Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - July 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/5/2)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTM-5   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(9/1/6)-(3/5/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-7   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/6)-(9/1/8/6)-(9/1/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/6)-(3/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (3/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4)-(3/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   07/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Jul07 Apr01 Mar10 Feb13 Jan08 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.80    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Jun27 May31 May16 Oct26 Sep23 (ken)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50    
QUEEN RHONDA Jun27 May31 May17 Nov02 Oct20 (gilkyson ashley)CARTER KYLE 123 4.50    
CORDILLERA Jul07 Jun27 May31 Aug28 Aug09 (moe lo)STEADMAN LEON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
RICHARDS COMMAND Jul07 Jun27 Jun07 May16 Oct12 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
CTM-3   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BON PRIX Jun24 Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Aug10 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
A MAN'S MAN Jul07 Jun15 May31 Nov03 Oct19 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 123 8.00 7% 13.20    
HE'S A SAINT Jul04 Jun07 Nov03 Oct05 Sep21 (ward anderson)CARTER KYLE 123 6.00    
STONE CARVER Jun15 May10 Feb24 Feb10 Jan13 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
MENDELJOHN (IRE) Jul05 Jun06 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 (strachan james)LAHOE RUJA 125 3.00 17% 4.90    
J J'S CAPER May16 Oct20 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 (nic)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 4.50    
 
CTM-4   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K MIMI Jul04 Jun24 Aug10     (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.50    
SCR  TYBOLA         (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 8.00    
SCR  JACKPOT BAR         (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.50    
BIZZY LIZZY         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  KATHLEEN         (smith robe)LAHOE RUJA 125 10.00    
CRANBERRY CHILL Jun24 Jun06 Jun07 May19 May04 (hedge ri)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
ITSNOTABOUTHEMONEY Jun24         (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 6.00    
 
CTM-5   07/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUVEE TEE Jun13 May31 Sep28 Sep13 Jul24 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 125 12.00    
TEXAS LEGACY Jul07 Jun24 Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 8.00    
KEEPMEINPOWER Jul07 Jun28 Jun13 Oct27 Oct20 (hedge rick)NELSON DANE 125 6.00    
MACHINA Jul07 Jun24 Jun06 May23 May09 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 2.50 35% 1.80    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Jul07 Jun27 May31 May17 May03 (biggs seymour)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE HARPER Jun27 May09 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50    
C C SUNRISE Jul07 Jun27 Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50 36% 1.80    
CHATTY GAL Jun27 May30 May09 Sep13 Sep06 (jones danny )NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00    
 
CTM-6   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIDAYNIGHTSOLDIER Jul07 Jun28 Jun07 May24 May10 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
BODEMONSTER Mar24 Feb24 Feb05 Jan09 Oct06 (hedge rick)NELSON DANE 123 3.50    
BROWNING ISLAND Jul04 May30 Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 (heggie rod)FOSTER R 123 6.00    
QUARTERBACK DAK Jul04 Jun15 May30 Feb24 Feb11 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
VICTORIA'S CHIEF Jul04 Jun07 May24 May03 Dec15 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.00    
SCR  ERLICH Jul05 Nov03 Sep22 Sep07 Aug02 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50    
SELF SERVING Jul04 Jun07 May17 Oct13 Oct05 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 10.00 13% 6.40    
 
CTM-7   07/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALBERTA'S STORM Jun24         (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 124 8.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of FANCY BLACK PEARL by STRIKING SONG)
SCR  DUE COARSE         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 124 12.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of MARKET APPEAL by MARQUETRY)
SCR  ZIP IT WRIT Jun24 May23 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of PLEASE ZIP IT by CITY ZIP)
BLUE QUILL Jun24 Sep13       (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 124 4.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
HABADABADOO May23 Aug10       (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of HABIDA by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
FANCY LIKE THAT Jun27 Jun07       (ward anderso)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAR TALK out of SURF TOWN by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
RIVER SEVEN         (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 124 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of CHIANTI by ROSBERG)
BIZNESS ACCOUNT Jun24 Jun06 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 124 4.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of COUNT THE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
DR BROKER Jun24 May03 Oct27 Oct12   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
 
CTM-8   07/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERBERG Jul04 Jun27 Jun15 Oct06 Sep28 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 10.00    
SCR  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Jul04 Sep29 Sep21 Aug23 Aug09 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 5.00    
PERFORMATIVE Jul04 Jun14 Oct12 Sep29 Aug18 (buf)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
OUR BOLD PRINCE Jul04 Jun15 May31 May10 Feb24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMUSING WAY Jul04 Jun15 May31 May17 May03 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
MUCHO MAGIC Jun13 May23 May09 Oct13 Sep28 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00    
FRANKIE MACHINE Jun27 May30 Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 4.50    
CASSANO Jul05 Jun06 May16 Apr02 Mar11 (hedge rick)HUGHES RASHEED 125 6.00    
JOKER MATT Jul05 Jun28 Jun13 May30 Oct26 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 3.00 10% 8.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.