Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - July 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/9/1)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1)-(4)-(8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(8/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(8/9)-(7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/2/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/9)-(7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (8/9)-(7/2)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/2)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(1/3/4)-(7/8/9/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/8/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/8/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/11)-(7/8/9/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/11)-(7/8/9/6/11)-(7/8/9/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHPOINT Jul04 May16 May01 May28 May11 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 125 8.00 13% 6.50    
DAISY'S ANGEL Jun26 Jun07 May17 May01 Mar29 (deiter l)CHUAN MARTIN 125 3.00    
SCR  QUIZ WHIZ Jun15 Dec11 Sep12     (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
LADY LEMONCELLO Jun22 May24 Mar22 Feb02 Jun22 (fields kevin)FLORES E 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
HOP FOR HELGA May12         (truehart jenni)ADORNO ABNER 125 15.00    
HIGH ACHIEVER Jul03 Jun05 May23     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 12.00    
SCR  OCTET Jul03 May16 Apr25     (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  QUEEN KHALEESI Jun26 Jun05 May03 Mar21 Feb20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 2.50    
SHEPPTON SISTERS Jun04         (dunham g)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-2   07/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIMBLE SHANKS Jun26 Jun11 May15 Apr24 Mar20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.50    
KISSTHEMOON Jun26 Sep08 Aug22 Jul19 Jun26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00    
PREACH IT WARRIOR Jun26 Jun12 May30 May22 Dec11 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
KALAHARI NOT SORRY Jun11 May22 Mar13 Feb07 Nov20 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
MELT WITH YOU May21 Apr07 Mar15 Feb02 Jan11 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50    
 
PEN-3   07/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLLUM Mar14 Feb27 Feb05     (smith lawrence)CORREA JULIO 122 30.00    
ANNIHILATE 'EM Jun28 Jun06 May04 Apr18 Mar15 (fields kevin)FLORES E 122 3.50    
OLLIE BOY Jun20 Jun12 May22 May07 Apr24 (demario a)CORA D 125 12.00    
SCR  PEACE CRUSADER Jul04 Jun18 May31 May19 Apr22 (castillo mich)OCASIO M 125 4.50    
SCR  MERGING TRAFFIC Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Dec04 Nov02 (truehart jenni)ADORNO ABNER 125 4.00    
SCR  MAGIC OF TWOSDAY Jun19         (hendriks mclane)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  CHANNEL KING Jun18 Nov01 Jun26 Feb07   (o'callahan )CORUJO LEONARDO 125 8.00    
UNCLE ARLYS         (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 125 6.00 40% 1.50    
CRABTREE Jun23 May29 May02 Mar02 Feb07 (yoder d)CHUAN MARTIN 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
10  CITY PANDA Jun06 Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 Feb28 (maldonado jona)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00    
SCR  ELECTIONEERING Jul16 May15       (hendriks richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00    
 
PEN-4   07/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETORIAN GOLD Jun13 May03 Sep02 Aug22 Jul25 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 121 3.50    
TACTICAL HUMOR Jun20 Jun11 May23 May03 Mar21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00 20% 3.90    
WOW WHATA PARTY Jul10 Jun13 Apr25 Oct21 Sep30 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00    
SCR  T REX Jun26 Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul26 (rogers rona)INIRIO J 121 10.00    
HOT ROD KITTY Jul03 Jun07 May23 May09 Feb19 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 20.00    
COMMINGLING Jul03 May07 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
DECLARATION TIME Jun25 Oct21 Sep07 Aug15 Jul05 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 121 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  ET'S MAGIC MAN Jun26 Jun13 May17 Apr23 Mar28 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00    
SCR  KING MENDELSSOHN Jul11 Jun13 May02 Jun06 Mar20 (hendriks richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.50    
 
PEN-5   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOSTER SHOT Jun25 Jun07 Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 (kreiser timot)ROJAS MARTINA 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
PURECRAZIGROOVE Jul05 Jun13 May30 May16 May02 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
RIDLEY PARK Jul03 May30 Aug23 Aug16 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00    
THIRD WATCH (GB) Jun19 Jun07 May16 Apr25 Mar31 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LONG TOM Jul05 Jun07 May30 May16 May02 (harigeorgiou konst)FLORES E 121 30.00    
FREEDOM'S START Jul05 Jun13 May30 May02 Aug29 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00    
 
PEN-6   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE LURE Jun26 Jun02 Apr28 Apr07 Mar14 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
UNDICI Jun20 May22 May02 Mar31 Feb27 (guerrero j )RAMOS O 125 4.50    
BACK FORTY Jun26 May29 Mar14 Jan29 Dec06 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
COMBAT HOOFS Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 May22 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWAN POINT Jun26 Nov27 Nov01 Aug30 Jul11 (murillo ric)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 12.00    
STASSI Jul05 May19 May07 Nov27 Nov08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00    
 
PEN-7   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BOSS LADY Jul04 Jun13 May15 Apr25 Mar28 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 8.00    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jun19 May23 Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 (kravets bru)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 10.00    
SCR  OLIVE KAT Jul04 Dec13 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 8.00    
BETCHA BOOTS BABE May15 Feb20 Feb06 Dec19 Nov29 (johnson m)FLORES E 125 20.00    
GIA'S FUEGO Jun19 Jun03 May26 Apr16 Apr08 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 120 3.00    
CREME CARAMEL Jun17 Jun03 May26 May07 Apr22 (caban e)CASTILLO A 125 3.50    
BONITA LASSIE Jun05 May23 May01 Feb24 Feb04 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 12.00 24% 3.10    
LA LIMA Jun19 Jun06 May23 May01 Mar20 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 8.00 22% 3.60    
SHEHERHERS Jul04 Jun25 May23 May04 Sep20 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 17% 4.90    
10  EARLY FROST Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May15 May01 (ippolito ma)INIRIO J 125 20.00    
11  KENTUCKY REIGN Jun25 May07 Apr23 Mar06 Feb20 (bobadilla f)CORA D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.