Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - July 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1)-(1/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/2)-(6/8/2/1/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(6/8/2/1/5)-(3/6) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/8/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/1/5)-(6/8/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/1/5)-(6/8/2/1/5)-(6/8/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/5/7)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/3/9/4)-(1/5/3/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTLAND Jun06 May16 May03 Aug10 Jul19 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.40 63% 0.60    
SHOWTIME BOY Jul03 Jun24 May21 May03 Feb08 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET LAUNCHER Jul11 Jul03 Jun21 May31 Sep25 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 2.00    
SAMURAI WAY Jun28 Jun06 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (alvarez )MARTINEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
ENTICED BY CHANCE Jun28 Jun06 May14 Oct02 Sep14 (anderson l)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
 
BTP-2   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OURAY DREAMIN         (childs g)MCKEE J 121 10.00 15% 5.60    
MENTY B Jun18 May10       (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
CLASSIC TIRAMISU Jul01 May30 Apr13 Mar12 Feb22 (estvanko )CORREA L 121 2.50    
TONI MARIE Jul09 Jun25 May04 Oct02 Sep06 (stephen antho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00    
SCR  WILLOWY Jul09 Feb09 Jan21 Dec27 Nov25 (manning john )SOSA LAUREANO 125 8.00    
SCR  ALGEBRAINTHEDARK Jun19 Apr19       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 5.00    
 
BTP-3   07/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANNON MAN Jul03 Jun20 May31 May14 Nov06 (orantes yo)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAUGH A LOT Jun07 Mar15 Dec26 Aug19 Jun07 (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.00 68% 0.50    
CLEVELAND POWER Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 Mar25 Mar11 (lopez jose )LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50    
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Jun12 May21 Aug31 Aug08 Jul11 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
OBI KENOBI Jul03 Jun20 May31 May16 Apr22 (barker w)MCKEE J 125 2.00    
 
BTP-4   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR PAYSALOT Jun28 Jun11 May24     (greenhill )VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of PAY THE TOLL by REPRICED)
MADCAP Jun28 Jun11 May24 Mar29 Mar08 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MOVIEMAKER by CURLIN)
DIRTY JOKE         (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 121 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ANDROMAQUE by QUALITY ROAD)
ONE DESTINATION Jun28 Jun18 May26     (torres con)HERNANDEZ N 121 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of CORE DESTINATION by EL CORREDOR)
BABALO'S BOY Jun18         (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 125 3.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MISS NETTA by STREET SENSE)
 
BTP-5   07/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTERN SUNRISE Jun26 Jun11 Aug07 Jul17 Jun04 (davis christoph)MOJICA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SYLLABUS Jun18 May23 May15 Apr23 Apr09 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00 13% 6.60    
STATEMENT MADE Jun25 Jun10 May03 Mar28   (wojczynski justin)MURGIA A 121 4.00    
CEEBEE Jun21 May31 May10 Apr25 Mar26 (lucas wa)HERNANDEZ N 119 10.00    
CAPTIVE STAR Jun26 Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 Jan17 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY AMY Jun10 May21 May04     (maker michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCARY PROPOSITION Jun25 Jun05 May21 Apr16 Mar19 (van thomas)MCKEE J 121 5.00    
TIDAL TACTICS Jun26 Jun11 Jun01 Jan26 Dec20 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
HUIXTLA Jul04 Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 Jan17 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 15.00    
10  STEAL THE DEAL Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr24 Feb12 (silva fern)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
11  FLOWERY PATH Jul10 Jun18 Jun07 May23 May03 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 12.00    
 
BTP-6   07/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BONIFIED CRAZY Dec19 Nov13       (moreno tit)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.50    
SCR  IMA CHUNKY MONKEY Jul05 May31 May17 Aug31   (wells duane)MOJICA JR 121 3.50    
MAGICAL MOJO Jun28 Oct21 Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.50 60% 0.70    
RUNAMOR Jun21 May23 May11 Mar28 Jan26 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 2.00    
DANCER'S SHADOW Jul05 May23 Mar15 Feb19 Jan15 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 10.00    
MIDNIGHT NOIR Jul09 Jun28 Jun05 May27 Apr23 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   07/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLANK SPACE BABY Jul09 Jun25 Jun04     (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 119 10.00    
HEAVENLY CHARM Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May24 Oct02 (dailey ronald)COURT J 119 12.00    
TAKETHESILVER Jul02 Jun12 May11 Apr09 Mar07 (danner do)CORREA L 125 3.00    
LIL TEMPTATION Mar04 Jan25 Dec23 Dec06 Oct16 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 5.00 64% 0.60    
TEMPORARILYFOREVER Mar13 Feb27 Jan16 Dec06 Sep04 (cline c)MURGIA A 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  SKIP THE FORMALITY Jul01 Oct15 Oct01 Sep10 Jul06 (wells duane)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
RETAIL THERAPY May28 May07 Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 (blevins billy)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
STANDBYFORTAKEOFF Jun21 Jun06 May22 Mar21 Feb27 (alvarez nery)DIAZ CESAR 114 2.50    
 
BTP-8   07/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREAMING MIMI Jul05 Mar14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec05 (medina robert)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 4.00 77% 0.30    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GOODBYE STRANGER by BROAD BRUSH)
FOREVER HOPEFUL Jun25 Jun11 Feb05 Aug29 Oct12 (hughes g)PAULY SUMMER 120 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MY HOPEFUL HEART by STRONG HOPE)
MAURYA Jun11 May28 Apr16 Aug16 Jun13 (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 125 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MANDA BAY by EMPIRE MAKER)
LAUREN'S DREAM Jun18 May28       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRGUN out of HERTHEBLURR by IMP SOCIETY)
FUN LOVING May30 May17 Feb14 Jan03 Dec05 (oliver victor)LEBRON VICTOR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
RADIANCE (VEN) Jun18 Apr24       (arnold george)SOSA LAUREANO 121 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of MISS TATTLE TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  CHINATOWN GIRL Jun26 Jun03       (coontz arthur)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GRABIT by TAPIT)
MO BREEZY Jul07 Jun17 Dec01 Nov18 Nov05 (jackson jeffrey)MOJICA JR 121 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BREEZY GIRL by SCIPION)
BELLA ALESSIA May28 May03 Mar30 Dec12 Oct27 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 121 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ANDREYA'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  BERMUDA CAY Jun25 Jun12       (corrigan )CORREA L 121 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HAYLIE BRAE by BERNARDINI)
11  RAINBOW RANIA Apr17 Feb13       (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 121 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WRAITH by HERCULEAN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.