Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/4)-(2/6/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/6/3)-(5/4/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/4/2)-(5/2/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(5/2/7)-(1/3/6/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELONIOUS Jul14 Jun30 Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00    
2  CLASSY WHISPER Jul04 Jun15 May27 Nov22 Nov03 (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50    
3  PALACE PRINCE Jul07 Jun24 Jun15 May27 May18 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 2.50 ★    
4  STRONG ENDING Jun30 Jun10 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
5  SANTIAGO SALSA Jun30 Jun10 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-2   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Jun24 Jun10 May27 Apr26 Nov07 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 3.00    
2  TAMANA Jun24 May27 Nov22 Oct08 Sep17 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 ★    
3  RIFLING Jul01 Jun15 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 2.00    
4  TAYLORMOON Jul01 Dec12 Nov21 Oct31 Sep19 (mcmahon willi)KERR CHEYENNE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NICOLE'S SONG Jul01 Jun24 Jun10 Oct21 Oct15 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00 38% 1.70    
 
FE-3   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA AND ME Jun30 Jun10 May27 Dec15 Dec01 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50    
2  WHERE IS ESSA Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 Dec28 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  BILL NEEDLE Jul08 Jun23 May27 Oct21 Oct08 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUEBELIEVE Jun30 Jun13 May16 Dec05 Nov16 (desruisseaux d)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
5  ERNIE'S MARTINI Jun30 May27 May04 Apr08 Mar19 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 124 3.00    
6  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 May18 Mar18 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
FE-4   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOWBOYS SEQUEL Jul08 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12   (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00    
2  COMETOTHEDARKSIDE May30         (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FRAC CITY Jun24 May27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun28 (smith r)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
4  BLACKHILLSHERRIFF Jun24 May23 May11     (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 5.00 10% 9.10    
5  SWEEPING RED Jun23 May27       (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 69% 0.50    
6  SHAKO Jan27 Jan02 Dec20 Oct25   (loescher paul)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 ★    
7  J M R TURINO Jul08 Jun27 Jun13     (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 4.00    
 
FE-5   07/21/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM NOT LOST Jul04 Jun13       (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of WICKED WEST by BELONG TO ME)
2  AFLEET PRINCE Sep08 Jul28       (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by RELOAD out of AFLEET DOLL by AFLEET ALEX)
3  MULMUR         (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by SMART STRIKE out of WILDERNESS STORM by STORM CAT)
4  JERSEY KING Jun23         (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of HOLDONWEREGOINHOME by MILWAUKEE BREW)
5  VIDEO EVIDENCE Jun23 Jun08 May27     (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of MY SWEET EMILY by ROMAN RULER)
6  THE GREAT P J Jul07 Jun23       (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of KISSES FOR HENRY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
7  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Oct21 Oct01 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAVID COPPERFIELD out of CHAMPAGNE TIME by MACHO UNO)
 
FE-6   07/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY TOWN Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  GIL'S FOLLY Jun27 Jun13 May30 May11 Nov23 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00    
3  ONTARIO HOLIDAY Jun24 Jun13 May18 May04 Sep27 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  PANYARD TAP Jul08 Jun24 May18 Nov30 Nov01 (newland georg)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00    
5  CANADIAN DADDY Jul08 Jun24 Dec13 Nov21 Nov01 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
6  SILVER PISTOL Oct25 Oct01 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 (newlan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEY LUIGI Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 Sep27 Sep02 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  IMPERIAL STAR Jun27 Jun13 May23 May04 Dec07 (huarte frank)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.