Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(4/3/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(4/3/8/7)-(7/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/7)-(4/3/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/7)-(4/3/8/6/7)-(4/3/8/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/8/7)-(7/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/7)-(7/1/6/3)-(9/8/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/3)-(9/8/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/3)-(9/8/1/2)-(2/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (9/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/2)-(9/8/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/2)-(9/8/1/3/2)-(9/8/1/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/1/2)-(2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/2)-(2/7/6)-(8/11/12/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(8/11/12/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/11/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/12/4)-(8/11/12/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/11/12/4)-(8/11/12/6/4)-(8/11/12/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/21/2025 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFFIN NUTS Jun30 Jun07 May12 Mar21 Feb12 (turner patti)PENA JONUELLE 115 3.50 36% 1.80    
BEN DREAMING Jul01 Jun15 May19 Apr06 Mar02 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00    
SLEW CITY HENRY Feb14 Dec20 Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 (jarvis rober)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
ARTHUR Jul11 May24 May03 Mar21 Feb07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 5.00    
SPECIAL MEMORY Jul12 Jun29 May25 Jan24 Oct26 (cravens ro)BATISTA X 120 4.50    
DUDE DROP KID May20 Mar18 Feb16 Jan24 Dec15 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
FLASH N CLASS Jun19 May20 Mar18 Jan04 Nov09 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00    
SCR  KINGSCOTE Jun24 May11 Feb28 Sep01 Aug02 (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 115 10.00    
SCR  PACIFICISLANDTIME Jul01 Feb15 Feb01 Dec27 Dec11 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 1.80    
 
LAD-2   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREMIUM Jun17 Jun02 May17 Mar09 Feb13 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
HELLO HOT ROD Jun30 Jun12 May17 May02 Apr24 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50    
COLONEL BARTON Jun24 Jun15 Jun06 May05 Apr04 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE JAMES Jun17 Apr17 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 120 2.00    
HUEY DUEY Jun07 May27 May03 Mar06 Feb12 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
MY UNCLE LEON Jun30 May27 May03 Feb22 Jan08 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-3   07/21/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY GADGET Jun28 May31 Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 122 20.00    
FINAL DECREE Jun23 Dec22 Nov30 Sep14 Aug19 (duhon joseph )PENA JONUELLE 112 12.00    
PAYNTED BLUE Jun15 Apr12 Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 (ziadie kirk)HISBY RONALD 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
ZAPATA (IRE) Jul05 Jun10 May05 Mar21 Apr14 (camejo m)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
HOWARD'S GRIT Jul04 Jun23 Jun15 Jun03 May25 (dorochenko ge)VARGAS P 122 30.00    
CABO MISCHIEF Jun23 May17 Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 (duhon o)BOREL H 117 6.00    
BATTLEOFTHERAVINE Jun09 May25 May17 Apr18 Apr04 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAX IS G MONEY Jun24 Jun15 Mar12 Feb23 Dec20 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 2.50 5% 17.50    
COME ON COME ON Jun15 Jan16 Dec26 Dec05 Sep24 (hirdes j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 50.00    
 
LAD-4   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM TOWN Jul01 Jun01 May19 Apr09 Feb07 (rangel raul)PENA JONUELLE 115 6.00 13% 6.60    
CRAFTROOM Jun24 Jun01 May19 May07 Apr09 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 120 3.50    
LA DEAL Jun22 Jun07 May27 May19 Feb21 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAYTON'S INDIAN Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May19 Dec18 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 12.00    
MRS. NECAISE Jun24 Jun01 May24 Apr26 Apr12 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 15.00    
OURS AND THEIRS Jun07 May19 Mar20 Feb13 Jan20 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 6% 15.70    
WHERE'S AUNT J Sep25 Aug13 Feb24 Dec13 Nov16 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
LADY BE GONE Jun22 Feb19 Feb07 Jan28 Jan11 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 120 10.00    
 
LAD-5   07/21/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Jun19 Feb07 Dec05 Oct04 Jul07 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE CHIEF Jun28 Jun15 May20 May02 Mar08 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
NOW HEAR THIS Jun10 May14 Apr22 Apr11 Apr01 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
GRIZMO Jun23 Jun10 Apr11 Mar14 Feb16 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 126 6.00    
SHEHASANATTITUDE Jun07 May25 May11 Apr26 Apr09 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 30.00    
SASSY FLYER May30 Mar16 Feb23 Jan31 Jan05 (payne da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
JAMIE ZEE Jul01 May25 Apr06     (rangel raul)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 12.00    
GOLDZONE Jun14 May09 Apr16 Mar16 Feb19 (delhomme jeff)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 38% 1.60    
TENSAS LUCY Jun29 Mar23 Feb08 Dec08 Aug01 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 121 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
LAD-6   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE GEM Jul12 Jun26 Jun14 May26 May13 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 122 6.00    
LULU'S MAGIC Jun15 May26 Apr24 Apr05 Mar14 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
KATHLYNS PHALANX Jun15 May12 Mar09 Feb02 Oct08 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
MID WEST FUN Jun30 Jun15 Jan03 Dec06 Nov20 (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 122 8.00    
INEZ Jul04 May26 May13 Apr10 Sep24 (jarvis robert)PENA JONUELLE 117 12.00    
WHEELS LIKE NALA Jun15 Jun03 Sep10 Jul03 Jun11 (de beauvil)BATISTA X 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
AUSTYN JANE Jun29 Jun03 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 (duhon o)BOREL H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
INSIPID Jun30 Jun10 Feb05 Jan11 Sep25 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.50    
 
LAD-7   07/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXTROT HARRY Jul01 Jun02 Apr20 Mar23 Mar05 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 3.00    
MR. TIN MAN Jun30 May20 May02 Mar14 Sep04 (romero dal)BOREL H 120 30.00    
HEZA PICKLE Jun19 May17 Apr17 Feb23 Feb01 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 20.00    
THICK HAZE Jun18 Jun07 May24 Apr14 Mar08 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
IMA BIG BOPPER Jul03 Jun07 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 (payne w)LOZADA CARLOS 123 30.00    
ZONG TOUGH Jun23 Jun02 May25 Jan30 Jan15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
SUMMER LOVER Jun24 Jun15 May19 May11 May03 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 15.00    
BATTLE SCARS Jul01 Jun22 May17 Mar23 Mar12 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 68% 0.50    
RIPITTOTHERIGHT Aug28 Aug06 May27 May13 Sep02 (broussard jer)PENA JONUELLE 118 50.00    
10  EASY BIG BOY May27 Apr28 Apr14 Mar31 Jan08 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 123 30.00    
11  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Jun02 Mar12 Nov22 Sep23 Sep09 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 125 2.50 8% 11.30    
12  BLUE BOON Jun22 Jun02 Jun30 Jun09 May10 (cravens ro)BATISTA X 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNITED PATRIOT Jun25 Jun07 May14 Apr28 Mar30 (broussard )RAMIREZ JR 123 20.00    
SCR  FROST ALERT Jun16 Jun02 May20 May03 Apr24 (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.