jun14 May31 May13 Apr29   (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
LIT MISS HAT TRICK Jul05 Jun21 May10 Apr22 Apr03 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-7   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARLEY HALL Jun26 Jun05 May16 Apr06 Mar14 (manley steve)WALES T 118 2.00    
AWESOME DREW Jun10 May13 Apr26     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.00    
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Jul08 Jun08 May22 Apr20 Apr03 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
GUN IT AND RUN IT Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 Oct01 Sep14 (pompell robert)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00    
XAVI Jun17 Jun03 May10 Apr19 Dec27 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
T LAW Jun28 May29 May11 Apr24 Oct06 (martinez r)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
JUSTICEONEMORETIME Jul08 Jun23 Jun03 Apr30 Apr16 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-8   07/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTADAY Jul08 Jun21 Jun07 May24 May13 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
SARAH'S BOY BLUE May25 Oct26 Sep15 Aug30 Jul08 (clay p)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 10.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Jul01 Jun12 Apr24 Apr03 Mar27 (alonso ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
BRIANS WAY May31 May20 Sep03 Jul30 Jul13 (retana gab)SIMPSON M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
STOLICH Jul01 Jun10 May20 Jan24 Jan06 (straub marvel)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SMART JOKER Jun28 Jun07 May10 Mar14 Feb21 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
SMILE LIKE KYLE Sep19 Aug31 Aug20 Jul09 Jun30 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.00    
CRAZY HEART Jul06 Jun03 May13 Apr17 Jun01 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.